000
TXUS20 KNES 250637
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/25/13 0636Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-14 0615Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...NW MISSOURI...SW IOWA...N KANSAS...C AND E NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID...LBF...GLD...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...
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EVENT...CONVECTIVE COMPLEX PUSHING EAST ACROSS NEBRASKA...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WELL DEFINED MOISTURE PLUME OR
CONCENTRATION OF HIGHEST MOISTURE EXTENDED FROM SOUTH TEXAS (PRECIP
WATER VALUES CLOSE TO 2") TO E NEBRASKA/W IA (CLOSE TO 1.4") AND NORTH TO
THE DAKOTAS/W MN (NEAR 1"). CONTINUAL MOISTURE TRANSPORT FROM SOUTH HAS
INCREASE WATER VAPOR CONTENT IN ATMOSPHERE ACROSS KS/NEBRASKA AND HELPING
TO FEED CONVECTIVE COMPLEX NOW PUSHING EAST ACROSS CENTRAL TO INTERIOR
SE NEBRASKA.  COLDEST CLOUD TOPS CONCENTRATED ON THE SOUTH AND SE QUAD
OF THE COMPLEX MARKING HIGHEST RAIN RATES AND SHIFTING EAST..POSSIBLY
A BIT SOUTH OF EAST.    COUNTIES THAT CAN BE GETTING MULTIPLE BURSTS OF
HVY RAIN FROM THE COMPLEX WERE CENTERED FROM BUFFALO COUNTY IN S CENTRAL
NEBRASKA TO MERRICK/HOWARD COUNTY ACROSS THE INTERIOR E CENTRAL/SE
PART OF THE STATE.  EARLIER (0400Z MICROWAVE DATA) SHOWED A MAX RAIN RATE
OF 1.4"/HR CENTERED ON CUSTER/DAWSON COUNTY AND CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES
HAVE FURTHER COOLED FROM THAT TIME AS COLDEST TOPS DRIFT EAST...SO IT
IS SAFE TO SAY THAT MAX RAIN RATES ARE AS HIGH OR HIGHER AS THE COMPLEX
HAS SHIFTED EAST SINCE THAT TIME.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0630-0930Z...MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...EXPECT CONVECTIVE COMPLEX TO CONTINUE TO
BE FUELED BY GOOD MOISTURE TRANSPORT FROM HIGHER MOISTURE TO THE
THE SOUTH AND SHIFT EAST/SE OVER THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.  HIGHEST RAIN
AMOUNTS WILL SHIFT FROM CURRENT BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON COUNTY AREA
TO HAMILTON-LANCASTER/GAGE/SAUNDERS COUNTY AREA WITH HAMILTON COUNTY
GETTING SOME TRAINING HVY RAIN BURSTS AND HIGHLY POTENTIAL FF THREAT.
SOUTHERLY DEEP MOISTURE FLOW WILL NOT BE IMPEDED AS CONVECTION TO THE
SOUTH IN N TX AND SW KANSAS FURTHER WEAKENS.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 4211 10069 4158 9479 3995 9535 4001 10109
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