Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
351 AM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

...Heavy Rainfall from the remnants of Harvey poised to strike...

The models are beginning to lock in on a track for Harvey that
will eject it up and across the Mississippi river valley, reaching
into west Tennessee by the end of the week. This track will bring
its rains, sometimes heavy, to much of the southern and eastern
parts of the Quad State, with a peak swath of rain of around 6
inches being forecast for portions of southern Kentucky.

Rain chances actually enter the forecast as early as today, with
the first outer most band of showers from Harvey reaching this far
north. However, these chances remain small, with minimal rainfall
amounts, until later tonight. That is when Harvey`s impacts will
really start to enter into the forecast picture.

We`ll see Harvey lift from Louisiana late tonight, into west
Tennesse during a 24 hour period through Thursday night. Rain
chances ramp up from the south and east as Harvey ejects, with
peak rain chances and amounts occurring from late Thursday,
through Thursday night and into the day Friday. By the time it is
all starting to taper off Friday night into the weekend, Harvey
will have laid out a broad swath of 3 plus inch amounts along and
south of the Ohio river, with maximum totals of 5 to 6 inches
concentrating in and around the southern Lakes area of western
Kentucky, from Murray eastward toward Madisonville and
Hopkinsville.

Further northward and westward, the precipitation will sharply
draw down, with scant amounts of a half inch or less expected,
along and west of a Du Quoin, Illinois to Doniphan, Missouri line.

These heavier rainfall amounts, particularly for portions of
western Kentucky, could heighten the potential for flooding, even
though it has been dry for awhile and we are in need of rainfall.
Also keep in mind, the track of Harvey could change, and this may
impact you and your expected totals. Remember to keep an eye out
for rising water levels, if they occur, and seek high ground. And
stay tuned to your latest and most up to date weather forecasts
on Harvey and its potential impacts for your local area.

$$



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