Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 270703
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
303 AM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

...Showers Today then Dry Weather...

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move through Lower Michigan today with only
scattered showers and thunderstorms, then drier conditions can be
expected into the weekend as high pressure builds in.

MIZ037>039-043>045-272030-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
303 AM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 1200.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent near Lake Michigan and 46-51
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 7
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......North winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    8500-9000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 500-1000 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3500-4000 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent near Lake Michigan and 40-45
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 11
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7700-8200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    8700-9200 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-272030-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
303 AM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 1200. slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 1300.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7500-8000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7300-7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-272030-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
303 AM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 6800-7300 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 6300-6800 ft AGL increasing to
                    8500-9000 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.29 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 5300-5800 ft AGL increasing
                    to 7300-7800 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Mixing height....... inland, 8200-8700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400-1600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-272030-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
303 AM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL increasing to 8200-8700 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.29 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8200-8700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1500-1600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-272030-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
303 AM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 8 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.20 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2300.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1300-1600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
7 to 12 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds 8 to
13 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
5 to 6 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. North winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. North winds 5 to 6 mph
in the evening becoming light.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.

$$



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