Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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000
FNUS73 KABR 250440
FWSABR

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAR CREEK...NE-NBF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1140 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2300 CDT ON JULY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN ABERDEEN SD.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...BUT TEND TO FAVOR A LIGHT SOUTHERLY DIRECTION BY SUNRISE.
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY OVERNIGHT. ON MONDAY...WINDS
WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY AND REMAIN FROM THE SOUTH.
ALTHOUGH...WINDS MAY GO A BIT MORE SOUTHWESTERLY AT TIMES. GUSTS
ARE FORECAST TO REACH 25 TO 30 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON. MIN RH
VALUES MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE 20S.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT CLOUD).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........6   5   4   4   4   4   5   6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............73  71  69  68  67  66  64  63
RH..............43  50  58  60  60  62  66  70
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   5   7   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.5       10  10  10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   3   4   4   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.5       10  10  10  10  10  10

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT CLOUD).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-98.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 20
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........7   7   8   8   10  12  13  13  12  11  17  23
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............64  68  73  79  83  87  90  92  94  95  95  94
RH..............71  64  56  47  40  34  30  27  25  24  23  25
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9   12  13  14  16  17  18  20  20  20  18
20 FT WIND GUST.10  15  15  15  20  20  25  25  30  30  25  25
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   5   7   8   8   12  14  15  15  14  12  11
EYE LVL WND GST.10  15  15  15  20  20  25  25  30  30  25  25

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT CLOUD) THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT CLOUD)
                    THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT
                    CLOUD). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND EARLY MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................34 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 3 UNTIL 0400...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 27 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........29  36  42  48  51  54  56  56  56  56  52  49
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............92  88  83  79  77  76  74  73  72  70  69  68
RH..............28  32  40  46  52  56  62  67  69  75  81  83
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..16  15  14  12  12  13  13  12  12  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.25  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.10  9   8   7   7   8   8   7   7   6   6   6
EYE LVL WND GST.25  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT CLOUD). A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-97.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................46 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 19 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 4 TO 9 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST 0 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........46  45  45  44  44  45  45  41  38  34  39  43
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............68  71  76  80  84  87  90  92  93  94  94  93
RH..............87  80  70  62  56  49  46  41  38  36  36  37
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT WIND SPD..10  10  12  12  12  12  12  10  9   9   10  12
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
EYE LVL WND SPD.6   6   7   7   7   7   7   6   5   5   6   7
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15

$$
FORECASTER...TMT
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1600075.0/ABR
.EMAIL RACHELSIMPSON@FS.FED.US


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