Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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AXUS72 KCAE 101559
DGTCAE
GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ015-016-018-020>022-025>028-030-111700-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1057 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2017

...IMPROVEMENT IN DROUGHT CONTINUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
MIDLANDS AND CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA...

                        ...SYNOPSIS...

RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH OF DECEMBER RANGED FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS
THE NORTHERN AND NORTHWEST MIDLANDS...THE ONLY REGION WITH BELOW
NORMAL RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH...WITH HEAVIER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE
EASTERN MIDLANDS AND CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA. AMOUNTS IN THIS
REGION RANGED FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES.

SEE WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP/ FOR MORE DETAILS.

                     ...SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

ON DECEMBER 09 2017...THE SOUTH CAROLINA FORESTRY COMMISSION SHOWED
SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN THE KDBI INDEX ACROSS THE STATE. MOST OF
THE STATE HAD VALUES LESS THAN 200 WITH ONLY A FEW ISOLATED AREAS
BETWEEN 201 AND 300.

THE WILDFIRES ACROSS THE UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGIA AND
NORTH CAROLINA HAVE DIMINISHED.

THE UNITED STATES CORPS OF ENGINEERS WILL CONTINUE TO RELEASE
APPROXIMATELY 3600 CUBIC FEET PER SECOND...CFS...FROM LAKE THURMOND
DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF THE SEASONALLY DRY CONDITIONS IN THE SAVANNAH
RIVER BASIN.

CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 30 TO 45 DAYS ACROSS MUCH OF
THE MIDLANDS AND CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA. MUCH OF THE REGION IS
UNDER D0...ABNORMALLY DRY TO D1...MODERATE DROUGHT. THE DRIEST
COUNTIES CONTINUE TO BE FROM NEWBERRY COUNTY SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE
SAVANNAH RIVER INTO LINCOLN COUNTY WHERE D2...SEVERE DROUGHT
CONTINUES.  .

GO TO WWW.DROUGHT.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS ON THE DROUGHT ACROSS GEORGIA
AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

                 ...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS...

THE CROP MOISTURE INDEX HAS SHOWN SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN THE
SHORT TERM CONDITIONS...UP TO 4 WEEKS...ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA
AND CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA. RECENT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AVERAGING FROM 3
TO 6 INCHES AVE BEEN THE MAIN INGREDIENT FOR THE IMPROVEMENT.

                          ...DETAILS...

D2...SEVERE DROUGHT COVERED THE EXTREME WESTERN PORTION FROM LINCOLN
COUNTY NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SAVANNAH RIVER INTO MCCORMICK AND
NEWBERRY COUNTIES.

D1...MODERATE DROUGHT COVERED MUCH OF THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER
AREA AND A SMALL PORTION OF WESTERN FAIRFIELD COUNTY. THIS INCLUDES
THE AUGUSTA METRO AREA.

D0...ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS COVERED THE NORTHERN MIDLANDS FROM
LANCASTER COUNTY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL...SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
MIDLANDS. THIS INCLUDES THE COLUMBIA METRO AREA.
...ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS COVERED THE REMAINDER OF THE

THE AREA NEAR THE PEE DEE REGION THAT INCLUDE THE COUNTIES OF
EASTERN CHESTERFIELD...LEE COUNTY...EASTERN SUMTER AND NORTHERN
CLARENDON COUNTY HAVE IMPROVED TO THE POINT OF NO DROUGHT IN THIS
AREA.

GO TO WWW.DROUGHT.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.

              ...SOUTH CAROLINA DROUGHT COMMITTEE...

THE SOUTH CAROLINA DROUGHT RESPONSE COMMITTEE MET ON DECEMBER 1 2016
AND UPGRADED MUCH OF THE LOWCOUNTRY TO INCIPIENT DROUGHT. ONLY THE
EXTREME EASTERN MIDLANDS AND PEE DEE REGION REMAIN IN NORMAL
CONDITIONS. THE DROUGHT RESPONSE COMMITTEE WILL LIKELY MEET BY THE
END OF JANUARY 2017.

                    ...GROUND WATER CONDITIONS...

THE GROUND WATER NETWORK MAINTAINED BY THE UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL
SURVEY WAS USED IN THIS REPORT. GROUND WATER LEVELS FROM JANUARY 4TH
SHOW MANY OF THE WELLS CONTINUE FALL, HOWEVER SOME IMPROVEMENT WAS
SEEN IN THE WELLS IN LANCASTER AND RICHMOND COUNTIES.

A HIGHER NUMBER MEANS A LOWER WATER TABLE AND THEREFORE LESS
GROUNDWATER. A MINUS DIFFERENCE INDICATES LESS GROUND WATER.

AIKEN COUNTY - 430 WELL NEAR JACKSON
DECEMBER    01 2016 164.10 FEET
JANUARY     04 2017 163.76 FEET
DIFFERENCE      MINUS 0.34 FEET

MCCORMICK COUNTY - 52 BAKER CREEK STATE PARK WELL
DECEMBER    01 2016  39.27 FEET
JANUARY     04 2017  39.70 FEET
DIFFERENCE      MINUS 0.43 FEET

SUMTER COUNTY - 355 WELL NEAR DALZELL
DECEMBER    01 2016  11.44 FEET
JANUARY     04 2017  13.76 FEET
DIFFERENCE      MINUS 2.32 FEET

KERSHAW COUNTY - 433 NEAR LIBERTY HILL
DECEMBER    01 2016   54.06 FEET
JANUARY     04 2017   54.36 FEET
DIFFERENCE       MINUS 0.30 FEET

LANCASTER COUNTY - 498 WELL LANCASTER COUNTY AIRPORT
DECEMBER    01 2016   34.48 FEET
JANUARY     04 2017   34.37 FEET
DIFFERENCE       PLUS  0.09 FEET

RICHMOND COUNTY - 30AA04 WELL NEAR MCBEAN
DECEMBER    01 2016  135.46 FEET
JANUARY     04 2017  134.11 FEET
DIFFERENCE       PLUS  1.35 FEET

               ...RIVER AND STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS...

A SNAPSHOT OF ALL RANKED GAGES OF STREAM AND RIVER FLOWS ON
JANUARY 10 2017 SHOWS AROUND AROUND 30 PERCENT REPORTING FLOWS
THAT ARE LESS THAN THE 25 PERCENTILE RANGE.

OVER THE PAST 7 DAYS ENDING ON DECEMBER 09 2017...ONLY THE SALUDA
RIVER AT COLUMBIA REMAIN IN THE MODERATE HYDROLOGIC DROUGHT...
BETWEEN THE 6 AND 9 PERCENTILE RANGE. THIS IS LIKELY DUE TO RISES
IN UPSTREAM RESERVOIRS ALONG THE SALUDA RIVER AT LAKE GREENWOOD
AND LAKE MURRAY.

DATA SOURCE...UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY.

                        ...RESERVOIRS...

MOST OF THE AREA RESERVOIRS SHOWS FALLS DURING THE PERIOD. THE
ONLY EXCEPTION IS LAKE RUSSELL.

LAKE RUSSELL                              LAKE THURMOND
DECEMBER 01 2016 475.11 FEET               319.44 FEET
JANUARY  04 2017 471.67 FEET               318.91 FEET
DIFFERENCE  MINUS  3.44 FEET           MINUS 0.53 FEET

LAKE GREENWOOD                            LAKE MURRAY
DECEMBER 01 2016 436.44 FEET               354.03 FEET
JANUARY  04 2017 435.23 FEET               355.33 FEET
DIFFERENCE  MINUS  1.21 FEET           PLUS  1.30 FEET

LAKE MARION NEAR PINEVILLE                LAKE WATEREE
DECEMBER 01 2016  73.66 FEET                98.10 FEET
JANUARY  04 2017  73.95                     98.88 FEET
DIFFERENCE  PLUS   0.29 FEET           PLUS  0.78 FEET

NOTE...LAKE LEVELS ARE BASED ON RECENT RAINFALL...RELEASES AND
LOCAL POWER DEMANDS.

THE LEVEL OF LAKE RUSSELL WAS 0.89 FEET ABOVE AVERAGE AND THE
LEVEL OF LAKE THURMOND WAS 7.05 FEET BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR. THE LEVEL OF LAKE WATEREE WAS 3.8 ABOVE THE TARGET LEVEL
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

DATA FOR THIS SEGMENT WAS GATHERED FROM THE UNITED STATES
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...THE UNITED STATES ARMY CORP OF ENGINEERS AND
DUKE ENERGY.

                    ...CLIMATE SUMMARY...

PRECIPITATION FROM JANUARY 01 2016 THROUGH DECEMBER 31 2016

STATION   PRECIPITATION     DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL   PERCENT OF
                                                      NORMAL

COLUMBIA SC   39.55 INCHES   MINUS   5.04 INCHES      87 PERCENT
AUGUSTA  GA   38.27 INCHES   MINUS   5.30 INCHES      88 PERCENT

              ...PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WILL BRING MUCH
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.
A MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND PRODUCE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH
RAINFALL NEAR OR JUST BELOW NORMAL.

THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR JAN 17TH THROUGH THE 26TH CALLS FOR AN
80 PERCENT CHANCE OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD
ALONG WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS
ALL OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND GEORGIA.

THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR JANUARY 2017 CALLS FOR A 33 TO 40 PERCENT
CHANCE OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A 33 TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

THE THREE MONTH OUTLOOK FOR JANUARY THROUGH MARCH CALLS FOR A 40
PERCENT CHANCE OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEARLY EQUAL CHANCES
FOR ABOVE...BELOW OR NORMAL PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE PERIOD.

GO TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER WEB PAGE AT
WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV IN LOWER CASE LETTERS FOR MORE DETAILS AND
THE LATEST OUTLOOKS.

               ...HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

THE OUTLOOK CALL FOR WARMER TEMPERATURES BUT NOT A SIGNIFICANT
CHANCE FOR ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL. IF THE RAINFALL CONTINUES CLOSE
TO NORMAL ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA AND THE MIDLANDS OF SOUTH
CAROLINA SOME CONTINUED IMPROVEMENT WILL CONTINUE FOR THE AREA.

LONGER TERM OUTLOOKS DUE INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR NEAR NORMAL
RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION AND SOME IMPROVEMENT OF THE DROUGHT
STATUS SHOULD CONTINUE INTO THE LATE WINTER AND EARLY SPRING
PERIOD.

THE NEXT UPDATE OF THIS DROUGHT STATEMENT WILL BE THURSDAY FEBRUARY
2ND 2017 UNLESS THERE ARE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

                      ...RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT DROUGHT MAY BE FOUND AT THE
FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP:WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
COLUMBIA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/CAE/DROUGHT.HTML
SC FORESTRY COMMISSION...WWW.STATE.SC.US/FOREST/

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND LAKE INFORMATION:
NWS...HTTP://WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS
USACE...HTTP:/WATER.SAS.USACE.ARMY.MIL/HOME
USGS...HTTP://WWW.USGS.GOV

                      ...ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE UNITED STATES DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT
INVOLVING NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC
DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS
AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION
SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICE...THE
USDA...USACE...DUKE ENERGY... SANTEE COOPER...SOUTH CAROLINA
ELECTRIC AND GAS AND THE USGS.

                    ...QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
STATEMENT
PLEASE CONTACT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2909 AVIATION WAY
WEST COLUMBIA SC 29170
PHONE: 803-822-8135
CAEWX@NOAA.GOV
LEONARD.VAUGHAN@NOAA.GOV



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