Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
584
FNUS54 KMEG 130954
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
454 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024

.DISCUSSION...

An upper low moving through the region will result in chances for
showers and some thunderstorms through Tuesday. A few strong
storms are possible this evening into tonight. Dry and mild
weather returns for Wednesday and most of Thursday before rain
chances increase toward the end of the week as the next system
pushes into the region.

ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-132115-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
454 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     70           70           80
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.19         0.18         0.14
Precip Duration (hrs) 4            5            9
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      73 (-9)      63 (0)       77
RH % (24h trend)      71 (+34)     100 (+9)     61
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE 6-10 G18               SW 4-8
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S 8-12 G18   S 6-10       W 7-11
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     600                       1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1900                      3500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     600                       1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    2100                      3800
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  7                      W  6
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 15                      W 13
Vent Index (m2/s)     4200                      7200
Category Day          3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 67                        74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S  7                      SW  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 16                      SW 12
Dispersion Index      31           17           32
LAL                   3            4            4
LASI/Haines Index     3            3            3
Stability Class       C            D            C
Stagnation Index      2            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. East winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-132115-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
454 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     70           70           70
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.14         0.40         0.10
Precip Duration (hrs) 3            5            5
Precip Begin          6 AM         7 PM         Continuing
Precip End            3 PM         Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      74 (-8)      64 (0)       77
RH % (24h trend)      73 (+28)     100 (+6)     63
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE 6-10                   SW 4-8
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S 6-10       S 4-8        W 7-11 G17
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     700                       1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    2400                      4000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     800                       1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    2600                      4200
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  6                      W  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 14                      W 17
Vent Index (m2/s)     4800                      10400
Category Day          3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 67                        74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SE  8                     SW  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SE 18                     SW 16
Dispersion Index      31           15           42
LAL                   3            4            3
LASI/Haines Index     2            3            3
Stability Class       C            D            B
Stagnation Index      2            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-132115-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
454 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Chance (%)     70           60           100
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.04         0.16         0.22
Precip Duration (hrs) 4            4            10
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      71 (-10)     62 (+3)      78
RH % (24h trend)      71 (+36)     100 (+9)     66
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    S 5-9 G17                 S 5-9
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE 8-12 G18  SE 6-10      SW 6-10
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     600                       800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1900                      2500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     700                       900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    2300                      2900
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  8                      SW  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 17                      SW 16
Vent Index (m2/s)     5600                      6300
Category Day          3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 67                        72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S  8                      S  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 18                      S 16
Dispersion Index      37           16           32
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI/Haines Index     3            3            3
Stability Class       C            D            B
Stagnation Index      2            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-132115-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
454 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     70           70           90
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.08         0.25         0.20
Precip Duration (hrs) 4            5            10
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      72 (-9)      63 (+3)      78
RH % (24h trend)      73 (+33)     100 (+5)     65
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE 6-10                   SW 5-9
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S 8-12 G17   SE 6-10      SW 7-11 G17
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     600                       900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    2100                      2900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     700                       1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    2400                      3300
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  8                      W  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 17                      W 17
Vent Index (m2/s)     5600                      8000
Category Day          3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 67                        73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SE  8                     SW  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SE 18                     SW 16
Dispersion Index      37           16           39
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI/Haines Index     3            3            3
Stability Class       C            D            C
Stagnation Index      2            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-132115-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
454 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     70           70           70
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.11         0.41         0.10
Precip Duration (hrs) 4            4            5
Precip Begin          6 AM         7 PM         Continuing
Precip End            3 PM         Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      76 (-5)      63 (+1)      80
RH % (24h trend)      74 (+25)     100 (+5)     61
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE 7-11 G17               SW 6-10
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE 7-11 G17  SE 5-9       W 9-13 G19
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     600                       1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    2100                      4000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     700                       1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    2300                      4300
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  6                      W  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 13                      W 18
Vent Index (m2/s)     4200                      10400
Category Day          3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 66                        75
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SE  9                     SW  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SE 19                     SW 19
Dispersion Index      33           14           45
LAL                   3            4            3
LASI/Haines Index     2            3            3
Stability Class       C            D            C
Stagnation Index      2            3            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-132115-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
454 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     70           60           90
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.07         0.15         0.09
Precip Duration (hrs) 3            2            10
Precip Begin          6 AM         8 PM         Continuing
Precip End            5 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      74 (-7)      63 (+3)      80
RH % (24h trend)      72 (+29)     100 (+3)     60
AM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE 6-10 G17               SW 5-9
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE 8-12 G19  SE 6-10      SW 8-12
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)     600                       1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    1900                      3600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)     700                       1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)    2300                      4000
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SE  8                     W  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE 17                     W 20
Vent Index (m2/s)     5600                      10800
Category Day          3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 66                        75
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SE  9                     SW  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SE 20                     SW 18
Dispersion Index      39           14           51
LAL                   3            3            4
LASI/Haines Index     2            3            3
Stability Class       C            D            C
Stagnation Index      2            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$