Drought Information Statement Issued by NWS Cheyenne, WY
000
AXUS75 KCYS 031155
DGTCYS
WYC001-007-009-015-021-027-031-NEC007-013-033-045-105-123-157-165-
312359-
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
555 AM MDT FRI MAY 3 2013
...BENEFICIAL MOISTURE FROM APRIL SNOWSTORMS ALLEVIATED DROUGHT
CONDITIONS FOR EAST CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WYOMING
AND THE WESTERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE...
SYNOPSIS...
THE LATEST U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR RELEASED ON APRIL 30 DEPICTED
MODERATE DROUGHT /D1/ FOR SOUTHEAST ALBANY AND MOST OF LARAMIE
COUNTIES. SEVERE DROUGHT /D2/ EXISTED OVER THE REMAINDER OF
SOUTHEAST WYOMING AND SURROUNDED EXTREME DROUGHT /D3/ IN CENTRAL
CARBON COUNTY...CONVERSE COUNTY LOWER ELEVATIONS...NIOBRARA
COUNTY...NORTHEAST PLATTE AND GOSHEN COUNTIES. EXTREME DROUGHT
PREVAILED OVER ALL EXCEPT THE EXTREME SOUTHWEST CORNER OF THE
WESTERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE WHERE MODERATE DROUGHT EXISTED.
SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
RIVER AND STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS...
THE 28-DAY AVERAGE STREAMFLOWS ENDING MAY 1 WERE WITHIN THE NORMAL
25TH TO 75TH PERCENTILE RANGE FOR EAST CENTRAL WYOMING AND THE
NORTHERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE. MUCH BELOW NORMAL OR LESS THAN THE 10TH
PERCENTILE STREAMFLOWS WERE OBSERVED IN SOUTHWEST CARBON COUNTY.
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WYOMING AND
THE SOUTHERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE...STREAMFLOWS WERE BELOW NORMAL OR
WITHIN THE 10TH TO 24TH PERCENTILE RANGE.
FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS...
AS OF MAY 2...LOW FIRE DANGER WAS OBSERVED OVER SOUTHERN ALBANY AND
LARAMIE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST WYOMING AND DAWES COUNTY IN THE
NORTHERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE. ELSEWHERE...MODERATE FIRE DANGER
EXISTED. CHECK WITH YOUR COUNTY OFFICIALS FOR THE LATEST BURNING
RESTRICTIONS.
CLIMATE SUMMARY...
THE MAJORITY OF THE STATISTICAL AND DYNAMICAL MODELS PREDICT
ENSO-NEUTRAL CONDITIONS THROUGH THE SUMMER MONTHS.
BELOW ARE THE CUMULATIVE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FROM SELECTED
LOCATIONS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WYOMING
AND THE WESTERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE FOR THE CURRENT WATER YEAR...
LOCATION WATER YEAR PRECIPITATION % AVERAGE
TO DATE (OCT 1-APR 30 2012) (1981-2010)
--------- --------------------------- ------------
CHEYENNE WY 6.20 102
ALLIANCE NE 3.95 84
CHADRON NE 6.51 98
DOUGLAS WY 2.70 51
LARAMIE WY 3.21 83
RAWLINS WY 2.36 56
SCOTTSBLUFF NE 4.53 74
SIDNEY NE 3.27 56
TORRINGTON WY 2.84 58
COOPERATIVE OBSERVATION
STATIONS:
SHIRLEY BASIN WY 2.87 65
SYBILLE RESEARCH WY 5.08 72
CHUGWATER WY 5.93 92
FT LARAMIE WY 3.98 80
HARRISON NE 3.98 63
AGATE 3E NE 3.58 85
HARRISBURG 12WNW NE 3.78 65
KIMBALL 2N NE 3.98 73
DALTON NE 7.19 103
HEMINGFORD NE 4.39 79
THESE DATA ARE PRELIMINARY AND HAVE NOT UNDERGONE FINAL QUALITY
CONTROL BY THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER /NCDC/...AND ARE
SUBJECT TO REVISION. FINAL AND CERTIFIED CLIMATE DATA CAN BE
ACCESSED AT WWW.NCDC.NOAA.GOV.
TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS...
THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR MAY 10 THROUGH MAY 16 FAVORS ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
THE 30 DAY OUTLOOK FOR MAY FAVORS EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...NEAR OR
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION.
THE 90 DAY OUTLOOK FOR MAY THROUGH JULY FAVORS ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
THE U.S. SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK ISSUED ON MAY 2 PREDICTS SOME
IMPROVEMENT TO DROUGHT CONDITIONS THROUGH JULY.
HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
THE FOLLOWING RESERVOIR DATA WAS OBTAINED ON MAY 1...
RESERVOIR PERCENT FULL
SEMINOE WY 49
KORTES WY 99
PATHFINDER 39
ALCOVA WY 98
GRAY REEF WY 73
GLENDO WY 77
GUERNSEY WY 15
LAKE ALICE NE 2
MINATARE NE 28
WINTERS CREEK NE 14
NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED JUNE 3 OR SOONER IF NECESSARY IN
RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.
&&
RELATED WEB SITES...
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND AT
THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/...
NWS CHEYENNE LOCAL CLIMATE PAGE...
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/CLIMATE/LOCAL_DATA.PHP?WFO=CYS
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
ADDITIONAL RIVER AND RESERVOIR INFORMATION...
NWS ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/...
HTTP://WWW.WATER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=CYS
USGS...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/
USBR...HTTP://WWW.USBR.GOV/
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.
QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...
ROB COX
SCIENCE AND OPERATIONS OFFICER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
1301 AIRPORT PKWY
CHEYENNE WY 82001
TELEPHONE...307-772-2468
EMAIL...ROB.COX@NOAA.GOV
$$
JAMSKI