085
FXUS62 KCAE 280644
AFDCAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Columbia SC
244 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Weak high pressure centered northeast of the region will remain
in control through Monday along with a warming trend. A weak
front is expected to bring a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms late Tuesday through Thursday, mainly northern and
eastern areas.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Mostly cloudy skies across the region along with some patchy fog
and stratus which have gradually developed over the past couple
of hours. Through daybreak expect little change with some
additional stratus and fog developing where the mid and upper
clouds clear. Overnight lows will be in the mid to upper 50s.

High pressure will remain northeast of the region today and
tonight with a ridge of high pressure orienting east west across
the SE US. Flow will be turning southeasterly today while
continuing to advect moisture into the area. Although pwat
values will be 1.2 inches or better there will be a considerable
inversion aloft along with some dry air. This will leave a
limited layer of moisture in the low levels so expect some
cumulus to develop from mid morning through the afternoon
however vertical development will be limited and no rain
expected. This evening low clouds will begin to diminish with
sunset with mid and high clouds lingering over the area through
the night. High temperatures this afternoon will be in the upper
70s to low 80s with lows tonight in the mid 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure aloft builds over the Southeast U.S. early next
week which allows temperatures to warm to slightly above normal
levels. A weak shortwave trough moves over the ridge axis on
Tuesday or Tuesday Night and may bring a slight chance of
showers or thunderstorms, especially to the Northern and Western
Midlands.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Above normal H5 heights are likely through the end of next week with
a high probability of above normal temperatures. The models and
ensembles depict an upper level trough moving over or
flattening a ridge axis across the region with a chance of
showers and/or thunderstorms Friday afternoon through Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Mainly VFR conditions through the period with restrictions
possible in stratus and fog through sunrise.

Satellite imagery and surface obs show plenty of clouds across
the region with some low clouds developing near the terminals.
Expect this to remain variable through sunrise as clouds cross
the area and disrupt the development of stratus and fog. ATTM
have included mention of scattered clouds around 1.5 kft with
TEMPO at AGS due to river impacts. A strong inversion will take
until mid morning to mix out and allow remaining low clouds to
dissipate then cumulus will begin developing from the mid
morning through the afternoon hours. With an inversion aloft
vertical growth will be limited and no rain is expected. Clouds
will diminish with sunset as some drier air finally moves into
the area. Winds through the period will be southeasterly at 8
knots or less.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...Restrictions possible in early morning
fog or stratus each morning. Slight chance of afternoon showers
and thunderstorms Tuesday onward.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
GA...None.

&&

$$