Ice Forecast
Issued by NWS

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FZUS81 KCLE 022216
ICELIO

GREAT LAKES ICE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
530 PM EST MON MAR 2 2015

ACTIVE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN
BE FOUND AT...HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=HAZ&L=GL&P=A

5 DAY ICE DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER OHIO AND EXTENDING OVER THE LAKES WILL
MOVE QUICKLY OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.  THIS
WILL ALLOW LOW PRESSURE IN KANSAS TO MOVE NORTHEAST TO THE CENTRAL
LAKES BY TUESDAY EVENING.  THE LOW WILL DRAG A WARM FRONT ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN LAKES WHILE THE COLD FRONT CROSSES THE WESTERN
LAKES. WEDNESDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS. THURSDAY THE HIGH WILL EXTEND OVER THE
LAKES FROM MISSOURI. FRIDAY THE HIGH WILL BE IN THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY.

WINDS ON THE LAKES WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT AND FROM THE SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS.  SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
15 TO 25 KNOTS TUESDAY WITH WINDS ON LAKE MICHIGAN REACHING 30
KNOTS. TUESDAY NIGHT WINDS ON LAKES MICHIGAN AND SUPERIOR WILL BE
FROM THE WEST AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS TURNING NORTHWEST LATE. OTHERWISE
EXPECT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

TEMPERATURES OVER THE LAKES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL TUESDAY WHICH WILL
BE WARMER THAN PAST DAYS IN MOST AREAS. WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
RAPID ICE GROWTH AND THICKENING WILL BE LIKELY AS ARCTIC AIR RETURNS
TO THE LAKES.  THE ARCTIC AIR WILL BEGIN TO RETREAT FRIDAY ACROSS
THE WESTERN LAKES WITH MODERATION REACHING THE EASTERN LAKES
SATURDAY.

THE STRONGER WINDS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT COULD CAUSE RIDGING AND
RAFTING OF ICE FIELDS AND CREATE ICE FLOES. IN ADDITION ANY TRACKS
THAT HAVE BEEN OPENED DUE TO ICE BREAKER OPERATION MAY CLOSE.


THE GREAT LAKES ICE ANALYSIS PRODUCTS CAN BE FOUND AT:

HTTP://WWW.NATICE.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GREAT_LAKES.HTML

AND

HTTP://WWW.GLERL.NOAA.GOV/DATA/ICE/#CURRENTCONDITIONS

 LOCATION   03/03   03/04   03/05   03/06   03/07   03/08
   DULUTH  18  24  -6   6 -11  14   8  31  15  32  17  33
MARQUETTE  12  27   4   8  -7  12   2  27  17  30  14  33
 GREENBAY  17  32   5  11  -6  15   1  31  17  34  17  36
MILWAUKEE  21  35  10  15  -2  14   4  29  22  35  21  35
  CHICAGO  20  36  13  17  -2  14   3  29  21  37  22  35
 MUSKEGON  15  35  21  23   0  15   1  25  18  36  18  34
   ALPENA  -3  25  15  17  -5  13   0  26  17  32  15  34
  DETROIT  16  36  27  30   5  16   5  23  17  34  22  34
   TOLEDO  14  39  25  29   3  16   0  24  16  34  17  34
CLEVELAND  14  41  31  31  10  17   4  22  16  34  21  34
  BUFFALO   6  33  32  33   9  16   3  21  17  31  15  35


A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FORECAST TEMPERATURES
CAN BE FOUND AT: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=TE

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF WIND ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=WS

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS
COMPARED TO NORMAL CALCULATED ON MON MAR 2:

LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------

   DULUTH,   MN  MAR    1 1817 2004
MARQUETTE,   MI  DEC   31 1950 2488
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  MAR    1 1248 1841
 GREENBAY,   WI  MAR    1 1165 1420
MILWAUKEE,   WI  MAR    1  647  906
  CHICAGO,   IL  MAR    1  506  865
 MUSKEGON,   MI  MAR    1  408  744
   ALPENA,   MI  MAR    1  953 1462
  DETROIT,   MI  MAR    1  384  860
   TOLEDO,   OH  MAR    1  387  932
CLEVELAND,   OH  MAR    1  191  796
  BUFFALO,   NY  MAR    1  518  976


NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR MON MAR 2

LOCATION     HIGH LOW
----------------------------------------------

    DULUTH,MN  31  13
 MARQUETTE,MI  31  15
  GREENBAY,WI  31  13
 MILWAUKEE,WI  39  24
   CHICAGO,IL  43  26
  MUSKEGON,MI  39  24
    ALPENA,MI  31  13
   DETROIT,MI  42  25
    TOLEDO,OH  43  25
 CLEVELAND,OH  43  26
   BUFFALO,NY  39  23



NOTE: ALL WEB SITE ADDRESSES SHOULD BE ENTERED INTO YOUR BROWSER IN LOWER
CASE.

$$

TK







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