Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS
FXXX01 KWNP 132201
:Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt
:Issued: 2013 May 13 2200 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast.
Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z to
13/2100Z: Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a X2 event observed at
13/1605Z from Region 1748(N12E86). There are currently 9 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (14 May, 15
May, 16 May).
Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of
395 km/s at 13/0623Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 13/1650Z. The maximum
southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 13/0514Z. Electrons greater
than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 501 pfu.
Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (14 May), quiet to active levels on day
two (15 May) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (16 May).
Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and
three (14 May, 15 May, 16 May).