Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 230835
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
335 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure moving off the Mid Atlantic coast will keep unseasonable
warmth in the forecast. Near record highs are possible Friday. A
cold front will bring a chance for small chance of showers Saturday.
Much cooler and drier air will build into the area Saturday night
into early next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...moderate.

NCZ105>110-240045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
335 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           sprinkles    NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          76           51           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  4        E  4         NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  7         NE  3        E  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             64/0900      1900         63/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        53           100          45
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6060                      5910
Transport wnd (mph)   E 14                      E  9
Ventilation rate      84840                     53190
ADI early             31 Fair      5 Very poor  30 Fair
ADI late              46 Gen good  2 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            9            9
Max LVORI late        2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 66 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
34 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-240045-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
335 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          78           52           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  3        E  3         E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  6         LGT/VAR      SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             63/0900      1900         63/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        45           100          44
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6890                      5460
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 12                     E  3
Ventilation rate      82680                     16380
ADI early             27 Fair      4 Very poor  14 Gen poor
ADI late              51 Gen good  2 Very poor  16 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            7            9
Max LVORI late        1            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 80. Minimum RH 41 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 58 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
25 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
29 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-240045-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
335 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           sprinkles    NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          75           51           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  5        E  4         NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  8         NE  3        E  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             64/0900      1900         64/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        51           100          45
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5910                      5290
Transport wnd (mph)   E 14                      E  6
Ventilation rate      82740                     31740
ADI early             33 Fair      4 Very poor  25 Fair
ADI late              49 Gen good  2 Very poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            8            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
27 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-240045-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
335 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          78           52           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  4        SE  3        NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  6         LGT/VAR      SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             62/0900      1900         62/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        46           99           43
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7000                      5340
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  9                     SE  1
Ventilation rate      63000                     5340
ADI early             34 Fair      3 Very poor  11 poor
ADI late              45 Gen good  2 Very poor  14 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            6            9
Max LVORI late        1            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
60 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
25 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
29 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-240045-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
335 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          77           52           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  4        E  4         NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  7         NE  3        SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             64/0900      1900         63/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        48           100          44
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7030                      5370
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 10                     E  3
Ventilation rate      70300                     16110
ADI early             35 Fair      4 Very poor  20 Gen poor
ADI late              50 Gen good  2 Very poor  19 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            6            9
Max LVORI late        1            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 80. Minimum RH 38 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
60 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
24 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 78 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

15



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