Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 302112
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR MT BIERSTADT...CLEAR CREEK COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
308 PM MDT SAT JUL 30 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1444 MDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0400.  TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S WILL DROP INTO
THE 50S AFTER SUNSET WITH LOWS IN THE MID 40S.  WINDS WILL BE WEST
AT 6 TO 12 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 0200.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(55-60%) UNTIL 1900...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY(60-65%) UNTIL 2300...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 0400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........63%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0400.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12300 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 3100-4100 FT AGL AFTER
                    2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    POOR.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1000 UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........35%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000.
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    1200...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3700 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 7200-8200 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN
                    POOR.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........77%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    WEST 6-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. 2200-2900 FT AGL
                    AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTH 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........37%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 25 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 6500-7500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0800...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MT BIERSTADT.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

07/30-15 55 16  3 69 19 WNW  9 15 3 3  NW 16 13610  NW 17210320     E
07/30-16 54 18  4 68 20  NW 10 16 3 3  NW 13 13171  NW 14164218     E
07/30-17 54 20  4 67 23  NW 10 16 3 3 WNW  9 12732 WNW 10120736    V
07/30-18 58 18  4 64 28  NW  9 15 3 3 WNW  5 12293 WNW  7 79876   G
07/30-19 62 17  3 61 33 WNW  8 13 3 3   W  6 10583   W  7 63269   G
07/30-20 62 15  3 57 40   W  7  7 3 3  SW  6  8873  SW  6 48439  F
07/30-21 62 15  3 54 48   W  6  6 3 3   S  7  7163 SSW  6 35384 P
07/30-22 62 15  3 52 54 WSW  6  6 3 3 SSW  7  5732 SSW  7 32568 P
07/30-23 54 15  3 51 54 WSW  6  6 3 3 WSW  8  4300  SW  7 27625 P
07/31-00 46 15  3 50 56 WSW  7  7 3 3   W  8  2868  SW  8 20556 P
07/31-01 46 15  3 49 56 WSW  7  7 3 3   W  9  3344 WSW  9 26986 P
07/31-02 46 15  3 48 58 WSW  7  7 3 3   W 10  3820   W 10 34276 P
07/31-03 41 15  3 46 60 WSW  8 13 3 3   W 12  4296   W 12 42425  F
07/31-04 41  9  2 45 63   W  8 13 3 1   W 12  3684   W 12 37818 P
07/31-05 41  9  2 45 60   W  8 13 3 1   W 10  3073   W 13 32736 P
07/31-06 49  9  2 46 58   W  9 15 3 1   W 10  2461   W 13 27177 P
07/31-07 52  9  2 50 52   W  8 13 3 1   W  9  3916   W 12 38924 P
07/31-08 54  9  2 54 48   W  8 13 3 1   W  8  5370   W 10 47464  F
07/31-09 57  9  2 59 42   W  8 13 3 1 WNW  7  6825   W  9 52797  F
07/31-10 59 14  3 61 39   W  8 13 3 2 WNW  7  7720   W  8 52740  F
07/31-11 62 19  4 63 35   W  8 13 2 3 WNW  7  8616   W  8 57033  F
07/31-12 71 34 13 63 35 WNW  8 13 2 4 WNW  6  9511   W  7 60811   G
07/31-13 77 45 22 63 38   W  7  7 2 4 WNW  6  8888 WNW  7 56627  F
07/31-14 83 47 23 62 41   W  6  6 2 4 WNW  6  8264 WNW  7 52469  F
07/31-15 86 51 27 61 44   W  6  6 2 4  NW  6  7640 WNW  7 48342  F
07/31-16 86 52 28 59 49 WSW  6  6 2 4 WNW  6  7208 WNW  7 41009  F
07/31-17 87 52 28 58 51 WSW  6  6 2 4   W  5  6775   W  6 34223 P
07/31-18 83 53 28 57 53   W  3  3 2 4   W  5  6343   W  5 27911 P
07/31-19 83 53 28 55 58   W  3  3 2 4 WNW  5  5727 WNW  5 22529 P
07/31-20 83 53 28 53 63   W  5  5 2 4   N  6  5112 NNW  3 17721 P
07/31-21 83 53 28 50 71   W  5  5 2 4 NNE  6  4496   N  3 15076 P
07/31-22 83 53 28 49 73   W  6  6 2 4 NNE  6  3958   N  5 16686 P
07/31-23 83 53 28 48 75   W  6  6 2 4 NNE  6  3420   N  6 17367 P
08/01-00 62 24  5 47 77   W  7  7 2 1 NNE  6  2881   N  7 17119 P
08/01-01 62 24  5 47 75   W  7  7 2 1 NNE  7  2638 NNW  8 17707 P
08/01-02 62 24  5 47 73 WNW  8 13 2 1 NNE  8  2394 NNW  8 17919 P
08/01-03 62 24  5 46 73 WNW  8 13 2 1 NNE 10  2150 NNW  9 17755 P
08/01-04 62 24  5 45 74 WNW  8 14 2 1 NNE 13  2156 NNW 12 21120 P
08/01-05 62 24  5 45 72 WNW  9 15 2 1 NNE 15  2161   N 13 24500 P
08/01-06 60 12  2 46 68  NW  9 15 2 2 NNE 18  2166   N 15 27897 P
08/01-07 60 12  2 50 58  NW  9 15 2 2 NNE 17  3717   N 15 49198  F
08/01-08 60 12  2 54 50  NW  8 14 2 2 NNE 17  5268   N 16 71607   G
08/01-09 60 12  2 59 42  NW  8 13 2 2 NNE 17  6819   N 16 95124   G
08/01-10 60 12  2 61 40 NNW  8  8 2 2 NNE 15  7225   N 15 94506   G
08/01-11 60 12  2 63 37   N  7  7 2 2 NNE 14  7631 NNE 14 93181   G
08/01-12 76 47 23 63 38   N  7  7 2 4 NNE 12  8037 NNE 13 91149   G
08/01-13 76 47 23 62 40   N  7  7 2 4 NNE 12  7839 NNE 12 81821   G
08/01-14 76 47 23 61 42 NNE  7  7 2 4   N 10  7641 NNE 12 72851   G
08/01-15 76 47 23 59 46 NNE  7  7 2 4   N  9  7443 NNE 10 64239   G
08/01-16 76 47 23 58 47  NE  6  6 2 4 NNE 10  6827 NNE 10 59605  F
08/01-17 76 47 23 58 47 ENE  5  5 2 4 NNE 12  6210 NNE 10 54847  F
08/01-18 86 39 17 56 51   E  3  3 2 4 NNE 13  5594  NE 10 49965  F
08/01-19 86 39 17 54 55   E  3  3 2 4 NNE 14  4740  NE  9 38754 P
08/01-20 86 39 17 51 63 SSE  3  3 2 4 NNE 16  3887  NE  8 28835 P
08/01-21 86 39 17 49 68   S  3  3 2 4 NNE 17  3033  NE  8 20208 P
08/01-22 86 39 17 47 74   S  3  3 2 4  NE 15  2906 ENE  8 19004 P
08/01-23 86 39 17 46 77   S  5  5 2 4   E 13  2779   E  7 17832 P
08/02-00 65 17  3 46 76   S  5  5 2 1 ESE 12  2651 ESE  7 16691 P
08/02-01 65 17  3 46 75   S  5  5 2 1  SE 10  2583  SE  8 17174 P
08/02-02 65 17  3 46 73   S  6  6 2 1   S 10  2514   S  8 17608 P
08/02-03 65 17  3 46 71   S  6  6 2 1   S  9  2446   S  8 17994 P
08/02-04 65 17  3 45 72   S  6  6 2 1 SSE  7  2522   S  7 14426 P
08/02-05 65 17  3 45 71 SSW  6  6 2 1   E  5  2598   S  5 10609 P
08/02-06 61 27  7 46 68 SSW  5  5 2 4  NE  2  2674   S  2  6542 P
08/02-07 61 27  7 50 59 SSW  3  3 2 4  NE  3  3714  SE  3 11238 P
08/02-08 61 27  7 54 52   CALM  1 2 4 NNE  5  4753  NE  5 17138 P
08/02-09 61 27  7 59 44   CALM  1 2 4   N  7  5792   N  5 24244 P
08/02-10 61 27  7 62 40 SSW  2  2 2 4   N  7  6341   N  6 30223 P
08/02-11 61 27  7 64 38 SSE  5  5 2 4   N  8  6889   N  6 36839 P
08/02-12 72 46 23 64 38 ESE  7  7 2 4 NNW  9  7438   N  7 44093  F
08/02-13 72 46 23 63 40 ESE  8  8 2 4 NNW  8  7447   N  6 40735  F
08/02-14 72 46 23 62 42  SE  8 13 2 4 NNW  7  7456 NNW  6 37370 P
08/02-15 72 46 23 61 44  SE  8 13 2 4  NW  6  7465 NNW  6 33996 P
08/02-16 72 46 23 60 46 SSE  8 14 2 4  NW  7  7204 NNW  6 33188 P
08/02-17 72 46 23 59 47 SSE  9 15 2 4  NW  7  6943 NNW  6 32352 P
08/02-18 69 28  8 58 49 SSE  9 15 2 4  NW  7  6682 NNW  6 31488 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RPK
REQUESTED BY...KRISTIN RITTENBACH
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20160730.MTBIE.01/BOU



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