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000
FXUS64 KBMX 131727
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1227 PM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 340 AM CDT SAT APR 13 2024

Surface high pressure is centered over Louisiana, so a
northwesterly flow is in place today, albeit light winds. This
evening the low will be centered just off the Alabama coastline
resulting in light to calm winds. A weak inverted trough will
develop to our east but the only impact we will see will be some
passing cirrus clouds. On Sunday the high becomes centered off the
west coast of Florida, so we will begin to see the winds shift to
more of a southwesterly flow, but remain light. Maybe a few more
fair weather cumulus and high cirrus clouds but still overall
sunny both days. Highs today will be in the upper 70s to low 80s,
with low to mid 80s on Sunday. For tonight, we will likely see
upper 40s to low 50s around the area, although we will probably
see quite a bit of our microclimates across the area. Even light
winds of less than 4 mph could result in temperatures 5 to 8
degrees warmer in spots.

16

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 340 AM CDT SAT APR 13 2024

An upper-level ridge will move across the Deep South Monday and
Tuesday, providing dry and warm conditions to the region.
Afternoon temperatures should reach the low to mid 80s each day.
As a trough in the Plains moves toward the Great Lakes and Ohio
Valley, the tail end of a weakening front should arrive late
Tuesday night into Wednesday. This could bring scattered showers
and thunderstorms to our northern and central counties.

Another trough is expected to move across the Upper Midwest and
Great Lakes region late Thursday into Friday. Much of Thursday
should remain dry, but rain chances will increase Thursday evening
and Friday as a front approaches from the northwest.

87/Grantham

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1227 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through this cycle. Expect some high
clouds to move east over the area this afternoon through tonight
and into Sunday but conditions will remain dry areawide. Low-level
winds will generally be from the northwest from 4-8 kts, followed
by winds from southwest overnight from 2-4 kts, increasing to 4-8
kts during the day on Sunday.

05

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Dry conditions will be in place through early next week. A few
localized spots in the east during the afternoon could drop to 25
percent for a few hours. Otherwise, minimum RH values will fall
into the 26 to 32 percent range. 20 ft northwesterly winds will be
6-10 mph. Minimum RH values will be in the 30-40 percent range
Sunday and Monday. 20 ft winds become southwesterly Sunday at
6-12 mph, and diminish to 5-8 mph on Monday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     48  82  54  84 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    49  82  55  83 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  53  82  56  84 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  51  83  55  84 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      50  82  56  82 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      51  81  56  81 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  50  82  53  84 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        50  82  53  84 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....87
AVIATION...05