881
FNUS75 KFGZ 131256
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Wallow West Unit 4...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
556 AM MST Mon May 13 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MST on May 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Slight warming and surface drying is expected today
and Tuesday with light winds. Isolated afternoon showers could develop
over the White Mountain area...with a slight chance of one producing
rain on the burn area. Winds will generally be light unless a shower
develops near the burn and produces erratic outflow gusts.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly sunny. Slight chance
                    of afternoon showers.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....67 to 70.
Min humidity........17 to 20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1270.
Mixing height.......12300 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 14100
                    ft AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....40 to 43.
Max humidity........50 to 55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots shifting to the north
                    overnight.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny early...becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....68 to 71.
Min humidity........16 to 19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......2005.
Mixing height.......13100 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 14300
                    ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 5 knots shifting to the southwest
                    10 to 15 knots in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...STUBBLEFIELD
Requested by...Christina Brannon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413640.2/FGZ
.DELDT 05/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL christina.brannon@usda.gov