Ice Forecast
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FZUS81 KCLE 232044
ICELIO

GREAT LAKES ICE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
444 PM EDT MON MAR 23 2015

ACTIVE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN
BE FOUND AT...HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=HAZ&L=GL&P=A

5 DAY ICE DISCUSSION...
LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL LAKES WILL
SLIDE SOUTHEAST AND MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY
MORNING.  THIS WILL ALLOW A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO MOVE NE ACROSS
THE LAKES WEDNESDAY.  THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER ARCTIC COLD
FRONT ON THURSDAY THAT WILL PUSH ACROSS ALL THE LAKES WITH ANOTHER
SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR.  THE LARGE ARCTIC HIGH WILL MOVE SLOWLY
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE LAKES THIS WEEKEND...AND MOVE OFF THE SOUTHEAST
COAST ON SUNDAY.

A LIGHT EAST FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKES
THROUGH TUESDAY.  WINDS WILL TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE TO
NEAR 30 KNOTS ON WEDNESDAY AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS ACROSS THE LAKES.
THIS WILL BE CAUSE SHIFTING OF ICE FLOES AND RIDGING AND RAFTING OF
THE ICE.  SOME ICE TRACKS MAY CLOSE.  WINDS TURN TO THE NORTHWEST
AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH TO 5 TO 15 KNOTS ON THURSDAY.  THE WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.

A LIGHT SOUTH FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WESTERN LAKES THROUGH
TUESDAY.  SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 KNOTS TUESDAY
NIGHT....THEN SHIFT TO THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.  THIS MAY
ALSO CAUSE SHIFTING OF ICE FLOES AND RIDGING AND RAFTING OF ICE.
AGAIN...SOME ICE TRACKS MAY CLOSE. THE WEST FLOW WILL DIMINISH TO 5
TO 15 KNOTS THURSDAY.

TEMPERATURES ACROSS ALL THE LAKES WILL WARM TO NEAR NORMAL BY
WEDNESDAY.  TEMPERATURES WILL DIP TO BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY AND MUCH
BELOW NORMAL BY FRIDAY AS THE ARCTIC AIR SPILLS ACROSS THE LAKES.
ICE DETERIORATION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID WEEK AS TEMPERATURES
WARM TO NEAR NORMAL.  ADDITIONAL SLOW-MODERATE ICE GROWTH IS
POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS TO LOWER 20S.

THE GREAT LAKES ICE ANALYSIS PRODUCTS CAN BE FOUND AT:

HTTP://WWW.NATICE.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GREAT_LAKES.HTML

AND

HTTP://WWW.GLERL.NOAA.GOV/DATA/ICE/#CURRENTCONDITIONS

       TEMPERATURE  FORECASTS FOR SELECTED CITIES

 LOCATION   03/24   03/25   03/26   03/27   03/28   03/29
   DULUTH  26  43  30  38  25  30  13  31  20  41  31  43
MARQUETTE  15  40  25  36  26  28  10  24  12  36  27  38
 GREENBAY  22  44  30  45  30  38  15  31  18  42  30  47
MILWAUKEE  27  42  37  51  35  41  23  32  22  41  32  50
  CHICAGO  25  42  42  56  35  43  25  33  21  38  31  52
 MUSKEGON  21  42  32  45  33  39  23  30  18  34  28  42
   ALPENA   7  37  25  43  31  35  15  26  13  33  23  38
  DETROIT  18  40  31  55  38  44  27  34  20  34  26  42
   TOLEDO  18  40  35  60  41  45  27  37  20  40  26  44
CLEVELAND  18  41  35  61  43  49  29  36  22  37  25  44
  BUFFALO  13  36  30  54  42  49  24  30  18  31  21  39

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FORECAST TEMPERATURES
CAN BE FOUND AT:

HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=TE

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF WIND ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=WS

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS COMPARED TO
NORMAL CALCULATED ON MON MAR 23:

LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------

   DULUTH,   MN  MAR   22 1977 2032
MARQUETTE,   MI  MAR   22 1741 2298
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  MAR   22 1403 2036
 GREENBAY,   WI  MAR   22 1225 1369
MILWAUKEE,   WI  MAR   22  612  821
  CHICAGO,   IL  MAR   22  412  770
 MUSKEGON,   MI  MAR   22  375  726
   ALPENA,   MI  MAR   22 1056 1551
  DETROIT,   MI  MAR   22  307  789
   TOLEDO,   OH  MAR   22  302  897
CLEVELAND,   OH  MAR   22   87  739
  BUFFALO,   NY  MAR   22  507 1022

NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR MON MAR 23

LOCATION     HIGH LOW
----------------------------------------------

    DULUTH,MN  39  21
 MARQUETTE,MI  39  22
  GREENBAY,WI  39  21
 MILWAUKEE,WI  47  29
   CHICAGO,IL  51  33
  MUSKEGON,MI  47  31
    ALPENA,MI  39  21
   DETROIT,MI  51  32
    TOLEDO,OH  52  32
 CLEVELAND,OH  51  33
   BUFFALO,NY  47  30

NOTE: ALL WEB SITE ADDRESSES SHOULD BE ENTERED INTO YOUR BROWSER IN
LOWER CASE.

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