Extended Streamflow Guidance
Issued by NWS

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000
FGUS63 KMSR 222149
ESGDEV

DEVILS LAKE BASIN
LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
348 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015


IN TABLE 2 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY
OF EXCEEDING THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD.

:...TABLE 2--EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...

.B MSR 0119 Z DH12 /DC1501192148/DRD+6/DVD90/HGVFZXT/HGVFZX9/HGVFZXH
.B1 /HGVFZX5/HGVFZXG/HGVFZX1/HGVFZXF
:
:       Chance of Exceeding Stages (ft) at Specific Locations
:               Valid  Period: 1/19/2015 - 9/30/2015
:
:           95%     90%     75%     50%     25%     10%      5%
:           ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---
:Devils Lake
DCBN8    1451.8/ 1451.8/ 1451.9/ 1452.0/ 1452.1/ 1452.5/ 1452.8
:Stump Lake
ESLN8    1451.8/ 1451.8/ 1451.9/ 1452.0/ 1452.1/ 1452.5/ 1452.8
.END

IN TABLE 3 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY
OF FALLING BELOW THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD.

:...TABLE 3--NONEXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...

.B MSR 0119 Z DH12 /DC1501192148/DRD+6/DVD90/HGVFZNT/HGVFZN9/HGVFZNH
.B1 /HGVFZN5/HGVFZNG/HGVFZN1/HGVFZNF
:
:       Chance of Falling Below Stages (ft) at Specific Locations
:               Valid  Period: 9/1/2015 - 11/30/2015
:
:           95%     90%     75%     50%     25%     10%      5%
:           ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---
:Devils Lake
DCBN8    1451.0/ 1450.4/ 1450.2/ 1449.8/ 1449.4/ 1449.2/ 1449.1
:Stump Lake
ESLN8    1451.0/ 1450.4/ 1450.2/ 1449.8/ 1449.4/ 1449.2/ 1449.1
.END


:Long-range probabilistic outlooks are issued near the end of
:the month throughout the year.

$$




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