Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
000
FNUS52 KILM 191948
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
248 PM EST THU JAN 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFFSHORE TONIGHT. AN APPROACHING WARM
FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS AND RAIN CHANCES ON FRIDAY.
STRONG LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC
REGION WILL BRING PERIODS OF SIGNIFICANT RAIN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY. A DRYING
TREND IS EXPECTED BEGINNING TUESDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE

NCZ105>110-201200-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
248 PM EST THU JAN 19 2017

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           30           20           60
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          45           71           52           72
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    E  3         SE  5        SW  4        LGT/VAR
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  4         S  6         LGT/VAR      S  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.00         0.15
PRECIP DURATION       0            2            0            5
INVERSION             1700         52/1100      1700         55/0600
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          62           100          66
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3400                      3990
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     SW 12
VENTILATION RATE                   47600                     47880
ADI EARLY             5 VERY POOR  9 POOR       6 VERY POOR  3 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  32 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  31 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            9            6            10
MAX LVORI LATE        9            4            10           6

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. MINIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-201200-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
248 PM EST THU JAN 19 2017

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           50           20           60
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          47           71           53           72
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SE  3        SE  5        SW  3        LGT/VAR
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SE  3        SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.00         0.14
PRECIP DURATION       0            2            0            5
INVERSION             1700         52/1100      1700         56/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          62           100          67
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3330                      3830
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW 14
VENTILATION RATE                   49950                     53620
ADI EARLY             4 VERY POOR  9 POOR       5 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  34 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  37 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            9            7            10
MAX LVORI LATE        9            4            10           5

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 70.
MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-201200-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,
AND MURRELLS INLET
248 PM EST THU JAN 19 2017

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           40           20           60
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          50           75           55           73
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    E  4         SE  5        SW  5        SW  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     E  4         SW  7        SW  3        SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.00         0.29
PRECIP DURATION       0            2            0            5
INVERSION             1700         56/1100      1700         58/0600
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          56           100          67
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4940                      4260
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW 16
VENTILATION RATE                   74100                     68160
ADI EARLY             6 VERY POOR  12 POOR      5 VERY POOR  7 POOR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  44 GEN GOOD  3 VERY POOR  47 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            9            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        8            3            8            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ023-032-039-201200-
DARLINGTON-FLORENCE-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HARTSVILLE, DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE,
FLORENCE, AND KINGSTREE
248 PM EST THU JAN 19 2017

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           50           20           70
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          49           75           55           72
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SE  4        S  5         SW  4        SW  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SE  3        SW  8        SW  3        SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.00         0.27
PRECIP DURATION       0            2            0            5
INVERSION             1700         55/1100      1700         58/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          57           100          67
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4570                      4350
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      SW 18
VENTILATION RATE                   77690                     78300
ADI EARLY             4 VERY POOR  14 GEN POOR  5 VERY POOR  8 POOR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  47 GEN GOOD  3 VERY POOR  54 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            9            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        8            3            9            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-024-033-201200-
MARLBORO-DILLON-MARION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, DILLON, MARION,
AND MULLINS
248 PM EST THU JAN 19 2017

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           60           20           60
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          47           73           53           72
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SE  3        SE  6        SW  3        SW  3
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SE  4        SW  7        SW  3        SW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.00         0.18
PRECIP DURATION       0            2            0            5
INVERSION             1700         54/1100      1700         57/1000
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          59           100          67
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3990                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW 18
VENTILATION RATE                   67830                     75600
ADI EARLY             4 VERY POOR  14 GEN POOR  5 VERY POOR  8 POOR
ADI LATE              3 VERY POOR  47 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  51 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            9            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        8            3            9            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 70.
MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
90 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

8



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.