Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
176
FNUS54 KMAF 080255
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
955 PM CDT Tue May 7 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ UNTIL 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ WEDNESDAY FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS,
20-FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER
FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS SOUTH TO THE MARFA
PLATEAU AND PRESIDIO VALLEY...
.DISCUSSION...
Critical fire weather conditions are anticipated Wednesday across
all of southeastern New Mexico south to the Marfa Plateau and the
Presidio River Valley of west Texas. Single-digit relative humidity
readings, gusty 20-foot winds of 20 mph or more -- higher over the
mountains -- and very high to extreme fire danger will be present
during the afternoon and early evening. Rapid fire growth and
spread will be possible with any ignitions Wednesday.
Overnight relative humidity recovery tonight will be excellent over
the western Low Rolling Plains, southeastern Permian Basin, and the
lower Trans Pecos, but only poor to moderate elsewhere. Relative
humidity recovery Wednesday night will be generally poor to moderate.
Relative humidities will bottom out at 4-14% Wednesday afternoon.
Thursday, elevated to critical fire weather conditions are forecast
for south of the Pecos River. Improving conditions are expected this
weekend with cooler temperatures and increased moisture.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-080930-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
855 PM MDT Tue May 7 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY...
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 49 (-1) 82 (0) 46 79
RH % (24h trend) 19 (-2) 7 (+2) 28 11
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 23 W 16 W 18 NW 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 17 W 22 W 10 E 14
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 4 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 46 42 39 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10260 12510
Transport Wnd (kts) W 34 NW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 348840 250200
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 8 6 6 2
RFTI Category Extreme Critical Critical Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 70.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ117-080930-
Chaves Plains-
855 PM MDT Tue May 7 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY...
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (+1) 88 (0) 47 82
RH % (24h trend) 20 (0) 7 (+2) 34 14
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 19 NW 12 W 14 N 15
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 14 W 17 N 10 E 13
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 41 34 36 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13010 12110
Transport Wnd (kts) W 22 NE 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 286220 242200
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 8 4 4 1
RFTI Category Extreme Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-080930-
Eddy Plains-
855 PM MDT Tue May 7 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY...
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (0) 91 (+2) 52 86
RH % (24h trend) 19 (-2) 7 (0) 25 11
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 20 W 12 W 17 NW 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13 W 20 W 10 NW 12
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 4 4 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 46 41 34 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11170 11970
Transport Wnd (kts) W 30 NW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 335100 215460
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 8 7 7 2
RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Extreme Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds around
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ119-080930-
Lea-
855 PM MDT Tue May 7 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY...
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+1) 90 (+3) 49 84
RH % (24h trend) 20 (+2) 7 (+1) 37 14
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 18 NW 13 W 14 N 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13 W 18 NW 9 NE 14
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 45 39 33 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11440 10840
Transport Wnd (kts) W 26 N 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 297440 195120
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 8 7 7 0
RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Extreme Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-080930-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
955 PM CDT Tue May 7 2024 /855 PM MDT Tue May 7 2024/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ WEDNESDAY...
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (-2) 82 (+3) 52 80
RH % (24h trend) 19 (0) 8 (-2) 25 9
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 33 W 34 W 29 W 18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 36 W 34 W 28 W 22
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 46 46 42 29
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8440 10880
Transport Wnd (kts) W 39 W 27
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 329160 293760
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 8 7 7 7
RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Windy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
Northeast winds 25 to 30 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ279-280-282-080930-
Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction,
Marathon, Chisos Basin, Lajitas, and Castolon
955 PM CDT Tue May 7 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-5) 99 (+3) 60 98
RH % (24h trend) 29 (+4) 5 (-3) 24 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 11 W 14 W 11 W 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 12 W 15 NW 9 W 17
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 25 31 22 22
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10310 13090
Transport Wnd (kts) W 22 W 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 226820 301070
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 5 5 5
RFTI Category Near Crit Critical Critical Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Northeast winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>278-281-080930-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Presidio Valley-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
and Presidio
955 PM CDT Tue May 7 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT WEDNESDAY...
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-4) 91 (+3) 55 90
RH % (24h trend) 27 (+7) 7 (-1) 26 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 15 W 17 W 15 W 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 17 W 20 W 11 W 17
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 43 43 38 31
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10070 11850
Transport Wnd (kts) W 30 W 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 302100 272550
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 6 7 7 5
RFTI Category Critical Extreme Extreme Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-060>063-067>070-075-082-080930-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Kermit, Odessa, Midland,
Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, and Sanderson
955 PM CDT Tue May 7 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (0) 95 (+3) 56 92
RH % (24h trend) 56 (+7) 7 (-2) 49 11
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 12 W 11 W 10 NW 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 9 W 14 W 7 N 15
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 42 35 31 25
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10400 9540
Transport Wnd (kts) W 23 NW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 239200 190800
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 3 3 2
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds around
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ059-274-080930-
Loving-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Mentone and Pecos
955 PM CDT Tue May 7 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT WEDNESDAY...
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-3) 94 (+1) 59 91
RH % (24h trend) 22 (+3) 6 (-1) 25 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 13 W 12 W 12 W 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 11 W 19 W 9 NW 14
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 41 39 34 28
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10870 11770
Transport Wnd (kts) W 28 W 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 304360 223630
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 6 6 6 2
RFTI Category Critical Critical Critical Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast
winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 15 mph.
$$