National Weather Service Text Product Display

Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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TXUS20 KNES 211652
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ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/21/13 1652Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 1615Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...ARKANSAS...TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...CONTINUED HEAVY RAIN THREAT FOR RED RIVER VALLEY WITH ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER VORT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...ENE/WSW ORIENTED NRLY SLD LN OF CNVTN
EXTNDS FROM KMWT TO KGLE. SRN PUSH ON WRN EDGE OF THIS LN HAS SLOWED
SOMEWHAT WITH APCH OF UPR VORT. N/S ORIENTED CNVTN ASCD WITH UPR VORT HAS
DEVELOPED RAPIDLY FROM KABI TO KFDR. AMS ALG AND E OF THIS LN ALG RED
RIVER REMAINS QUITE UNSTABLE AS PER LATEST GOES DERIVED SOUNDINGS. STG
SFC MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND POOLED HIGH MOISTURE ACRS N TX AND RED
RIVER KEEP THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL HEIGHTENED
FOR NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...ESP WHERE POSSIBILITY OF TRAINING/REPEAT CNVTN
IS GREATEST ALG AND JUST N OF RED RIVER. PLEASE SEE WPC MPD #0059 FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1700-2100Z...HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR IN SHORT
TERM OUTLOOK...LATEST GOES IMAGERY SHOWING CLD TOP TEMPS WITH CNVTV LN NR
KFDR CONT TO COOL/EXPAND. WHILE THIS LN IS PROGRESSIVE AND NOT EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE MORE THAN A FAIRLY QUICK BURST OF HEAVY RAIN (MAINLY LESS
THAN .75") CONCERN IS AS IT TRACKS FURTHER E INTO AREAS WHERE CNVTN HAS
ALRDY OCRD THIS MRNG AND DROPPED HEAVY RAIN JUST N OF RED RIVER. LIMITING
FACTOR WILL BE HIGHER FFG VALUES COMPARED TO CENTRAL OK DUE TO LACK OF
RAINFALL PAST SEVERAL DAYS.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 3474 9382 3315 9362 3281 9887 3464 9924
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