Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 240623
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
223 AM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

...Record-setting warmth continues today through Monday...

.DISCUSSION...Dry weather and mainly clear skies are expected across
our entire region thru Monday as high pressure remains in control.
Another hot late September day is expected across Northern
Michigan...and maximum temperature records will likely be matched or
broken again today for some locations.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-242015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
223 AM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....89-94...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 61-66 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 13 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (710).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....84-89...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 56-61 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (740).
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-242015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
223 AM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....89-94...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent...except 66-71 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (530).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....60-65...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....85-90...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (550).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-242015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
223 AM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....89-94...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (740).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....60-65...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....86-91...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (640).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-242015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
223 AM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....88-93...except 78-83 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 61-66 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (860).
Mixing Height.......6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 3 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....86-91...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 56-61 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (670).
Mixing Height.......7000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-242015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
223 AM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....89-94.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (840).
Mixing Height.......6800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....85-90.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (660).
Mixing Height.......7300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...NOT AS WARM. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MR



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