Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 150026
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
826 PM EDT TUE MAY 14 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD IN PLACE OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND FOR
ONE MORE DAY. LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA WILL
DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION TOMORROW NIGHT. INSTABILITY
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON THURSDAY
BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES BACK IN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
807 PM UPDATE: UPDATED PRECIP CHANCES ACROSS CENTRAL AND COASTAL
WASHINGTON COUNTY THIS EVENING USING THE SREF AS AN INITIAL SETUP.
THIS MEANS SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH MIDNIGHT AT LEAST AND THEN
THINGS WILL DRY OUT AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY. SKIES WILL CLEAR
W/TEMPERATURES FALLING BACK OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET OVERNIGHT...WITH MANY LOCATIONS
APPROACHING OR SURPASSING THE FREEZING MARK. FROST ADVISORY OUT FOR
THE SOUTHERN ZONES ALL THE WAY TO THE OCEAN. COASTAL LOCATIONS MAY
BE MODERATED A BIT...BUT SEVERAL LOCATIONS WILL STILL PROBABLY SEE
TEMPERATURES COLD ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A FROST.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA AND PASS JUST TO
THE NORTH OF THE CWA. THIS SYSTEM WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT WITH IT
AS IT MOVES THROUGH...BRINGING A QUICK SHOT OF QPF TO THE AREA.
THE FLOW ALOFT IS RATHER PROGRESSIVE SO IT SHOULD MOVE QUICKLY OFF
TO THE EAST FRIDAY MORNING. THAT BEING SAID...CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT
BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL KEEP INSTABILITY SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST
ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION...ESPECIALLY OVER FAVORED UPSLOPE AREAS
IN THE MOUNTAINS.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH THE NEXT SYSTEM EXPECTED
SOMETIME EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION /01Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TAF LOCATIONS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.
IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TOMORROW NIGHT AS THE
LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH TO THE NORTH.
&&
.MARINE...
CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY QUIET TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.
CONDITIONS MEETING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ARE POSSIBLE LATE TOMORROW
AND TOMORROW NIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.
&&
.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
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ME...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR MEZ011-015>017-
029>032.
MARINE...NONE.-- End Changed Discussion --
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...HEWITT