Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 221647
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
1147 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

.DISCUSSION...

A nearly stationary front will remain just south of Pennsylvania
today through Saturday, before lifting north across
the commonwealth as a warm front Saturday night. Several
waves of low pressure will ride along this boundary, leading to
periods of rain over most of
Central and Southern Pennsylvania.

The air will be cold enough across Northern Pennsylvania to
support periods of wintry precipitation in the form of snow today,
along with a light glaze of freezing rain or freezing drizzle, and more light
icing possible tonight and Friday morning. The Laurel Highlands
and portions of the Central Mountains will also become cold
enough to support periods of freezing rain or freezing drizzle
today through Friday morning.

PAZ004>006-010-011-230915-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
1147 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain     Frz Rain     Frz Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  50          100           60           70
Temp (24h trend)              30 (-1)     47 (+12)           35           45
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)     82 (+23)           96           76
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                     SE  9 G20                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             E  6     S  9 G21        SW  6      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.05         0.45         0.12         0.11
Precip Duration                    10           12            9            9
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            820         1130           90         1510
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE 15        SE 16        SW  6        NW  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                8130        26240            0        16820
Dispersion                          4            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s.
Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-230915-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
1147 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain     Frz Rain     Frz Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  70          100           60           70
Temp (24h trend)              31 (-2)     46 (+11)           38           46
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)     85 (+49)          100           76
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         SE  7                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             E  6     S  7 G17      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.10         0.58         0.13         0.11
Precip Duration                    10           12            9            9
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            870         1360           80         1510
Transport Wnd (mph)              E 12        SE 17        SW  3        NW  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                5270        28240            0        16830
Dispersion                          3            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Rain. Lows around 40. Highs around 50. Minimum RH
64 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper
40s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
40s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-230915-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
1147 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain     Frz Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  70           90           60           80
Temp (24h trend)              33 (-2)     57 (+21)           43           52
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)      77 (+5)          100           71
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         SE  9                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SE  7         S  8    SW  7 G17      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.14         0.43         0.13         0.12
Precip Duration                    10           12            9           12
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            430          810            0          860
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE 16        SE 16         S  8        NW  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 830        17410            0         7800
Dispersion                          1            5            1            3
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            2            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s.
Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 40s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-230915-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, and Mifflintown
1147 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain     Frz Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  70           90           60           70
Temp (24h trend)              32 (-4)      44 (+7)           39           48
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)     85 (+47)           96           71
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         SE  6                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             E  5         S  6      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.12         0.36         0.12         0.11
Precip Duration                    11           12            9            9
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            730         1520           90         1620
Transport Wnd (mph)              E 12         S 18         W  3        NE  3
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                2320        34440            0         9380
Dispersion                          2            5            1            4
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            2            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs
in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 15 to
20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 40s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. East winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

PAZ034-035-230915-
Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of Bedford and McConnellsburg
1147 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain     Frz Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  80           90           60           70
Temp (24h trend)              34 (-4)      48 (+9)           42           50
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)     82 (+19)           96           71
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         SE  6                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          Lgt/Var         S  6      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.12         0.24         0.11         0.12
Precip Duration                    11           12            9            9
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            930         1410           70         1400
Transport Wnd (mph)              E 14         S 16        NW  5         E  3
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                6250        29090            0         6720
Dispersion                          3            5            1            3
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            2            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s.
Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 50.
Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper
40s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-230915-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
1147 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain     Frz Rain     Frz Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  50           90           50           50
Temp (24h trend)              29 (-2)      40 (+7)           36           44
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)     82 (+43)           96           73
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                     SE  8 G21                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          Lgt/Var     S 10 G22        SW  7      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.05         0.35         0.11         0.09
Precip Duration                     8           11            3            2
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            760         1420           60         1480
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE 10         S 24         W  3         N  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                3120        43980            0        10530
Dispersion                          2            5            1            4
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the upper 40s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-058-230915-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick,
and Pottsville
1147 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain     Frz Rain     Frz Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  60           90           50           50
Temp (24h trend)              31 (-5)      40 (+3)           37           47
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)     82 (+48)           96           68
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         SE  6                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          Lgt/Var        SE  6      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.08         0.35         0.11         0.09
Precip Duration                    10           12            3            2
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            940         1400          110         1600
Transport Wnd (mph)              E 10        SE 15        NW  3         N  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                3140        33680            0         9320
Dispersion                          2            5            1            4
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows around 40. Highs around
50. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper
40s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 40s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-230915-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
1147 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy        MCldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain     Frz Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  70           80           50           60
Temp (24h trend)              34 (-7)      44 (+2)           40           50
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)     85 (+31)          100           68
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         SE  5                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             E  6        SE  6      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.10         0.19         0.09         0.10
Precip Duration                    10           12            3            8
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            860         1460           70         1580
Transport Wnd (mph)             NE 17        SE 14         N  2        NE  3
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                5340        27850            0         9610
Dispersion                          3            5            1            4
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        2            2            2            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper
40s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper
40s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


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