Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FNUS74 KSHV 090955
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Spot Forecast for SNF Hawthorne 51...USFS
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
455 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on May 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (318) 631-3669 ext. 241, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Starting the morning with some patchy fog near and around the proposed
ignition site. Winds appear to be light from the south to start the day
with sustained speeds only near 6 mph with not much in the way of higher
gusts. Minimum afternoon relative humidity values will bottom out near
60 percent once again today. Storms become likely very late in the
afternoon or during the evening hours before moving east of the region
by late evening. Wetting rain chances during this period is virtually
certain but fog tomorrow morning cannot be ruled out in the wake of
the rainfall.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........23  30  40  45  60  63  58  56  43  37  38
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY                         SCH SCH
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG                         RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                    SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20
Temp............71  74  76  79  82  84  86  88  89  90  90
RH..............100 95  93  88  79  74  70  63  62  60  60
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SW  S   NE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..4   5   4   4   5   5   6   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   7   8   7   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.3 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.3 2.9 3.3 3.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.5   7   5   5   7   7   9   7   7   8   8
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
Trans spd (m/s).2   3   2   2   3   3   4   3   3   4   4
Dispersion idx..4   11  7   10  18  20  28  28  26  32  32
LVORI...........M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........53  64  64  65  75  79  70  64  58  57  57  57
Weather cov.....SCH LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............20  60  60  60  40  40  40  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............88  84  78  74  73  71  71  70  67  66  65  65
RH..............64  71  86  93  93  100 97  98  99  99  100 96
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  N   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.8   8   6   7   7   8   8   10  10  11  12  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.E   NE  N   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.8   8   7   8   7   6   7   9   9   13  13  14
Trans wind dir..E   NE  N   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   3   4   3   3   3   4   4   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..18  5   3   3   5   6   7   8   10  11  11  9
LVORI...........M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

.FRIDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........57  57  54  45  21  17  19  21  20  18  17  22
CWR.............10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............65  64  66  68  73  75  78  81  82  83  83  82
RH..............90  90  83  80  66  62  57  50  47  46  46  49
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   9   9   8   8   8   8   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.12  12  14  14  14  13  13  13  13  12  11  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.4 4.5 3.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.0
Transp wind dir.N   N   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.12  12  14  16  17  17  18  18  14  13  14  13
Trans wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Trans spd (m/s).5   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..7   9   17  29  43  57  70  78  83  82  73  51
LVORI...........M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

$$
Forecaster...BERRY
Requested by...Matt Laricos
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413428.1/SHV
.DELDT 05/09/24
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL matthew.laricos@usda.gov