Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 251908
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
308 PM EDT Thu May 25 2017

...HEADLINE...

.DISCUSSION...
Chance for showers late Friday and maybe again on Sunday.
Otherwise...expect pretty quiet weather through the Memorial Day
Weekend.


MIZ037>039-043>045-260830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
308 PM EDT Thu May 25 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Areas of fog
                    after 0300.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 200-700 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3900-4400 ft AGL decreasing to
                    800-1300 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-600 (fair to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 0900.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........58-63 percent near Lake Michigan and 49-54
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 8
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4500-5000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0200, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0100 until 0200, then areas of fog.
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 400-900 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3300-3800 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.15 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0900.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 3500-4000 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3800-4300 ft AGL increasing to
                    6600-7100 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-260830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
308 PM EDT Thu May 25 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 0600, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph until midday becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0700, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0100 until 0200, then areas of fog until 0700,
                    then patchy fog.
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.14 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL increasing to 5500-6000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-260830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
308 PM EDT Thu May 25 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Areas of fog
                    after 0500.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 6 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1300-1800 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3900-4400 ft AGL decreasing to 200-700
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) decreasing to 0 (poor) overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.31 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 0900.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4400-4900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 0 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0500, then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0300 until 0400, then areas of fog.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 400-900 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3200-3700 ft AGL decreasing to 400-900
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 0 mph shifting to the
                    southeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.27 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7200-7700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-260830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
308 PM EDT Thu May 25 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2300, then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 0300, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Areas of fog
                    after 0500 until 0600.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph until midday
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 0600, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0200 until 0300, then areas of fog.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL decreasing to 400-900 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph until midday
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL increasing to 7100-7600 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-260830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
308 PM EDT Thu May 25 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2100, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2200, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2300, then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 0100, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0600, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.30 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph until midday
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0300 until 0400, then areas of fog.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.27 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph until midday
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7300-7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the west
5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s. West winds 9 to 14 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
6 to 11 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.



$$



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