Ice Forecast
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FZUS81 KCLE 202204
ICELIO

GREAT LAKES ICE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
605 PM EDT FRI MAR 20 2015

ACTIVE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN
BE FOUND AT...HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=HAZ&L=GL&P=A

5 DAY ICE DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI WILL BUILD EAST
TOWARDS THE CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH
ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING...LIMITING THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF
HIGH PRESSURE. BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON THE FRONT WILL BE DOWNSTREAM OF
LAKE ONTARIO...AND STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES AND LINGER THROUGH LATE TUESDAY.

WINDS COULD APPROACH 20 KNOTS OR MORE FOR A SHORT PERIOD IMMEDIATELY
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON SATURDAY. THE WIND WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
CAUSE CONSIDERABLE SHIFTING OF ICE FLOES. LATER THAT NIGHT THE WIND
WILL DIMINISH TO 15 KNOTS OR LESS. SUNDAY THE WIND WILL TURN FROM
NORTH TO EAST AND BEGIN TO INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO HIGH PRESSURE
APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. LAKE MICHIGAN WILL BE MOSTLY
AFFECTED WITH THE WIND RUNNING DOWN THE LONG AXIS OF THE LAKE...BUT
LAKE MICHIGAN IS MOSTLY ICE FREE. LATE TUESDAY THE WIND WILL FLIP
FROM THE SOUTH ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH. WINDS COULD BRIEFLY
TOUCH 20 KNOTS ACROSS PARTS OF LAKE MICHIGAN AND SUPERIOR.

SATURDAY WILL START OFF WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR MOST AREAS
AROUND THE GREAT LAKES...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF AREAS AROUND LAKE
SUPERIOR...WHICH WILL BE BELOW NORMAL. BY SUNDAY ALL THE LAKES WILL
BE BELOW NORMAL BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY
RECOVER TO NEAR NORMAL AND EVENTUALLY NORMAL OR ABOVE NORMAL BY
WEDNESDAY. ICE DETERIORATION IS EXPECTED TO STALL OVER THE WEEKEND
WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. BY MONDAY MELTING OF LAKE ICE WILL
ACCELERATE WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.  A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF
OPEN WATER HAS BEEN OBSERVED OVER WESTERN LAKE ERIE. IT APPEARS THE
ENTRANCE INTO THE DETROIT RIVER IS NOW MAINLY ICE FREE.

THE GREAT LAKES ICE ANALYSIS PRODUCTS CAN BE FOUND AT:

HTTP://WWW.NATICE.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GREAT_LAKES.HTML

AND

HTTP://WWW.GLERL.NOAA.GOV/DATA/ICE/#CURRENTCONDITIONS

       TEMPERATURE  FORECASTS FOR SELECTED CITIES

 LOCATION   03/21   03/22   03/23   03/24   03/25   03/26
   DULUTH  16  32  16  35  23  38  26  43  30  39  21  37
MARQUETTE  22  25  14  27  15  31  18  39  27  33  21  32
 GREENBAY  32  41  20  38  23  38  23  46  32  44  26  41
MILWAUKEE  37  44  27  35  27  36  26  43  36  53  31  42
  CHICAGO  40  49  29  39  27  37  26  46  39  52  32  44
 MUSKEGON  37  46  25  39  22  38  22  46  35  55  34  43
   ALPENA  30  33  10  28  11  29  12  38  27  42  24  36
  DETROIT  41  49  23  36  22  35  21  42  32  53  37  44
   TOLEDO  39  53  25  38  20  37  22  44  32  57  37  47
CLEVELAND  39  55  23  34  19  35  22  43  31  56  39  46
  BUFFALO  36  42  19  30  17  31  17  39  28  51  36  40


A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FORECAST TEMPERATURES
CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=TE

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF WIND ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=WS

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS COMPARED TO
NORMAL CALCULATED ON FRI MAR 20:

LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------

   DULUTH,   MN  MAR   19 1965 2023
MARQUETTE,   MI  MAR   19 1723 2280
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  MAR   19 1391 2003
 GREENBAY,   WI  MAR   19 1227 1386
MILWAUKEE,   WI  MAR   19  626  835
  CHICAGO,   IL  MAR   19  435  790
 MUSKEGON,   MI  MAR   19  389  734
   ALPENA,   MI  MAR   19 1052 1541
  DETROIT,   MI  MAR   19  329  808
   TOLEDO,   OH  MAR   19  324  913
CLEVELAND,   OH  MAR   19  111  749
  BUFFALO,   NY  MAR   19  518 1019


NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR FRI MAR 20

LOCATION     HIGH LOW
----------------------------------------------

    DULUTH,MN  38  20
 MARQUETTE,MI  38  21
  GREENBAY,WI  38  20
 MILWAUKEE,WI  46  28
   CHICAGO,IL  50  32
  MUSKEGON,MI  46  30
    ALPENA,MI  38  20
   DETROIT,MI  49  31
    TOLEDO,OH  50  31
 CLEVELAND,OH  50  32
   BUFFALO,NY  46  29

NOTE: ALL WEB SITE ADDRESSES SHOULD BE ENTERED INTO YOUR BROWSER IN
LOWER CASE.

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