Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 230129
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
929 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A COOL NIGHT TONIGHT WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A GRADUALLY WARMING AIR
MASS. SO, EXPECT HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
TO CLIMB BACK INTO THE 70S DURING THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER WEATHER
SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BACK INTO THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH NEXT WEEK, WITH MORE RAIN EXPECTED BY TUESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240230-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
929 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      26-31 (-8)   54-59 (+5)   38-43        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      67-72 (-11)  27-32 (+4)   69-74        45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  6 G17     SW  6 G18
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5000                      5200
Transport wnd (mph)                S 10                      SW 15
Dispersion                         26 Fair                   39 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  5                     S 10 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S  8 G17     SW  8 G18

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240230-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
929 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      26-31 (-12)  49-54 (+2)   35-40        59-64
RH % (24h trend)      65-70 (-11)  30-35 (+6)   75-80        46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G16     SE  7 G22    S  6
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5000                      5400
Transport wnd (mph)                S 12                      SW 10
Dispersion                         20 Gen poor               24 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     SE 10 G22    S  7

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. West winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-240230-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
929 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      32-37 (-9)   51-56 (0)    38-43        58-63
RH % (24h trend)      70-75 (-9)   35-40 (+8)   86-91        47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 11 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G21    S  9 G25     S 10 G23
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5400                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)                S  8                      S 16
Dispersion                         15 Gen poor               21 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  6 G15                 S 14 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  5 G17     SW  9 G21    S 12 G25     S 12 G23

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s to mid
50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid
70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-240230-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
929 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (-11)  55-60 (-3)   40-45        60-65
RH % (24h trend)      71-76 (-8)   34-39 (+8)   78-83        46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S 11 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G16     S  9 G24     S  9 G22
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4100                      3500
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 15                     S 18
Dispersion                         25 Fair                   21 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  E  5                      S 14 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  5         S  7 G16     S 11 G24     S 12 G22

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and scattered thunderstorms.
Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to
mid 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-240230-
Nantahala National Forest-
929 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-13)  55-60 (-4)   39-44        58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   34-39 (+8)   78-83        47-52
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G20
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G22     SE  8 G19
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     S 12
DISPERSION                         20 Gen poor               10 Poor
MAX LVORI                          3                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  9 G22     SE 10 G19

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and scattered thunderstorms.
Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to
mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240230-
East Tennessee District East-
929 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      29-34 (-11)  56-61 (+2)   38-43        63-68
RH % (24h trend)      71-76 (-4)   28-33 (+6)   72-77        44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  5 G15    LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4300                      4600
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  9                     SW 10
Dispersion                         23 Fair                   28 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SE  7 G15    SW  5

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s to mid
50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240230-
East Tennessee District West-
929 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (-7)   56-61 (+1)   41-46        63-68
RH % (24h trend)      63-68 (-12)  34-39 (+12)  76-81        47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  7 G20     S  8 G21
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4400                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)                S 12                      S 20
Dispersion                         32 Fair                   47 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  E  5                      S 10 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NE  5        S  7         S  8 G20     S 11 G21

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s to mid
50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 60s to
lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-240230-
Cumberland District South-
929 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017 /829 PM CDT Wed Mar 22 2017/

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      37-42 (-8)   58-63 (0)    43-48        63-68
RH % (24h trend)      65-70 (-19)  32-37 (+10)  72-77        46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  E  6 G18                  S 10 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  5 G15     S  8 G20     S  9 G24     S 10 G21
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3900                      3300
Transport wnd (mph)                S 18                      S 21
Dispersion                         43 Gen good               38 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  E  7 G18                  S 12 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  6 G15     S 10 G20     S 12 G24     S 12 G21

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and scattered thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid
70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.

$$



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