000
TXUS20 KNES 240110
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/24/13 0109Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-14            0055Z                   JANKOT
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LOCATION...CONNECTICUT...NEW YORK...NEW JERSEY...PENNSYLVANIA...
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ATTN WFOS...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...
ATTN RFCS...NERFC...MARFC...
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EVENT...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS SHORT WAVE
IMPULSE MOVING THROUGH W CENTRAL PA THAT HAS AIDED LIFT AND UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE OVER CENTRAL AND SE NY LAST FEW HOURS. IR IMAGERY SHOWS A
COOLING AND EXPANDING PATTERN OVER E PA WITH TWO AREAS OF CONVECTION
MERGING OVER E AND SE PA SUGGESTING HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL TO INCREASE
NEXT FEW HOURS. PLENTY OF MOISTURE TO WORK WITH THE BLENDED TPW PRODUCT
SUGGESTING 1.7" PWATS OVER MUCH OF DISCUSSION REGION AND THIS CORRESPONDS
TO 175-215% OF OF NORMAL. EXPECT RATES OF 1-2"/HR IN DEEPEST CORES/CELL
MERGERS FOR E PA AND SE NY WITH GREATEST THREAT FOR FF OVER SE NY WHERE
3 HR FFG IS 1-2".
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0115-0415Z...MED TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL SHOT OF HEAVY RAINS OVER E
PA NE THROUGH SE NY NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS WITH RATES AS HIGH AS 1-2"/HR
IN BEST CONVECTION. GIVEN THAT HEAVY RAINS OCCURRED EARLIER EXPECT A
MOD TO HIGH THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL FF.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 4251 7511 4169 7307 3938 7397 4020 7630
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