Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 251941
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
341 PM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017

...The final hot day is expected on Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...
High temperatures will once again be well above normal on Tuesday
with readings reaching the upper 80s to around 90. A cooling trend is
then expected through the remainder of the work week. Highs will be
back to near normal for Wednesday and Thursday, cooling to below
normal with highs in the lower 60s on Friday. Precipitation chances
are fairly small this week. A few showers or a thunderstorm are
possible Tuesday evening. Another chance for showers is expected for
Thursday night into Friday.

MIZ037>039-043>045-260815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
341 PM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......15000-15500 ft AGL increasing to 19500-20000 ft
                    AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....South 0 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....79-84 near Lake Michigan and around 87 inland.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler near Lake Michigan and 2
                    degrees cooler Inland.
Min humidity........51-56 percent near Lake Michigan and 39-44
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 9
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    8700-9200 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200 (excellent) increasing to 1700 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 20 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....300-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......22 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-63 percent near Lake Michigan and 50-55
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 14
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-260815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
341 PM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL increasing to 13500-14000 ft
                    AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the northwest
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 88.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......17200-17700 ft AGL decreasing to 8900-9400 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 0200, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL decreasing to 2300-2800 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 20 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....500-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-260815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
341 PM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....85-90.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5800-6300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    8200-8700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 0200, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......19 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent near Lake Michigan and 51-56
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 16
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-260815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
341 PM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 89.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8900-9400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 0400, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-260815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
341 PM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 89.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8100-8600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 15 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds
5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
60s. Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
5 to 9 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

$$



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