Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS La Crosse, WI

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FNUS73 KARX 021342
FWSARX

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST POOL...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
842 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0835 CDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE.

.DISCUSSION...LOOK FOR SUNNY SKIES EARLY ON THIS MORNING WITH
CUMULUS CLOUDS BUILDING LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

FOR TONIGHT...LOOK FOR MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WITH WIND
REMAINING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA ON TUESDAY...
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
MOVING IN DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. PLAN ON WEST WINDS AT 11 TO 16 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS OF 25-35 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN AND NEAR THE
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.
RH..................79 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 1 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-2200 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 7900-9300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /9700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
                    /33300 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........10     19     30     42     51     54
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............32     45     56     59     62     63
RH..............92     68     49     40     36     36
20 FT WIND......NW 0   NE 1   NE 3   N 4    N 3    NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39.
RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1900-31000 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........51     40     32     29     25     22
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............60     52     47     45     42     39
RH..............42     59     71     76     82     92
20 FT WIND......W 3    W 4    W 4    W 4    W 4    W 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-5100 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    6200-7300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 8400-8800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 32 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2100-29200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    GOOD TO EXCELLENT (56300-83400 KNOT-FT) EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (114800-146200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (177600-222800 KNOT-FT)
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (245400-245400 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (168100-168100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (90900-90900 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........18     28     37     47     65     77
WEATHER COV.....                                   DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                                   S CHC
TEMP............41     53     63     66     68     66
RH..............89     59     43     37     36     40
20 FT WIND......W 4    W 6    W 9    W 11   W 14   W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     20     20     25     25
HAINES INDEX....5      4      4      5      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...DS
REQUESTED BY...DAN LABER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160502.WESTP.01/ARX



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