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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
000 FNUS53 KAPX 180925 FWFAPX FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 525 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013 ...LOW RH THIS AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN...BRINGING WITH IT PLENTY OF CLEAR SKIES AND SEASONABLY CHILLY WEATHER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE WEDNESDAY UNDER PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL USHER IN A MUCH WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR-MASS HEADING THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THIS PATTERN WILL INITIATE A MORE TYPICAL SUMMER LIKE PATTERN ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...COMPLETE WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND PERIODIC SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL APPROACH CRITICAL TERRITORY THIS AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT...WE COULD SEE A FEW GUSTS ON THE EAST SIDE WITH LAKE BREEZES DEVELOPING. IF NOTHING ELSE...CONDITIONS WARRANT CLOSE MONITORING THESE NEXT TWO AFTERNOONS. MIZ016-017-019-021>023-182030- EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY COUNTIES- 525 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0800. MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT...EXCEPT 43-48 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 39 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1000). MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST AFTER 0200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44...EXCEPT 46-51 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........POOR (0). MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76...EXCEPT 63-68 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT...EXCEPT 42-47 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........GOOD (560). MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-182030- PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF- 525 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0800. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73...EXCEPT 59-64 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT...EXCEPT 44-49 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 39 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1130). MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST AFTER 0200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44...EXCEPT 46-51 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE COOLER NEAR THE COAST. MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........POOR (0). MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT...EXCEPT 42-47 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........GOOD (430). MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ MIZ020-025>027-182030- LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL- 525 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0800. MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75...EXCEPT AROUND 61 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT...EXCEPT 46-51 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 23 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (950). MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST AFTER 0200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES COOLER NEAR THE COAST. MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 71-76 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........POOR (0). MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76...EXCEPT 60-65 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT...EXCEPT 40-45 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........GOOD (460). MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ MIZ031>033-182030- MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF- 525 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0800. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76...EXCEPT 64-69 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT...EXCEPT 45-50 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 24 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1010). MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST AFTER 0200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43...EXCEPT 46-51 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........POOR (0). MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76...EXCEPT 64-69 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT...EXCEPT 37-42 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........GOOD (450). MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-182030- CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF- 525 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0800. MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1230). MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST AFTER 0200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46. 24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........POOR (0). MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76. 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........GOOD (450). MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ KB
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