486
FNUS73 KMPX 011402
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Beyer...FWS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
902 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...For the Beyer Rx Burn, clouds will increase through
this afternoon with temperatures in the mid 60s. West winds will
be a bit breezy this morning before diminishing later this
morning and turning more northwest by mid afternoon. RH values
will fall to around 30%.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Temperature.........56 at ignition...Max 66.
RH..................57 percent at ignition...Min 31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 13 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    West winds 5 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /64000 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /80400 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 22 mph shifting to the northwest 7
                    to 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............56  59  61  62  63  64  64  64  63  60  58  56
RH..............57  50  42  41  38  36  38  40  43  53  57  62
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..13  13  13  10  8   7   5   3   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.21  21  20  16  14  12  9   9   9   9   9   10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 4.1 4.5 4.7 4.6 4.6 3.8 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  SE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.22  22  18  16  13  9   7   7   6   6   8   9
Haines index....5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers overnight. Chance of rain showers
                    overnight, then rain showers likely early in
                    the morning.
Temperature.........Min 48.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 6 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (20300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 6 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely in the morning, then chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 55.
RH..................Min 74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 9 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (33500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 21 mph decreasing to around 10 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Dye
Requested by...Millette
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412910.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL phil_millette@fws.gov