Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 161925
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
325 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Drier and much cooler air will build into the area tonight and
Tuesday, as Canadian high pressure builds in. Dry weather and
seasonable conditions will prevail through the week, with a warming
trend developing by the weekend.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-171130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
325 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        50           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          49           68           43           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N 11 G22     N 10 G22     NE  6        N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N 10 G20     NE 10 G21    NE  6        NE  8
Precip amount         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2
Inversion             2300         55/1000      2000         58/1000
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        81           41           97           47
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          2            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3520                      5070
Transport wnd (mph)                N 17                      NE 12
Ventilation rate                   59840                     60840
ADI early             58 Gen good  52 Gen good  32 Fair      38 Fair
ADI late              9 poor       54 Gen good  3 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            4            4            6
Max LVORI late        4            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-171130-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
325 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          48           68           43           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  7         N  7         NE  5        NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  6         NE  8        NE  4        NE  6
Precip amount         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             2300         54/1000      2000         56/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        81           38           94           43
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3740                      4830
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 18                     NE  7
Ventilation rate                   67320                     33810
ADI early             47 Gen good  69 Good      32 Fair      37 Fair
ADI late              4 Very poor  73 Good      2 Very poor  40 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            4            3            6
Max LVORI late        4            1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-171130-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
325 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          48           68           40           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  9         NE  9        NE  5        NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  8         NE 10        NE  4        NE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2300         53/1000      2000         54/1000
Dispersion            Good                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        80           34           96           38
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4100                      4450
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 20                     E  6
Ventilation rate                   82000                     26700
ADI early             37 Fair      56 Gen good  31 Fair      44 Gen good
ADI late              6 Very poor  61 Good      2 Very poor  45 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            4            3            7
Max LVORI late        4            1            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-171130-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
325 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear        MClear
Precip chc (%)        50           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          49           68           43           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N 11 G20     NE 12 G23    NE  7        NE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N 11 G20     NE 12 G22    NE  6        NE  8
Precip amount         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             2300         55/1000      2000         58/1000
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        80           41           91           47
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          2            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3510                      4940
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 18                     NE  9
Ventilation rate                   63180                     44460
ADI early             58 Gen good  55 Gen good  34 Fair      37 Fair
ADI late              10 poor      56 Gen good  3 Very poor  40 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            3            3            5
Max LVORI late        4            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-171130-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
325 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          49           69           41           74
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N 11         NE 10        NE  6        NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  8         NE 11        NE  4        NE  7
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             2300         55/1000      2000         56/1000
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        80           36           90           41
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          2            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3930                      4940
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 20                     E  7
Ventilation rate                   78600                     34580
ADI early             48 Gen good  58 Gen good  34 Fair      37 Fair
ADI late              7 poor       60 Gen good  3 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            3            5
Max LVORI late        4            1            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 91 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-171130-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
325 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MClear       Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          48           69           40           73
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  9         NE  9        NE  5        NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  7         NE 10        NE  4        NE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             2300         54/1000      2000         54/1000
Dispersion            Good                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        78           33           88           35
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4180                      4150
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 20                     E  6
Ventilation rate                   83600                     24900
ADI early             37 Fair      52 Gen good  32 Fair      33 Fair
ADI late              6 Very poor  58 Gen good  2 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            3            5
Max LVORI late        4            1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

5



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