Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 211948
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
248 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Conditions will change by tonight into tomorrow as a cold
front moves across the Mid-South. Chances for numerous showers and
thunderstorms will occur along and ahead of the front. The chances
for rain will linger into tomorrow night and Monday as upper level
low pressure develops behind the front. Cooler temperatures will
occur behind the front with highs generally expected to be in the
60s.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-221130-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
248 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     80           90           60           20
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.16         0.82         0.27         0.02
Precip Dur (hrs)      6            11           6            1
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      66 (+7)      72 (-8)      54           69
RH % (24h Trend)      95 (+7)      66 (+17)     84           43
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 8-12 G20                NW 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 6-10      W 5-9        NW 4-8       W 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 654                       2149
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                2146                      7049
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 740                       2237
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                2428                      7340
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  6                      W 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 14                      W 23
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4440                      22370
Category Day                       3                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              67                        65
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  9                     W  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 21                     W 14
Dispersion Index      42           38           27           76
LAL                   5            5            5            1
LASI                  3            2            2            5
Stability             D            D            D            C
Stagnation Index      1            2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
36 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Clear. Lows in the
lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the lower 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs
in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-221130-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
248 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     60           90           70           20
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.05         0.85         0.25         0.01
Precip Dur (hrs)      4            11           6            1
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   1 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      68 (+6)      72 (-9)      56           71
RH % (24h Trend)      94 (+8)      68 (+18)     82           41
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 8-12 G18                NW 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 6-10      SW 4-8       NW 4-8       NW 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 659                       2155
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                2162                      7071
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 721                       2218
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                2366                      7278
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  6                      W 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 13                      W 23
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4326                      22180
Category Day                       3                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              68                        66
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  8                     W  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 18                     W 15
Dispersion Index      49           37           28           73
LAL                   5            5            5            1
LASI                  3            2            3            5
Stability             D            D            D            C
Stagnation Index      1            2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
35 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Clear. Lows in the
mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph becoming
west late in the morning.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 54 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-221130-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
248 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           80           80           50
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.37         1.06         0.22
Precip Dur (hrs)                   6            11           2
Precip Begins                      6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends                        Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      64 (+10)     72 (-7)      58           67
RH % (24h Trend)      89 (-4)      74 (+30)     89           50
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 8-12 G19                NW 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 4-8       S 6-10 G18   W 2-6        NW 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 450                       1501
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                1478                      4924
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 572                       1627
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1876                      5338
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  9                      W 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 21                      W 23
Vent Index (m2/s)                  5148                      16270
Category Day                       3                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              71                        60
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S 12                      W  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 27                      W 17
Dispersion Index      19           50           24           67
LAL                   4            5            5            1
LASI                  3            2            2            4
Stability             E            C            D            D
Stagnation Index      2            1            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows
in the upper 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
37 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Clear. Lows around
50. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum RH 56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-221130-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
248 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           80           80           30
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.53         1.00         0.14
Precip Dur (hrs)                   11           8            2
Precip Begins                      6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends                        Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      65 (+10)     73 (-5)      58           68
RH % (24h Trend)      91 (0)       73 (+25)     90           49
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 7-11 G17                NW 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 4-8       S 5-9        W 2-6        NW 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 497                       1851
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                1631                      6072
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 618                       1976
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                2029                      6483
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  9                      W 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 20                      W 23
Vent Index (m2/s)                  5562                      19760
Category Day                       3                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              71                        61
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S 11                      W  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 25                      W 16
Dispersion Index      20           48           27           67
LAL                   4            5            5            1
LASI                  3            3            2            4
Stability             E            D            D            D
Stagnation Index      2            1            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 43 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum RH 56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-221130-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
248 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           90           80           20
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         1.05         0.70         0.02
Precip Dur (hrs)                   11           8            1
Precip Begins                      6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends                        Continuing   Continuing   1 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      67 (+7)      73 (-8)      57           71
RH % (24h Trend)      94 (+7)      72 (+24)     88           42
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 6-10                    NW 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 5-9       S 4-8        W 2-6        NW 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 521                       2162
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                1708                      7093
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 593                       2234
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1944                      7329
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  5                      NW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 10                      NW 23
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2965                      22340
Category Day                       2                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              71                        66
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  7                     W  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 17                     W 15
Dispersion Index      32           34           33           69
LAL                   3            5            5            1
LASI                  3            3            2            5
Stability             E            D            D            C
Stagnation Index      2            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs around 70.
Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. South winds around 5 mph becoming north late in the
evening.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
upper 50s. Minimum RH 55 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-221130-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
248 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            80           80           30
Precip Type           NONE         tstms        tstms        showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.43         1.18         0.15
Precip Dur (hrs)                   6            8            2
Precip Begins                      6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends                        Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      64 (+10)     72 (-7)      60           68
RH % (24h Trend)      92 (+3)      75 (+27)     91           50
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 6-10 G17                NW 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 4-8       S 4-8        SW 2-6       NW 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 390                       1892
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                1281                      6208
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 514                       2018
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1687                      6620
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  9                      NW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 21                      NW 22
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4626                      20180
Category Day                       3                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              72                        62
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  9                      W  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 21                      W 15
Dispersion Index      22           43           30           67
LAL                   3            5            5            1
LASI                  3            3            2            4
Stability             E            C            D            D
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. West winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. Southeast winds around 5 mph becoming north late in the
evening.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
upper 50s. Minimum RH 56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.

$$



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