Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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000
FNUS71 KPHI 221247
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Hudson Farm RxB...NJ Forest Fire Service
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
847 AM EDT Fri Mar 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on March 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Relative Humidity will continue to rise tonight with winds
quickly easing as well. Much lighter winds along with somewhat
higher humidity values are forecast on Friday, greatly limiting
the fire weather threat. While minimum RH may still reach down
close to 30-40 percent during `peak daytime heating` Friday
afternoon, winds of mainly 5 to 10 mph will preclude the need
for even another Special Weather Statement on Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 43.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph late in the
                    morning becoming light, then becoming south 6
                    to 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest
                    6 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (13100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (53500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................19 early in the morning increasing to 73 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18  20  23  25  28  30  31  32  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............25  28  31  35  37  40  41  42  42
RH..............60  53  45  38  35  31  33  33  36
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   3   3   2   2   5   6   8
20 FT wind gust.7   8   5   6   3   3   7   8   12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 2.4 2.6 2.7 3.1 3.7 4.1 4.2 4.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  W   SW  SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.9   8   6   6   6   8   12  14  15
ADI.............25  24  19  20  22  36  56  69  73
Vrate kt-ft/1K..17  17  13  14  16  26  41  51  54
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain and snow in the evening, then rain
                    overnight.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 100 percent.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 34.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (46600 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (6700 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................66 early in the evening decreasing to 8 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........34  35  60  60  69  91  93  96  98  98  98  98
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....                SN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  20  20  40  50  70  80  90  100
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  20  20  40  50  70  80  90  100
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............42  40  37  36  35  35  35  35  36  36  37  38
RH..............37  42  50  59  66  72  78  85  85  92  92  96
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   8   9   10  12  12  12  13  12  13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.10  13  14  16  17  17  18  20  18  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 1.3 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.16  13  14  14  15  15  15  15  15  15  14  14
ADI.............66  8   12  12  13  13  13  13  13  13  12  12
Vrate kt-ft/1K..47  15  12  12  13  14  14  13  12  9   7   7
Ventrate Cat....FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain.
CWR.................100 percent.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........82 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 13 mph shifting to the
                    north 13 to 15 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 16 mph shifting to the north
                    around 16 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (13100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................11 to 19.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........98  99  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 95  94  94
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Chc of pcpn (%).100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............39  40  42  43  45  47  47  48  49  48  48  46
RH..............96  96  96  96  96  96  96  96  93  93  86  89
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   N   N
20 FT wind spd..12  12  12  13  13  14  13  14  13  10  10  16
20 FT wind gust.17  17  17  20  21  22  20  20  20  20  21  24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  E   NE  N
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  16  15  14  14  15  15  15  16  16
ADI.............11  14  15  18  16  15  18  19  19  19  19  19
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   6   8   9   9   8   12  13  13  13  13  12
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...MJL
Requested by...Todd Sacchiero
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408177.0/PHI
.DELDT 03/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL todd.sacchiero@dep.nj.gov


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