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000
TXUS20 KNES 201311
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/20/13 1310Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13: 1302ZDS
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LOCATION...W MISSOURI...N OKLAHOMA...SE KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...REDEVELOPING STORMS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...RECENT SATL/RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS YET
ANOTHER ROUND OF CNVTN THAT HAS FIRED OVER SE KS DURING THE PAST HR THAT
WILL LIKELY BRING HVY RAINFALL TO PARTS OF SE KS/W MO. SFC ANALYSIS
INDICATES A LOW BETWEEN KEND AND KSWO IN N CENTRAL OK WITH A FRONTAL
BNDRY EXTENDING NEWD ACROSS ERN KS. VERY STRONG SFC CNVG IS ANALYZED FROM
N CENTRAL OK INTO SE KS AS A RESULT. SWRLY LOW LVL FLOW ACROSS OK PER
RECENT VWP DATA CONTINUES TO FEED UNSTABLE AIR..ALBEIT GETTING SLIGHTLY
DRIER AT LOW LVLS..NE ALONG THE COLD FRONT. WV AND EXPERIMENTAL GOES RGB
AIRMASS IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A SUBTLE MID-LVL S/WV LIFTING
ACROSS NW OK/SRN KS THAT IS PROVIDING FORCING FOR NEW CELL DVLPMT. COMPACT
AREA OF UPPER LVL DIFFLUENCE/DIVERGENCE IS PRESENT PER GOES SATL WINDS
ACROSS SE KS/WRN MO AIDING IN LIFT.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1310-1710Z...MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...DEEP LAYERED SWRLY FLOW PER 12Z RAOBS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO FEED IN UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE S/SW ALONG
THE BNDRY. UPPER LVL DIFFLUENCE AND NEWD MOVEMENT OF MID-LVL S/WV WITH
CONTINUE TO AID IN LIFT OVER SE KS/WRN MO DURING THE MORNING HRS. THERE
IS SOME CHC OF ADDTL CELLS DVLPG A BIT FURTHER SW ALONG THE BNDRY INTO N
CENTRAL OK. ANY STORMS THAT DVLP HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO MOVE ACROSS PARTS
OF NE  AND N CENTRAL OK/SE KS/WRN MO THAT HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED 2-5" OF
RAIN DURING THE LAST 12 HRS PER NSSL QPE. EXPECT MAX RAIN RATES OF 1-2"
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN STORM CORES DURING THE OUTLOOK TIME.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 3909 9400 3773 9281 3635 9712 3747 9797
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