800
FNUS72 KMLB 112013
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for FPL solar farm brush fire...Palm Bay Fire Rescue
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
413 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 EDT on May 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Currently, the sea breeze boundary is positioned very near the
wildfire location, with northeast winds of 10-15 mph with gusts up
to 20 mph through the remainder of the afternoon then becoming
variable overnight. There is a very small chance for an isolated
shower or lightning storm, but that threat should remain well
south of the area. Tomorrow morning, northeast winds of 5 to 10
mph will increase to 10-15 mph in the early afternoon with the
redevelopment of the sea breeze. Similar shower and storm chances
tomorrow afternoon, with the focus for activity south of the burn
site. Minimum RH values just above 40% today and tomorrow, with
afternoon highs tomorrow in the lower 90s.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 13 mph.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 12 mph.
Dispersion index....44.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      5PM
Sky (%).........16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10
LAL.............1
Temp............91
RH..............47
20 FT wind dir..NE
20 FT wind spd..13
20 FT wind gust.17
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6
Transp wind dir.N
Transp wind spd.12
Dispersion idx..44
LVORI...........1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....38 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 8.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........13     9      12     17     23     22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............89     79     75     73     70     69
RH..............50     74     84     90     93     97
20 ft wind......NE 12  E 9    NE 6   N 6    N 6    N 5
20 ft wind gust.16
Mix hgt (ft)....2700   1100   400    400    400    400
Transport wind..N 12   NE 10  NE 7   N 6    N 6    N 7
Dispersion idx..38     7      3      3      3      3
LVORI...........1      3      5      6      6      8

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1700, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 13 mph shifting to the
                    east around 13 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL increasing to 5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 10 mph shifting to the east 10
                    to 12 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 14 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 35 late in the morning increasing
                    to 51 late in the morning decreasing to 45.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........25     20     26     30     32     27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............68     73     84     88     89     88
RH..............97     81     57     48     47     48
20 ft wind......N 6    NE 6   NE 9   NE 10  E 13   E 13
20 ft wind gust.                     14     17     17
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1100   3600   4700   5000   4300
Transport wind..N 7    NE 8   NE 9   NE 10  E 12   E 12
Dispersion idx..3      14     38     52     52     47
LVORI...........8      4      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...J Schaper
Requested by...Assistant Chief McKee
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2413783.0/MLB
.DELDT 05/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Brandon.McKee@palmbayflorida.org