Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
183 FNUS55 KPSR 031927 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 1227 PM MST Fri May 3 2024 ...ELEVATED TO LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND ACROSS SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA TO SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA... .DISCUSSION... Warm and dry weather will persist into this weekend, with light and diurnal winds and typical afternoon breeziness today. Afternoon highs will remain slightly above normal through tomorrow in the low to mid 90s across the lower deserts. Gusty winds will begin to increase across the region starting Saturday afternoon/evening, particularly across parts of southeast California where gusts are expected to exceed 40 mph at times. Strong winds increase across Arizona heading into Sunday afternoon with gusts across south- central and southwest Arizona climbing upwards of 30-40 mph and some gusts potentially exceeding 40 mph, particularly across southern Gila County. The strong winds and dry conditions will lead to elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions this weekend. Min RHs through the weekend will be around 10-20%, while overnight Max RHs will be around 30-60% for most areas. Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-040730- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 1227 PM MST Fri May 3 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................58-68. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................35-51 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................87-94. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......11600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 11 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................57-67. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................39-54 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 20 to 30 mph in the evening becoming 30 to 40 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Patchy blowing dust in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................75-87. * 24 hr trend..................9 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................18-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 35 to 45 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 21 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 50-60. Highs 81-87. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 55-65. Highs 85-92. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 56-66. Highs 85-93. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 56-66. Highs 86-93. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57-67. Highs 89-96. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-040730- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 1227 PM MST Fri May 3 2024 /1227 PM PDT Fri May 3 2024/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................60-65. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................42-64 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................90-95. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................14-18 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 10 to 20 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 15 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Excellent. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. * Min Temperature.................58-63. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................50-58 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 15 to 25 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph in the evening becoming 35 to 45 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Patchy blowing dust. * Max Temperature.................77-82. * 24 hr trend..................13 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................17-21 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 15 to 25 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 40 to 50 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........6400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........West 20 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Excellent. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 51-59. Highs 82-87. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 55-62. Highs 88-93. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 57-62. Highs 88-93. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 57-64. Highs 89-94. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59-65. Highs 92-97. $$ AZZ133-040730- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 1227 PM MST Fri May 3 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................47-61. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................33-44 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming north after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................74-88. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-16 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................48-60. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................36-48 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph in the evening becoming 25 to 35 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................71-85. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................15-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Breezy. South 10 to 20 mph in the morning becoming southwest 20 to 30 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 30 to 40 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 42-56. Highs 69-83. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 43-59. Highs 72-86. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 44-59. Highs 72-87. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 44-59. Highs 72-86. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 44-62. Highs 75-90. $$ CAZ232-040730- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 1227 PM PDT Fri May 3 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................60-66. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................38-63 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................85-94. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................13-21 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming 20 to 30 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust. * Min Temperature.................57-65. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................47-63 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 15 to 25 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 30 to 40 mph in the evening becoming west 40 to 50 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Patchy blowing dust. * Max Temperature.................70-80. * 24 hr trend..................15 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................14-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 15 to 25 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 40 to 50 mph in the morning becoming 25 to 35 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 51-61. Highs 78-87. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 56-64. Highs 83-92. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 59-66. Highs 84-93. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 60-67. Highs 84-94. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 61-69. Highs 87-96. $$ CAZ230-040730- Joshua Tree National Park- 1227 PM PDT Fri May 3 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................51-63. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................37-48 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................72-88. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................15-29 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph in the morning becoming 20 to 30 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .SATURDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. * Min Temperature.................44-60. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................52-83 pct. * 24 hr trend..................22 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 15 to 25 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny in the morning becoming sunny in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................59-76. * 24 hr trend..................12 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................14-32 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 15 to 25 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 25 to 35 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 39-57. Highs 68-81. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 47-61. Highs 73-86. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 49-61. Highs 72-86. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 50-61. Highs 73-86. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 51-64. Highs 76-90. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Saturday May 11th through Monday May 13th: Below normal temperatures and near median precipitation.