Text Products for FWS Issued by EPZ

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 191614
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Cameron Creek Rx...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1014 AM MDT Fri Apr 19 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MDT on April 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Above average temperatures, dry conditions and breezy southwest winds
can be expected today. High temperatures drop a few degrees over the
weekend with afternoon breeziness and dry weather continuing. Min RH
values stay critical today and tomorrow then increasing to the low 20s
Sunday. Ventilation rates will be excellent today and tomorrow becoming
good to very good Sunday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph with gusts to
                    around 28 mph.
Mixing height.......10400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 21 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (226200 knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  21  9   8   8   5   6   6
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............68  69  72  73  74  75  77  75
RH..............18  15  13  13  12  11  10  10
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   8   10  13  13  14  14  14
20 FT wind gust.15  18  20  22  25  28  28  28
Mix hgt (kft)...5.2 6.2 7.8 8.5 9.2 10  10  10
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.19  20  21  22  24  25  25  25
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..65 108 150 177 200 223 226 206
Ventrate Cat....GD VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 26
                    mph shifting to the northwest after 3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 19 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (206100 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (6500 knot-ft) in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   8   8   8
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............75  72  64  62  60  58  57  55  55  53  52  51
RH..............10  11  13  14  15  17  19  22  22  24  26  27
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..13  12  11  10  9   9   8   8   8   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.26  24  22  20  18  18  17  15  15  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...10  6.1 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.20  20  18  16  15  15  15  15  14  14  14  14
Haines index....6   6   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..206 150 68  7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Ventrate Cat....EXL EXL GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......11000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6000 knot-ft) increasing excellent
                    (174900 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  24  27  23  20  15  4   4   4   5   5   5
Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............50  51  55  60  65  67  70  72  73  73  73  73
RH..............29  28  25  23  19  17  15  14  13  13  12  12
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  12  13
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  13  14  16  20  20  20  23  23  24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.7 2.9 4.8 7.2 9.5 10  11  11  11  10
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  11  12  14  16  17  18  18  18
Haines index....4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   6   11  26  54  90  122 148 165 174 174 164
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. East
winds around 8 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Southeast winds around 8 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds around
9 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SLUSHER
Requested by...FEMO t
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410979.4/EPZ
.DELDT 04/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
