Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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510
FNUS54 KMRX 200833
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
333 AM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF THIS MORNING AS DRIER AIR
AND HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY PUSHES INTO THE AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...GOOD CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST
AGAIN ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM MOVES
ACROSS THE EASTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS WEEKEND. SOME OF THESE
STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
333 AM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   46-51 (-1)   60-65
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+15)  93-98 (+5)   59-64
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G28                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G19    SE  5 G16    S  5
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            40
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM
PRECIP END            4 PM                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     S  9
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G28                 S  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SE  7 G16    S  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
333 AM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+3)   44-49 (-3)   58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+21)  92-97 (+2)   60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G23                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G19    S  6 G18     S  6
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            60
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM
PRECIP END            4 PM                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.11
LAL                   1            1            4
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     S  9
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G23                 S  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G19    S  8 G18     S  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-210945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
333 AM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   47-52 (-1)   58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+9)   89-94 (-2)   58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G21                  S  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G22    SW 10 G28    S  7 G18
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            60
PRECIP DURATION       1                         2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM
PRECIP END            4 PM                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.12
LAL                   1            1            4
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     S 13
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G21                  S  7
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G22    SW 12 G28    S  9 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-210945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
333 AM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   50-55 (-1)   63-68
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+5)   95-100 (+1)  62-67
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G19                 S  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G21    S  9 G24     S  7 G15
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           70
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         4 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.17
LAL                   1            1            4
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SE 13
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G19                 S  7
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G21    S 11 G24     S  9

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-210945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
333 AM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+2)   48-53 (-3)   61-66
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+11)  95-100 (0)   68-73
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G27                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G21    SW  8 G23    S  6
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           70
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         4 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.23
LAL                   1            1            4
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     SE 10
DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI             4                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G27                 S  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    SW 10 G23    S  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
333 AM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+2)   47-52 (-2)   62-67
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+13)  91-96 (0)    57-62
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G20                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    SE  5        SE  5
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            50
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM
PRECIP END            4 PM                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.09
LAL                   1            1            4
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     S  7
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   7 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G20                 SE  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    SE  6        SE  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
333 AM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+3)   50-55 (+1)   63-68
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+7)   95-100 (0)   60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5 G15                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     S  6 G19     SE  6
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            60
PRECIP DURATION       1                         2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM
PRECIP END            1 PM                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.08
LAL                   1            1            4
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     S 12
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   12 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 S  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     S  8 G19     SE  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-210945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
333 AM EST FRI JAN 20 2017 /233 AM CST FRI JAN 20 2017/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   51-56 (+2)   64-69
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+4)   95-100 (+4)  64-69
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G19                 S  5 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G21     S  7 G20     S  7 G17
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           70
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         4 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.11
LAL                   1            1            4
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SE 16
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   26 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G19                 S  6 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G21     S 10 G20     S  9 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.

$$



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