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000
FXUS64 KLZK 191933
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
233 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 232 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

Surface cold front has pushed thru the region, and notably cooler
and drier air was filtering into the region. Overnight lows tonight
will bottom out in the 40`s across the north and in the western
mountains, and generally in the lower 50`s elsewhere.

The front will stall south of the forecast area, while another
shortwave ripples across the area. With abundant moisture in place,
additional showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible tomorrow.

The weather should start to improve on Sunday as high pressure
builds into the area in earnest.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 232 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY/TUESDAY:

An upper lvl trof will be in the process of exiting the region over
the Ohio River Valley region of the CONUS with overall slight
ridging in place before the next trof approaches the state on
Tuesday. In tandem with these upper lvl features, the sfc features
of a sfc high pressure center moving into the region and the next
cold front on the doorstep to Arkansas from the northwest will keep
quiet and dry weather across most of the state to begin the work-
week through mid-week with the outside possibility of some showers
and thunderstorms across northern Arkansas on Tuesday due to the
pending cold front arrival to the Natural State from the northwest.
Temperatures over this period begin with lows below normal (a
portion of northern Arkansas may experience temperatures in the
upper 30s on Sunday night/Monday morning) with a slight increase
each day into the 40s/50s across the state near normal. Likewise,
high temperatures will on Monday will begin below normal in the
60s/70s on Monday afternoon, but rebound quickly for the remainder
of the period into the 70s across the state near normal for this
time of the year.

WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY/NEXT FRIDAY:

An unsettled weather pattern begins with copious chances for showers
and thunderstorms. An upper lvl positively tilted trof axis
approaches the state, then overall ridging will slide eastward to
include northwesterly flow over Arkansas. At the sfc, a cold front
that will move through the state on Tuesday night will begin to
meander back across the ARK-LA-TEX region as a stationary front
keeping increased POP chances elevated, especially across western
Arkansas on Wednesday into Thursday. By next Friday, the stationary
boundary will lift northeastward as a warm front across the entire
state and POP chances along with the opportunity for thunderstorm
activity will increase. Temperatures over this three day period will
trend near normal to slightly above normal with lows in the 50s/60s
statewide transitioning into afternoon high temperatures that will
be in the 70s/80s, expect a gradual increase each day with respect
to both low and high temperatures.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     50  64  46  66 /  20  30  20   0
Camden AR         49  56  46  64 /  50  90  80  20
Harrison AR       44  63  41  63 /  10  20  10   0
Hot Springs AR    48  57  47  66 /  40  80  60  10
Little Rock   AR  52  62  50  67 /  30  70  50  10
Monticello AR     52  58  49  63 /  40  90  90  20
Mount Ida AR      47  58  45  66 /  40  80  60   0
Mountain Home AR  44  66  42  65 /  10  20  10   0
Newport AR        51  64  48  64 /  20  30  20  10
Pine Bluff AR     52  58  49  64 /  30  80  70  10
Russellville AR   51  62  46  68 /  30  50  30   0
Searcy AR         50  62  46  66 /  20  50  30   0
Stuttgart AR      53  59  50  63 /  30  70  50  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...53
LONG TERM....74