Ice Forecast
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000
FZUS81 KCLE 152117
ICELIO

GREAT LAKES ICE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
430 PM EST WED FEB 15 2017

ACTIVE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN
BE FOUND AT...HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=HAZ&L=GL&P=A

5 DAY ICE DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE EAST COAST WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTHEAST TONIGHT.  THIS WILL ALLOW A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP BEHIND THE RIDGE USHERING MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES INTO
THE REGION BY THE START OF THE WEEKEND.  ONE MORE DAY OF NEAR NORMAL
READINGS IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY BEFORE THE WARM UP BEGINS FRIDAY.

A FAST MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF THE LAKES
LATE SATURDAY.  A COLD FRONT TRAILING THE LOW WILL PUSH SOUTH ACROSS
THE REGION BEFORE DISSIPATING.  THE FRONT WILL CHANGE THE WINDS TO THE
WEST FOR A TIME BUT TEMPERATURES WILL COOL LITTLE.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL
REESTABLISH ITSELF ON SUNDAY.  ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
APPROACH THE NORTHERN LAKES ON MONDAY.

SOME SLOW ICE GROWTH IS POSSIBLE ON THE NORTHERN LAKES THURSDAY BUT THE
REST OF THE PERIOD WILL SEE DETERIORATING ICE CONDITIONS.

THE GREAT LAKES ICE ANALYSIS PRODUCTS CAN BE FOUND AT:

HTTP://WWW.NATICE.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GREAT_LAKES.HTML

AND

HTTP://WWW.GLERL.NOAA.GOV/DATA/ICE/#CURRENTCONDITIONS


A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FORECAST TEMPERATURES
CAN BE FOUND AT: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=TE

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF WIND ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=WS

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS
COMPARED TO NORMAL CALCULATED ON WED FEB 15:

LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------

   DULUTH,   MN  FEB   14 1598 1201
MARQUETTE,   MI  FEB   14 1321 1073
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  FEB   14 1056  619
 GREENBAY,   WI  FEB   14 1020  632
MILWAUKEE,   WI  FEB   14  586  363
  CHICAGO,   IL  FEB   14  475  327
 MUSKEGON,   MI  FEB   14  355  149
   ALPENA,   MI  FEB   14  796  498
  DETROIT,   MI  FEB   14  349  104
   TOLEDO,   OH  FEB   14  357  146
CLEVELAND,   OH  FEB   14  189    0
  BUFFALO,   NY  FEB   14  450  142


NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR WED FEB 15

LOCATION     HIGH LOW
----------------------------------------------

    DULUTH,MN  26   7
 MARQUETTE,MI  27  10
  GREENBAY,WI  26   7
 MILWAUKEE,WI  35  20
   CHICAGO,IL  37  21
  MUSKEGON,MI  34  19
    ALPENA,MI  26   7
   DETROIT,MI  36  20
    TOLEDO,OH  37  20
 CLEVELAND,OH  38  22
   BUFFALO,NY  34  19



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