Ice Forecast
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000
FZUS81 KCLE 252213
ICELIO

GREAT LAKES ICE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
513 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

ACTIVE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN
BE FOUND AT...HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=HAZ&L=GL&P=A

5 DAY ICE DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE ACROSS THE LAKES TONIGHT WILL LIFT A LITTLE NORTH ON
THURSDAY AS A LOW MOVES ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY ON THURSDAY. THE
RIDGE WILL THEN MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN WEAKEN
AND MOVE EAST SATURDAY NIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
WESTERN LAKES SUNDAY AND THE EASTERN LAKES SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST ON MONDAY.

WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY AT GENERALLY 10 TO 15 KNOTS ON LAKES
SUPERIOR...HURON...ERIE AND ONTARIO THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND 15 TO
20 KNOTS ON LAKE MICHIGAN. THE WINDS WILL BECOME A LITTLE STRONGER
FOR THE WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES WILL START OUT VERY MUCH BELOW NORMAL AND BY SUNDAY AND
MONDAY TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL IN MOST AREAS. ICE GROWTH
WILL CONTINUE RAPID THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN START TO SLOW DOWN FOR
SUNDAY AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. UNTIL TEMPERATURES MODERATE LATER IN THE
PERIOD THE ICE WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND ON LAKES MICHIGAN AND
ONTARIO...WHILE ON THE OTHER LAKES THAT ARE MOSTLY ICE COVERED THE
THICKNESS WILL INCREASE. THE EVER INCREASING SUN ANGLE WILL HELP
SOME IN THE DETERRING THE ICE GROWTH AND EXPANSION OF THE ICE FIELDS.

THE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE THAT STRONG THROUGH MOST OF THE
PERIOD...HOWEVER...THEY COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH ESPECIALLY FRIDAY
THROUGH MONDAY TO CAUSE LIMITED RIDGING AND RAFTING OF ICE
FIELDS AND CREATE ICE FLOES. IN ADDITION ANY TRACKS THAT HAVE BEEN
OPENED DUE TO ICE BREAKER OPERATION WILL LIKELY CLOSE ESPECIALLY
THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE GREAT LAKES ICE ANALYSIS PRODUCTS CAN BE FOUND AT:

HTTP://WWW.NATICE.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GREAT_LAKES.HTML

AND

HTTP://WWW.GLERL.NOAA.GOV/DATA/ICE/#CURRENTCONDITIONS

 TEMPERATURE  FORECASTS FOR SELECTED CITIES

 LOCATION   02/26   02/27   02/28   03/01   03/02   03/03
   DULUTH -14   7 -10  14  -2  19   7  22   4  25  10  23
MARQUETTE -10   6  -5  14   1  21  10  25   9  27  12  26
 GREENBAY  -6  12 -10  16  -6  18   5  26   9  27  15  27
MILWAUKEE   5   8  -4  15  -4  18  11  25  16  30  21  29
  CHICAGO  10  13  -4  17  -2  17  13  26  16  29  24  33
 MUSKEGON   5  11  -5  18   2  18   8  25  17  29  18  30
   ALPENA -10   8  -8  15   0  21   5  24  12  27  11  26
  DETROIT   3  12  -4  14  -1  16   6  27  19  29  20  34
   TOLEDO   4  10  -8  10  -5  14   5  30  19  30  18  31
CLEVELAND   5  13  -2  11  -5  16   8  31  23  32  19  33
  BUFFALO   0  10  -4  11  -1  18   4  27  21  29  13  30

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FORECAST TEMPERATURES
CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=TE


A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF WIND ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=WS

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS COMPARED TO
NORMAL CALCULATED ON WED FEB 25:

LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------

   DULUTH,   MN  FEB   24 1753 1875
MARQUETTE,   MI  FEB   24 1477 2021
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  DEC   31 1137 1223
 GREENBAY,   WI  FEB   24 1125 1310
MILWAUKEE,   WI  FEB   24  635  808
  CHICAGO,   IL  FEB   24  504  763
 MUSKEGON,   MI  FEB   24  396  645
   ALPENA,   MI  DEC   31  834  859
  DETROIT,   MI  DEC   31  332  298
   TOLEDO,   OH  FEB   24  385  823
CLEVELAND,   OH  FEB   24  196  701
  BUFFALO,   NY  FEB   24  501  872

NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR WED FEB 25

LOCATION     HIGH LOW
----------------------------------------------

    DULUTH,MN  29  11
 MARQUETTE,MI  30  13
  GREENBAY,WI  29  11
 MILWAUKEE,WI  37  22
   CHICAGO,IL  41  24
  MUSKEGON,MI  37  23
    ALPENA,MI  29  11
   DETROIT,MI  40  23
    TOLEDO,OH  41  23
 CLEVELAND,OH  41  25
   BUFFALO,NY  37  22

NOTE: ALL WEB SITE ADDRESSES SHOULD BE ENTERED INTO YOUR BROWSER IN
LOWER CASE.

$$

KIELTYKA





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