Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS La Crosse, WI

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AXUS74 KARX 191909
DGTARX
IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061-240000-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...CORRECTED TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
208 PM CST THU MAR 19 2015

...MODERATE DROUGHT DEVELOPS ACROSS MUCH OF MINNESOTA AND PARTS OF
WESTERN WISCONSIN...

SYNOPSIS...

SINCE NOVEMBER OF 2014...THE FLOW ALOFT HAS BEEN PRIMARILY FROM THE
NORTHWEST.  THIS HAS KEPT THE AREA VERY DRY.  PRECIPITATION DEFICITS
FROM NOVEMBER 1 2014 THROUGH MARCH 17 2015 ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING
BETWEEN 2.50 INCHES AND 4.50 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.  DUE TO THIS
DRYNESS...MODERATE DROUGHT /D1/ CONDITIONS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED
ACROSS MUCH OF MINNESOTA AND PARTS OF WEST-CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
WISCONSIN.  THIS INCLUDES BUFFALO COUNTY IN WEST-CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
AND DODGE...OLMSTED...AND WABASHA COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA.
ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...NORTHEAST IOWA...AND WESTERN
WISCONSIN...ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS /D0/ EXIST.

THIS DRYNESS IS CAUSING LOWER THAN NORMAL FLOWS ON AREA RIVERS AND
STREAMS.  THE LOWEST FLOWS CURRENTLY ARE FOUND ALONG BLOODY RUN
CREEK IN NORTHEAST IOWA; AND PARTS OF THE KICKAPOO...LA CROSSE...AND
LEMONWEIR RIVERS IN WESTERN WISCONSIN.

WITH NOAA/S CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER PREDICTING NEAR TO ABOVE-
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION FROM APRIL
THROUGH JUNE...THEIR DROUGHT SEASONAL FORECAST IS CALLING FOR FURTHER
EXPANSION AND POSSIBLE INTENSIFICATION OF THE DROUGHT ACROSS THE
UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THIS SPRING AND EARLY SUMMER.  THEIR
FORECAST BELOW IS BASED UPON A WEAK EL NINO AND ABNORMALLY-WARM
WATERS IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

LOCAL AREA AFFECTED.

ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/ TO MODERATE DROUGHT /D1/ ARE FOUND IN ALL OR
PARTS OF BUFFALO COUNTY IN WEST-CENTRAL WISCONSIN...AND DODGE...
OLMSTED...AND WABASHA COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA.

ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/ CONDITIONS ARE FOUND IN ALL OF ALLAMAKEE...
CHICKASAW...CLAYTON...FAYETTE...FLOYD...HOWARD...MITCHELL...AND WINNESHIEK
COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST IOWA; FILLMORE...HOUSTON...MOWER...AND WINONA
COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA; AND ADAMS...CLARK...CRAWFORD...GRANT...
JACKSON...JUNEAU...LA CROSSE...MONROE...RICHLAND...TAYLOR...TREMPEALEAU...
AND VERNON COUNTIES IN WESTERN WISCONSIN.

STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS.

NO KNOWN ACTIONS ARE CURRENTLY TAKING PLACE.

FIRE DANGER HAZARDS.

AS OF THE MORNING OF MARCH 17TH...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER WAS REPORTED
IN CRAWFORD...GRANT...RICHLAND...AND VERNON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST
WISCONSIN.

HIGH FIRE DANGER WAS REPORTED IN DODGE...FILLMORE...HOUSTON...MOWER...
OLMSTED...WABASHA...AND WINONA COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA; AND
ADAMS...BUFFALO...CLARK...JACKSON...JUNEAU...LA CROSSE...MONROE...TAYLOR...
AND TREMPEALEAU COUNTIES IN WESTERN WISCONSIN.

AS A REMINDER...CITIZENS SHOULD ALWAYS CHECK WITH LOCAL OFFICIALS IN
THEIR AREA BEFORE UNDERTAKING ANY OUTSIDE BURNING.  CITIZENS ARE
LIABLE FOR DAMAGES AND SUPPRESSION COSTS OF ANY WILDFIRE THEY MAY
START.

CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY...

PRECIPITATION...

SINCE NOVEMBER OF 2014...THE FLOW ALOFT HAS BEEN PRIMARILY FROM THE
NORTHWEST.  THIS HAS KEPT THE AREA VERY DRY.  PRECIPITATION DEFICITS
FROM NOVEMBER 1...2014 THROUGH MARCH 17...2015 ARE RUNNING BETWEEN
2.50 INCHES AND 4.50 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.  WABASHA...MN HAS ONLY
RECEIVED 2.50 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  THIS IS 3.83 INCHES BELOW
NORMAL.  THIS IS THE 4TH DRIEST FOR THIS TIME PERIOD AND THE DRIEST
SINCE 2002-2003 WHEN 1.74 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION FELL.  THE DRIEST
EVER FOR THIS TIME PERIOD 1.71 INCHES IN 1967-68.  DUE TO THIS
DRYNESS...THIS AREA WAS RECENTLY DOWNGRADED FROM ABNORMALLY DRY /D0/
TO A MODERATE DROUGHT /D1/.

LOOKING AHEAD FOR THE PERIOD OF APRIL THROUGH JUNE OF 2015...THERE
ARE ENHANCED PROBABILITIES OF BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION DUE TO THE
WEAK EL NINO AND ABNORMALLY-WARM WATERS IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS...

FROM MARCH 19TH THROUGH MARCH 24TH...BOTH TEMPERATURES AND
PRECIPITATION WILL AVERAGE NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL.  DURING THIS TIME
FRAME...THE DAILY AVERAGE TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM 32 TO 37 DEGREES
AND THE NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS AROUND 4 TENTHS OF AN INCH. FROM
MARCH 25TH THROUGH MARCH 31ST...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/
IS FORECASTING BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION.  DURING
THIS TIME FRAME...THE DAILY AVERAGE TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM 35 TO
40 DEGREES AND THE NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS AROUND 6 TENTHS OF AN INCH.

THE CPC SEASONAL OUTLOOK FOR APRIL THROUGH JUNE OF 2015 CALLS FOR
NEAR- TO ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
DUE TO THIS...THE DROUGHT IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND AND POTENTIALLY
INTENSIFY ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THIS SPRING AND
EARLY SUMMER.

HYDROLGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

THE LONG-TERM DRYNESS SINCE LAST AUTUMN HAS CAUSED THE RIVER FLOWS
ALONG BLOODY RUN CREEK IN NORTHEAST IOWA; AND PARTS OF THE KICKAPOO...
LA CROSSE...AND LEMONWEIR RIVERS IN WESTERN WISCONSIN.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON THURSDAY APRIL 2.

.RELATED WEB SITES...

LOCAL DROUGHT SITE...
HTTP//WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/ARX/?N=DROUGHT

LOCAL DROUGHT MONITORING SITE...
HTTP//WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/ARX/?N=DROUGHTMONITORING

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...
 HTTP//WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...
HTTP//WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

MIDWESTERN REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER /MRCC/...
  HTTP//MCC.SWS.UIUC.EDU/INDEX.JSP

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...

NWS - HTTP//WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/
USGS - HTTP//WATER.USGS.GOV/
COE - HTTP//WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/...

HTTP//WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT
INVOLVING NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC
DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND
THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE
COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES...USDA...COE AND USGS.

.QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS
ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT...

JEFFREY BOYNE CLIMATE SERVICES FOCAL POINT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
N 2788 COUNTY ROAD FA
LA CROSSE WI 54601-3038
TELEPHONE 608-784-8275

E-MAIL JEFF.BOYNE@NOAA.GOV

$$

BOYNE



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