Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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FNUS71 KPHI 240622
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Spot Forecast for Ponders Unit 5...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
222 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will bring isolated showers today, but wetting rain will
be hard to come by and humidity will remain rather low. It will remain
breezy like it was yesterday. Tomorrow will be cooler and dry with
continued breezy conditions.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming mostly
                    sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated rain showers
                    early in the morning.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent early in
                    the morning, then decreasing to 10 percent late
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 12 mph becoming 9 to 10 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (91100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (88900
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.
ADI.................11 early in the morning increasing to 117 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 99  99  96  93  80  67  45  40  32  32
Weather cov.....    ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............55  57  60  62  64  67  68  70  71  70  70
RH..............69  67  62  60  56  50  49  42  41  41  41
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..9   9   10  13  13  13  13  13  13  12  10
20 FT wind gust.16  16  17  21  20  21  21  21  21  20  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.3 2.5 3.4 4.8 5.6 7.0 6.0 6.6 5.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.15  14  17  21  21  22  23  23  22  21  20
ADI.............11  11  29  45  71  89  100 109 98  96  117
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   6   19  45  61  91  112 140 114 119 89
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  VGD VGD VGD VGD GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    north 6 to 8 mph late in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 16 mph shifting to the north 13
                    to 17 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (39300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4600 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................56 early in the evening decreasing to 5 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........28  24  24  26  27  24  22  21  22  33  48  55
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............68  66  62  59  58  56  55  53  51  49  49  48
RH..............43  47  54  62  67  69  69  71  71  74  68  68
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..9   7   6   6   7   7   7   8   9   10  9   9
20 FT wind gust.15  12  10  10  12  12  13  14  16  17  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.16  13  12  12  13  14  17  17  17  17  16  17
ADI.............56  6   5   5   6   6   8   12  12  12  14  15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..39  7   5   5   6   6   10  12  11  10  9   11
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (41600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................13 to 50.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........59  60  58  53  49  44  40  35  30  29  27  25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............47  47  46  48  49  51  52  53  53  53  53  52
RH..............71  68  71  65  63  61  56  54  54  54  54  56
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   8   13  13  13  13  12  12  12  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.15  16  15  15  15  15  14  14  14  14  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 2.2 2.7 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.2 2.9 2.5
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.15  16  16  14  15  14  12  13  13  13  14  14
ADI.............13  45  36  33  50  48  41  43  45  44  42  44
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9   31  38  37  42  41  36  38  40  37  34  30
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...RCM
Requested by...Natasha Whetzel
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412083.0/PHI
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL natasha.whetzel@tnc.org
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