Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 150821
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
321 AM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Today will be mild with cloudiness at times followed by a dry cold
frontal passage late today bringing at or slightly below normal
temperatures Saturday. Center of high pressure will be overhead late
Saturday thru early Sunday, before sliding off the coast and offshore
Sunday night through early next week. Temperatures will rebound Sunday
into early next week with above normal readings. Patchy light rain is
possible Monday followed by a low chance for showers into the mid-week
period as low pressure approaches from the Gulf Coast region.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-160030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
321 AM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          61           32           53
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        NW  6        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  8         N  4         LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             53/1000      1700         40/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        43           77           34
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          5            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3190                      2980
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 16                     NW  5
Ventilation rate      51040                     14900
ADI early             25 Fair      9 poor       15 Gen poor
ADI late              46 Gen good  3 Very poor  21 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            3            3
Max LVORI late        2            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light and variable wind.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-160030-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
321 AM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           31           53
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NW  4        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             49/1000      1700         39/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        43           81           35
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          5            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3190                      3020
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     W  3
Ventilation rate      47850                     9060
ADI early             24 Fair      6 Very poor  11 poor
ADI late              51 Gen good  2 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           3            5
Max LVORI late        2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light and variable wind.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-160030-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
321 AM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          58           29           54
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  3         NW  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  8         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             46/1000      1700         39/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        42           83           35
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          5            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3070                      3040
Transport wnd (mph)   W 16                      W  5
Ventilation rate      49120                     15200
ADI early             23 Fair      7 poor       9 poor
ADI late              52 Gen good  2 Very poor  29 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           3            5
Max LVORI late        2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light and variable wind.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
around 50. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-160030-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, and Bucksport
321 AM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          62           34           54
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        W  6         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  8         N  3         LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             53/1000      1700         42/0900
Dispersion                         Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        41           77           36
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3350                      2740
Transport wnd (mph)   W 21                      W  5
Ventilation rate      70350                     13700
ADI early             27 Fair      9 poor       13 Gen poor
ADI late              51 Gen good  7 poor       14 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            3            4
Max LVORI late        2            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light and variable wind.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-059-160030-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, Kingstree, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
321 AM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          62           32           55
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        NW  4        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  8         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             50/1000      1700         40/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        40           80           36
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          5            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3290                      2820
Transport wnd (mph)   W 18                      W  3
Ventilation rate      59220                     8460
ADI early             28 Fair      6 Very poor  9 poor
ADI late              59 Gen good  2 Very poor  17 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       10           3            4
Max LVORI late        2            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light and variable wind.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-160030-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
321 AM EST Fri Dec 15 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           30           54
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      NW  4        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  8         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             46/1000      1700         39/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        39           80           36
DSI                   2                         1
Haines Index          5            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3250                      2870
Transport wnd (mph)   W 15                      SW  5
Ventilation rate      48750                     14350
ADI early             23 Fair      7 poor       5 Very poor
ADI late              53 Gen good  2 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       10           3            4
Max LVORI late        1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light and variable wind.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Not
as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
around 50. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

dch



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