Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Sioux Falls, SD

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633
FNUS73 KFSD 031655
FWSFSD

Spot Forecast for Oxbow WMA...MN DNR
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
1155 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...


With recent rains, the fire danger will continue to remain low for
the next several days. Today will start out dry before showers
move in later this afternoon into tonight.

At the time of ignition, the sky will be partly cloudy, temperatures will
be in the low 60s, dew point will be in the mid 40s, and relative
humidity (RH) will be around 55%. Winds will be southwesterly at
around 10 mph with gusts around 15 mph. A weak inversion remains
in place at this time, with mixing heights around 1400 ft above
ground level (AGL). Smoke could linger closer to the surface until
the inversion mixes out completely, around 2pm. Maximum mixing
height will be around 6000 ft AGL, around 4 pm.

Clouds will continue to increase this afternoon. Winds will
gradually increase to a peak sustained of 15 mph with gusts of 20
mph around 3 pm. Winds become southerly late afternoon as a cold
front approaches. The front is expected to be moving through the
area between midnight and 3 am. Winds will then be northerly
sustained 10-15 mph with gusts 15-20 mph. Rain showers are
expected to follow the front, and will begin between 7 and 9 pm.
Showers are expected to be clear of the area after 10 am. Rain
totals are expected to be between 0.25 and 0.5 inches.

Maximum temperature for this afternoon will be in the upper 60s,
with an overnight minimum in the low 40s. Dew points are expected
to be in the low to mid 40s through Saturday morning. RH will
fall through the afternoon reaching its minimum of 45% around 3
pm, then increase again overnight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........40 percent.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR PC  MC  MC  MC
Sky (%).........21  23  50  60  53  56
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10
Temp............62  64  64  65  67  65
Dewpoint........45  45  44  43  42  42
RH..............54  51  47  45  40  43
20 FT wind dir..SW  SSW SSW SSW SSW S
20 FT wind spd..14  14  15  15  14  13
20 FT wind gust.21  20  21  21  23  21
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 3.8 4.7 4.5 5.3 4.9
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SSW SSW SSW S
Transp wind spd.20  21  21  21  21  20
Haines index....6   5   5   5   5   5
Smoke Dispersal.GD  EX  EX  EX  EX  EX

.TONIGHT...

Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........98 percent.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
Sky (%).........63     73     79     90     96     98
Weather cov.....       S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     20     20     30     70     90
Temp............65     59     53     49     47     44
Dewpoint........43     44     45     43     42     43
RH..............45     57     73     81     84     95
20 ft wind......S 12   SE 9   NE 10  N 13   N 13   N 12
20 ft wind gust.20     14     15     17     18     18
Mix hgt (ft)....3800   600    700    1100   1200   1300
Transport wind..S 16   S 9    NNE 13 N 17   N 17   N 17
Haines index....5      5      5      5      3      3
Smoke Dispersal.GOOD   POOR   POOR   FAIR   FAIR   FAIR

.SATURDAY...

Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........43 percent.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR
Sky (%).........85     67     44     48     40     18
Weather cov.....DEFNTE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).80     40     10     10     10     0
Temp............44     45     50     54     59     60
Dewpoint........42     41     42     41     40     39
RH..............94     87     74     60     50     45
20 ft wind......N 13   N 13   NNW 14 NNW 14 NNW 14 NNW 14
20 ft wind gust.20     21     18     18     20     18
Mix hgt (ft)....1300   1500   2800   4500   5900   6400
Transport wind..N 18   N 20   N 22   N 21   NNW 21 NNW 21
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3
Smoke Dispersal.FAIR   FAIR   GOOD   EXCEL  EXCEL  EXCEL

$$
Forecaster...AP
Requested by...Chad August
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413099.0/FSD
.DELDT 05/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0