Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 010829
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
329 AM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION TODAY...THEN TRACK
EAST AND SPREAD RAIN INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. COLDER AIR FLOWS INTO THE REGION BY MONDAY MORNING BEHIND THE
PASSING COLD FRONT...AND MAY BRING A LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-020930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
329 AM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+5)   31-36 (+4)   33-38
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+9)   95-100 (+38) 50-55
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 10 G20
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G23     S 11 G23     NW 10 G21
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          70
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.59         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      NW 25
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               46 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G16                 W 13 G25
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G29     S 14 G29     NW 13 G26

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND
20. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-020930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
329 AM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+5)   33-38 (+7)   34-39
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+9)   90-95 (+32)  41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  W 12 G26
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G27     S 14 G28     NW 14 G27
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          70
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.85         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      NW 31
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               52 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G19                  W 15 G32
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G34     S 18 G35     NW 17 G33

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-020930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
329 AM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+5)   30-35 (+3)   31-36
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+19)  95-100 (+41) 41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G26                  NW 13 G25
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 16 G36     S 18 G37     NW 10 G23
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          70
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.94         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      NW 25
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G32                  NW 16 G31
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 20 G45     S 23 G47     NW 12 G29

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 22. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-020930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
329 AM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   34-39 (+3)   35-40
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+20)  95-100 (+35) 44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G21                  NW 11 G20
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G27     S 13 G28     NW  9 G19
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          70
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.87         0.06
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      NW 23
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               46 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G26                  NW 13 G25
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 16 G34     S 16 G35     NW 12 G24

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 24. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-020930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
329 AM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (0)    36-41 (+8)   37-42
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+26)  95-100 (+30) 38-43
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G18                 NW 11 G20
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G22     S 10 G22     NW 10 G20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          70
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            1
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.94         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      5200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      NW 26
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               65 GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G22                 NW 13 G25
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G27     S 13 G28     NW 13 G25

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 22. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-020930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
329 AM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+5)   34-39 (+7)   35-40
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+12)  88-93 (+22)  47-52
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 11 G22
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G21     S 11 G23     NW 10 G21
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          70
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.72         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      NW 24
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5 G16                 W 15 G27
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G27     S 14 G29     NW 13 G27

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-020930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
329 AM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   31-36 (0)    32-37
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+19)  95-100 (+33) 49-54
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G17                  NW 11 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G25     SW 11 G25    NW  8 G18
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          50
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.60         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      3800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      NW 21
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               47 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G21                  NW 13 G24
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 16 G31     SW 14 G31    NW 10 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 25. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-020930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
329 AM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+6)   31-36 (-2)   33-38
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+19)  95-100 (+31) 46-51
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G18                  NW 11 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G23     SW 10 G24    NW  8 G18
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          40
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.63         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2300                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      NW 22
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               49 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G22                  NW 13 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 16 G29     SW 13 G30    NW 11 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 26. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TG/TD


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