Ice Forecast
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FZUS81 KCLE 232207
ICELIO

GREAT LAKES ICE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
508 PM EST MON FEB 23 2015

ACTIVE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN
BE FOUND AT...HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=HAZ&L=GL&P=A

5 DAY ICE DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT. A WEAK RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY AND BECOME STATIONARY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT
LAKES FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ON LAKES SUPERIOR...MICHIGAN AND HURON
THROUGH TUESDAY FOR SOUTHWEST WINDS. ON TUESDAY NIGHT THE WINDS ON
THOSE LAKES WILL BECOME WEST TO NORTHWEST AND DECREASE TO 10 TO 25
KNOTS. ON LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO SOUTHERLY WINDS TONIGHT WILL
INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS ON TUESDAY AND THEN DECREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

ARCTIC AIR WILL REMAIN ENTRENCHED OVER THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND WITH BELOW NORMAL TO WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SOME EXPANSION OF THE ICE COVERAGE ON LAKES
MICHIGAN AND ONTARIO AND WILL ALSO CAUSE THE ICE TO INCREASE IN
THICKNESS. ON LAKES SUPERIOR...ERIE AND HURON THAT ARE MOSTLY ICE
COVERED THESE COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE THE THICKNESS OF THE ICE
TO INCREASE.

THE STRONG WINDS THE NEXT 36 HOURS MAY CAUSE RIDGING AND RAFTING OF
ICE FIELDS AND CREATE ICE FLOES. IN ADDITION ANY TRACKS THAT HAVE
BEEN OPENED DUE TO ICE BREAKER OPERATION WILL LIKELY CLOSE.

THE GREAT LAKES ICE ANALYSIS PRODUCTS CAN BE FOUND AT:

HTTP://WWW.NATICE.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GREAT_LAKES.HTML

AND

HTTP://WWW.GLERL.NOAA.GOV/DATA/ICE/#CURRENTCONDITIONS

 TEMPERATURE  FORECASTS FOR SELECTED CITIES

 LOCATION   02/24   02/25   02/26   02/27   02/28   03/01
   DULUTH  12  19 -12   5 -14   8  -8  15   0  21  10  23
MARQUETTE   9  23  -6   1 -10   6  -5  14   0  21  10  22
 GREENBAY   5  28  -1  10  -7  12  -6  17  -1  21  13  27
MILWAUKEE   7  28   6  15   0  12   0  17   5  23  18  31
  CHICAGO   5  29  10  18   5  13   1  17   5  24  18  35
 MUSKEGON   7  24   7  13  -7   9  -7  17   0  23  13  33
   ALPENA   2  23  -3   7 -10   6  -7  14   1  22   9  28
  DETROIT   1  22   8  14  -4   9  -4  15   3  21  12  33
   TOLEDO  -1  21   7  14  -6   9  -8  12  -1  20  12  35
CLEVELAND  -1  21  12  15  -3   9  -5  12   1  21  16  36
  BUFFALO  -4  20  15  15   0   8  -6  11   2  22   9  35

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FORECAST TEMPERATURES
CAN BE FOUND AT: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=TE


A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF WIND ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=WS

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS COMPARED TO
NORMAL CALCULATED ON MON FEB 23:

LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------

   DULUTH,   MN  FEB   22 1725 1826
MARQUETTE,   MI  FEB   22 1448 1958
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  FEB   22 1165 1638
 GREENBAY,   WI  FEB   22 1107 1265
MILWAUKEE,   WI  FEB   22  627  766
  CHICAGO,   IL  FEB   22  501  720
 MUSKEGON,   MI  FEB   22  390  611
   ALPENA,   MI  FEB   22  886 1289
  DETROIT,   MI  FEB   22  375  718
   TOLEDO,   OH  FEB   22  381  773
CLEVELAND,   OH  FEB   22  196  652
  BUFFALO,   NY  FEB   22  493  817

NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR MON FEB 23

LOCATION     HIGH LOW
----------------------------------------------

    DULUTH,MN  28  10
 MARQUETTE,MI  13   9
  GREENBAY,WI  28  10
 MILWAUKEE,WI  37  22
   CHICAGO,IL  40  23
  MUSKEGON,MI  36  22
    ALPENA,MI  28  10
   DETROIT,MI  39  23
    TOLEDO,OH  40  23
 CLEVELAND,OH  40  24
   BUFFALO,NY  37  21


NOTE: ALL WEB SITE ADDRESSES SHOULD BE ENTERED INTO YOUR BROWSER IN LOWER
CASE.

$$

KIELTYKA













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