Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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000
FNUS55 KPSR 012042
FWFPSR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
142 PM MST SUN MAY 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A RETURN TO WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB ABOVE SEASONAL NORMAL BY TUESDAY
PUSHING AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES DOWN INTO THE TEENS FOR AREAS BELOW5000
FEET AND TO NEAR 30 PERCENT ABOVE THAT. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT
AND VARIABLE...FOLLOWING TYPICAL DAY/NIGHT PATTERNS. STRONGER WINDS
WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM AND COMBINE
WITH EXISTING LOW HUMIDITIES TO RAISE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-020845-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
142 PM MST SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................56-66.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................47-58 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................13 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................83-88.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................14-19 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......10100 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHEAST 5 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................58-68.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................34-47 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................12 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................89-95.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................10-15 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......10200 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHEAST 4 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-70. HIGHS 91-97. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 57-67. HIGHS 84-93. SOUTH WINDS
15 TO 25 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...NOT AS WARM. MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS 54-64. HIGHS 73-79. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
54-64. HIGHS 75-80.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
55-65. HIGHS 76-82.

$$

AZZ133-020845-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
142 PM MST SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................42-57.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................53-70 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................26 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................69-84.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................16-24 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................14 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................44-59.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................44-60 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................10 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................77-91.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................12-19 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 49-64. HIGHS 81-94. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 47-63. HIGHS 80-92. SOUTH WINDS
15 TO 25 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...NOT AS WARM. MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS 41-61. HIGHS 66-77. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
41-56. HIGHS 63-77.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
41-56. HIGHS 65-79.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-020845-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
142 PM MST SUN MAY 1 2016 /142 PM PDT SUN MAY 1 2016/

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................60-64.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................48-58 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................85-89.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................15-20 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........9400 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........EAST 4 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............FAIR.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................62-66.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................34-43 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................15 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................91-95.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................10-15 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........9100 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........CALM.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............MARGINAL.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 63-68. HIGHS 92-97. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 58-65. HIGHS 83-89. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 56-60.
HIGHS 74-79. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
56-60. HIGHS 77-81.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
57-61. HIGHS 78-83.

$$

CAZ230-020845-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
142 PM PDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................48-60.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................42-56 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................12 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................71-84.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................17-25 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................48-61.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................35-46 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-90.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................13-18 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 48-65. HIGHS 75-91. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 44-61. HIGHS 66-82. WEST WINDS
15 TO 25 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
44-58. HIGHS 59-73. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
44-57. HIGHS 61-76.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
45-57. HIGHS 64-77.

$$

CAZ232-020845-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
142 PM PDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................58-63.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................44-67 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................82-89.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................16-22 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................60-65.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................34-53 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................13 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.TUESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................87-94.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................12-17 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-68. HIGHS 88-96. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 55-65. HIGHS 78-87. WEST WINDS
15 TO 25 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 54-62.
HIGHS 71-79. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
54-61. HIGHS 73-81.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
55-61. HIGHS 75-83.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...MONDAY MAY 9TH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MAY
11TH...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.



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