Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS86 KLOX 252333
FWLLOX

ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
333 PM PST TUE NOV 25 2014

ECC029-261745-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
333 PM PST TUE NOV 25 2014

...DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD...

...ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY...

THE GUSTY WINDS FROM YESTERDAY REMAINS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER
TODAY...AS COLD AIR THAT WAS EXPECTED TO FUEL ANOTHER WIND BOOST
MOVED MUCH FURTHER TO THE EAST. THE STRONGEST NORTHEAST WINDS OVER
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WILL MOSTLY
RANGE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH...AND BE
LOCALIZED IN NATURE. DESPITE WIDESPREAD HUMIDITIES UNDER
10 PERCENT...THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN MARGINAL AND ISOLATED
CRITICAL CONDITIONS WHERE THE WINDS ARE THE STRONGEST. THESE
CONDITIONS DO NOT WARRANT A RED FLAG WARNING.

DESPITE COOLING CONDITIONS AND A RETURN OF ONSHORE FLOW ON FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY...VERY DRY AIR WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. LOCALLY
GUSTY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING LOCALIZED CRITICAL CONDITIONS IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND INTERIOR VALLEYS. CONFIDENCE IS GROWING FOR A
SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT
EXTACT TIMING IS TROUBLESOME AT THIS POINT. FOR NOW...MODERATE
RAINFALL WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE ANYTIME FROM LATE
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.


...DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY...

...LOW HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WITH OFFSHORE WINDS THRU
THURSDAY...

LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE FIRE DISTRICT AS STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE PERSIST OVER THE REGION. THE HIGH WILL BEGIN TO BREAK
DOWN THURSDAY RESULTING IN SLIGHT COOLING AS ONSHORE FLOW RETURNS TO
THE REGION. RH VALUES WILL REBOUND BY FRIDAY. THE WEATHER PATTERN
WILL BEGIN TO CHANGE ON FRIDAY WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. THE CHANCE OF RAIN IS EXPECTED IN THE
NORTH BAY BY FRIDAY NIGHT WITH WETTING RAIN ANTICIPATED ACROSS ALL
AREAS OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.



$$

ECC028-261745-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
333 PM PST TUE NOV 25 2014

...ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY...

THE GUSTY WINDS FROM YESTERDAY REMAINS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER
TODAY...AS COLD AIR THAT WAS EXPECTED TO FUEL ANOTHER WIND BOOST
MOVED MUCH FURTHER TO THE EAST. THE STRONGEST NORTHEAST WINDS OVER
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WILL MOSTLY
RANGE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH...AND BE
LOCALIZED IN NATURE. DESPITE WIDESPREAD HUMIDITIES UNDER
10 PERCENT...THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN MARGINAL AND ISOLATED
CRITICAL CONDITIONS WHERE THE WINDS ARE THE STRONGEST. THESE
CONDITIONS DO NOT WARRANT A RED FLAG WARNING.

DESPITE COOLING CONDITIONS AND A RETURN OF ONSHORE FLOW ON FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY...VERY DRY AIR WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. LOCALLY
GUSTY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING LOCALIZED CRITICAL CONDITIONS IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND INTERIOR VALLEYS. CONFIDENCE IS GROWING FOR A
SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT
EXTACT TIMING IS TROUBLESOME AT THIS POINT. FOR NOW...MODERATE
RAINFALL WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE ANYTIME FROM LATE
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.


$$

ECC031-261745-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
333 PM PST TUE NOV 25 2014

...ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY...

THE GUSTY WINDS FROM YESTERDAY REMAINS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER
TODAY...AS COLD AIR THAT WAS EXPECTED TO FUEL ANOTHER WIND BOOST
MOVED MUCH FURTHER TO THE EAST. THE STRONGEST NORTHEAST WINDS OVER
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WILL MOSTLY
RANGE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH...AND BE
LOCALIZED IN NATURE. DESPITE WIDESPREAD HUMIDITIES UNDER
10 PERCENT...THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN MARGINAL AND ISOLATED
CRITICAL CONDITIONS WHERE THE WINDS ARE THE STRONGEST. THESE
CONDITIONS DO NOT WARRANT A RED FLAG WARNING.

DESPITE COOLING CONDITIONS AND A RETURN OF ONSHORE FLOW ON FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY...VERY DRY AIR WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. LOCALLY
GUSTY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING LOCALIZED CRITICAL CONDITIONS IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND INTERIOR VALLEYS. CONFIDENCE IS GROWING FOR A
SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT
EXTACT TIMING IS TROUBLESOME AT THIS POINT. FOR NOW...MODERATE
RAINFALL WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE ANYTIME FROM LATE
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.


$$

ECC024-261745-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR...SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
333 PM PST TUE NOV 25 2014

...ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY...

THE GUSTY WINDS FROM YESTERDAY REMAINS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER
TODAY...AS COLD AIR THAT WAS EXPECTED TO FUEL ANOTHER WIND BOOST
MOVED MUCH FURTHER TO THE EAST. THE STRONGEST NORTHEAST WINDS OVER
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WILL MOSTLY
RANGE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH...AND BE
LOCALIZED IN NATURE. DESPITE WIDESPREAD HUMIDITIES UNDER
10 PERCENT...THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN MARGINAL AND ISOLATED
CRITICAL CONDITIONS WHERE THE WINDS ARE THE STRONGEST. THESE
CONDITIONS DO NOT WARRANT A RED FLAG WARNING.

DESPITE COOLING CONDITIONS AND A RETURN OF ONSHORE FLOW ON FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY...VERY DRY AIR WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. LOCALLY
GUSTY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING LOCALIZED CRITICAL CONDITIONS IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND INTERIOR VALLEYS. CONFIDENCE IS GROWING FOR A
SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT
EXTACT TIMING IS TROUBLESOME AT THIS POINT. FOR NOW...MODERATE
RAINFALL WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE ANYTIME FROM LATE
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.


$$

ECC032-261745-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
333 PM PST TUE NOV 25 2014

...ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY...

THE GUSTY WINDS FROM YESTERDAY REMAINS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER
TODAY...AS COLD AIR THAT WAS EXPECTED TO FUEL ANOTHER WIND BOOST
MOVED MUCH FURTHER TO THE EAST. THE STRONGEST NORTHEAST WINDS OVER
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WILL MOSTLY
RANGE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH...AND BE
LOCALIZED IN NATURE. DESPITE WIDESPREAD HUMIDITIES UNDER
10 PERCENT...THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN MARGINAL AND ISOLATED
CRITICAL CONDITIONS WHERE THE WINDS ARE THE STRONGEST. THESE
CONDITIONS DO NOT WARRANT A RED FLAG WARNING.

DESPITE COOLING CONDITIONS AND A RETURN OF ONSHORE FLOW ON FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY...VERY DRY AIR WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. LOCALLY
GUSTY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING LOCALIZED CRITICAL CONDITIONS IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND INTERIOR VALLEYS. CONFIDENCE IS GROWING FOR A
SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT
EXTACT TIMING IS TROUBLESOME AT THIS POINT. FOR NOW...MODERATE
RAINFALL WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE ANYTIME FROM LATE
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.


$$

ECC030-261745-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
333 PM PST TUE NOV 25 2014

...ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY...

THE GUSTY WINDS FROM YESTERDAY REMAINS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER
TODAY...AS COLD AIR THAT WAS EXPECTED TO FUEL ANOTHER WIND BOOST
MOVED MUCH FURTHER TO THE EAST. THE STRONGEST NORTHEAST WINDS OVER
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WILL MOSTLY
RANGE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH...AND BE
LOCALIZED IN NATURE. DESPITE WIDESPREAD HUMIDITIES UNDER
10 PERCENT...THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN MARGINAL AND ISOLATED
CRITICAL CONDITIONS WHERE THE WINDS ARE THE STRONGEST. THESE
CONDITIONS DO NOT WARRANT A RED FLAG WARNING.

DESPITE COOLING CONDITIONS AND A RETURN OF ONSHORE FLOW ON FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY...VERY DRY AIR WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. LOCALLY
GUSTY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING LOCALIZED CRITICAL CONDITIONS IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND INTERIOR VALLEYS. CONFIDENCE IS GROWING FOR A
SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT
EXTACT TIMING IS TROUBLESOME AT THIS POINT. FOR NOW...MODERATE
RAINFALL WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW IS POSSIBLE ANYTIME FROM LATE
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.


$$







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