000
TXUS20 KNES 172246
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/17/13 2246Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 2215Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGIA...TENNESSEE...
LOCATION...ALABAMA...
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ATTN WFOS...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...HUN...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...LMRFC...
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EVENT...CONVECTIVE LINE ORGANIZING ACROSS NORTHERN GEORGIA
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CNVTN IS TRYING TO ORGANIZING ALG AN E/W
AXIS ACRS NRN GA AND E CENTRAL AL. CELLS ALG THIS LN ARE MVG PARALLEL
THE LN ALLOWING FOR SOME TRAINING TO OCR. INTERSECTING THIS IS A QUASI
N/S LN FROM ERN TN TO E CENTRAL GA THAT IS PROPAGATING TO THE EAST THAT
APPEARS TO BE MORE MID LEVEL BASED AND IS EVIDENT IN STLT AND RADAR
ANIMATION. DIFFICULT TO FIND GOOD FORCING MECHANISM IN STLT IMAGERY FOR
THIS CNVTN BUT LINEAR ORGANIZATION IS RAISING HEAVY RAIN THREAT.
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HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL MAINLY BE FROM SLOW CELL MVMNT AND TRAINING
ACTIVITY ALG ROUGHLY A KALX..KAHN LN. MAX ESTD STLT RAIN RATES OF UP TO
1.5"/HR PSBL ALG THIS LN UNDER CNVTN CORES.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 2300-0300Z...MEDIUM LOW CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...SEEMS TO BE A SLOW NRWRD DRIFT TO THE LN ACRS
NRN GA. INTERACTION WITH CNVTV CLUSTER OVER E CENTRAL AL EXPECTED TO
HELP KEEP CNVTN GOING THRU THIS PD AND ALLOW FOR PSBL RAINFALL TOTALS
THIS PD TO APCH 3" LOCALLY WHERE REPEAT CNVTN OCRS. PLEASE SEE FFGMPD
#110 FOR ADL INFORMATION.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 3514 8588 3508 8241 3352 8214 3328 8592
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