Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
000
FNUS54 KMRX 191919
FWFMRX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
319 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY DRIFT ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER
VALLEY...PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. WARM AND HUMID AIR WILL LINGER ACROSS THE REGION
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEK FOR A CONTINUED CHANCE OF OCCASIONAL SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
319 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 58-63 (-1) 79-84 (+5) 58-63 81-86
RH % (24H TREND) 94-99 (-1) 48-53 (-12) 93-98 44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 LGT/VAR SW 6
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 30 0 30
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.14 0.09 0.00 0.02
LAL 4 3 1 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5600 6200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 12 SW 15
DISPERSION 34 FAIR 55 GEN GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
319 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 57-62 (+1) 77-82 (+4) 57-62 80-85
RH % (24H TREND) 93-98 (+1) 48-53 (-13) 91-96 46-51
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 LGT/VAR SW 6
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 40 20 30
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.16 0.11 0.02 0.03
LAL 4 3 2 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5800 6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 12 SW 12
DISPERSION 30 FAIR 37 FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR
60. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ072-074-202030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
319 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 57-62 (-1) 78-83 (+6) 57-62 79-84
RH % (24H TREND) 94-99 (+3) 47-52 (-17) 92-97 47-52
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SW 6 SW 6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 S 5 SW 6
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 30 20 30
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.06 0.01 0.02
LAL 4 3 2 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5900 6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 SW 14
DISPERSION 26 FAIR 40 FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ087-102-202030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
319 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 59-64 (-1) 82-87 (+7) 60-65 83-88
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+3) 46-51 (-16) 90-95 44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) S 6 S 5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 S 5 SW 6
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 30 0 20
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.04 0.00 0.02
LAL 4 3 1 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5900 6500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 SW 16
DISPERSION 37 FAIR 60 GEN GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ060-061-202030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
319 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 58-63 (-1) 80-85 (+7) 58-63 82-87
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+2) 47-52 (-17) 95-100 46-51
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) S 5 S 5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 LGT/VAR S 6
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 30 0 30
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.07 0.00 0.04
LAL 4 3 1 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6000 6600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 SW 15
DISPERSION 33 FAIR 55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI 4 4
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
319 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 59-64 (-1) 80-85 (+4) 59-64 82-87
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+1) 47-52 (-12) 92-97 44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 LGT/VAR SW 6
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 30 0 20
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 8 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.07 0.00 0.02
LAL 4 3 1 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5400 6000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 SW 15
DISPERSION 37 FAIR 57 GEN GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
319 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 60-65 (-2) 82-87 (+6) 61-66 83-88
RH % (24H TREND) 93-98 (-2) 47-52 (-16) 89-94 44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 6 LGT/VAR SW 6
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 20 0 20
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 8 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.02
LAL 4 3 1 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5400 6000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 SW 18
DISPERSION 43 GEN GOOD 75 GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
319 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013 /219 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013/
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 61-66 (-3) 83-88 (+5) 62-67 85-90
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+1) 46-51 (-17) 89-94 44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) S 5 S 5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 S 5 SW 6
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 20 0 20
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 8 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.02
LAL 3 3 1 2
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5300 6200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 14 SW 18
DISPERSION 51 GEN GOOD 81 GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$