Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
000
FNUS75 KBOU 192224
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Wilson RX...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
424 PM MDT Thu Oct 19 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 MDT on October 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Southwesterly flow aloft will cover the forecast
area overnight and Friday. The low level winds will become
westerly this evening, but then die down late. There is very
little chance of wetting rains.  On Friday, southwesterly flow
aloft and at the surface will be on the increase.  It will be
dry with temperatures a bit above seasonal normals.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy until 1900, then partly
                    cloudy(30-40%).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........67%.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5-6 mph.
Mixing height.......1900-2900 ft AGL until 2100. Below 1000 FT AGL
                    after 2300.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........4 low.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy until 0700, then mostly sunny
                    until 1500, then partly cloudy(30-35%) until
                    1700, then mostly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........25%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10-16 mph with gusts to around
                    24 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0700. 7200-8200 ft AGL
                    after 1100.
Transport winds.....West 15-25 mph until 1200, then 30-35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then fair until 1100, then
                    very good until 1200, then excellent.
Haines Index........4 low.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of rain showers
                    after 2400 until 0300. slight chance of snow
                    showers after 0100.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........66%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6-12 mph.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL until 1900. 1300-1600 ft AGL after
                    2100.
Transport winds.....West 25-35 mph until 2400, then 15-20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent until 1900. poor after 0500.
Haines Index........3 very low.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 50s. West
winds 5-13 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. West
winds 6-10 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 50s.
Northwest winds 5-6 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs around 60.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 50s.

.OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY OCTOBER 27 THROUGH THURSDAY NOVEMBER 02...


Fire Weather Table for Wilson RX.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/19-16 61  2  0 66 17   S  7  7 5 1         7613 SSW 13 85155   G
10/19-17 64  2  0 62 20   S  7  7 5 1         5326 SSW 13 60839   G
10/19-18 68  1  0 58 24   S  7  7 4 1         3040 SSW 14 35440 P
10/19-19 51  1  0 54 29   S  6  6 4 1         2355 SSW 13 25509 P
10/19-20 40  1  0 50 35   S  6  6 3 1         1670 SSW 12 16709 P
10/19-21 30  1  0 47 40   S  5  5 3 1          985 SSW 10  9043 P
10/19-22 32  1  0 45 44 SSW  5  5 3 1          953 SSW 10  9005 P
10/19-23 33  1  0 44 47 SSW  5  5 3 1          921  SW 12  8950 P
10/20-00 14  0  0 43 49  SW  5  5 3 1          888  SW 12  8877 P
10/20-01 20  0  0 42 50 SSW  5  5 3 1          907 WSW 13  9613 P
10/20-02 26  0  0 41 51   S  6  6 3 1          925 WSW 13 10372 P
10/20-03 32  0  0 39 55 SSE  6  6 3 1          943 WSW 14 11153 P
10/20-04 31  0  0 38 59   S  6  6 3 1          938 WSW 14 11010 P
10/20-05 31  0  0 37 64  SW  6  6 3 1          932   W 14 10868 P
10/20-06 30  0  0 37 67 WSW  6  6 3 1          927   W 14 10727 P
10/20-07 25  0  0 39 63 WSW  6  6 3 1         1099   W 14 13621 P
10/20-08 19  0  0 42 57  SW  6  6 2 1         1271 WSW 15 16797 P
10/20-09 14  0  0 46 49  SW  7  7 2 1         1443 WSW 16 20256 P
10/20-10 13  0  0 51 42  SW 10 17 2 1         3148 WSW 22 58272  F
10/20-11 12  0  0 55 38  SW 15 24 3 1         4854 WSW 26111534    V
10/20-12 10  1  0 60 32  SW 18 30 3 1         6559 WSW 31180039     E
10/20-13 17  1  0 62 29  SW 20 32 3 1         7320 WSW 33209898     E
10/20-14 24  1  0 64 27  SW 21 32 3 1         8080 WSW 35241624     E
10/20-15 31  1  0 64 26  SW 20 31 4 1         8840 WSW 36275217     E
10/20-16 30  1  0 63 25  SW 17 29 3 1         7979 WSW 35242194     E
10/20-17 27  1  0 61 26  SW 15 24 3 1         7118 WSW 35210513     E
10/20-18 15  1  0 56 29 WSW 12 15 3 1         6258 WSW 33180174     E
10/20-19 14  1  0 52 33  SW 12 15 3 1         4690 WSW 31125993    V
10/20-20 14  1  0 48 40  SW 10 13 2 1         3123 WSW 29 77864   G
10/20-21 13  1  0 45 45  SW 10 13 2 1         1556 WSW 26 35030 P
10/20-22 19  1  0 44 47  SW 10 13 2 1         1490 WSW 24 30765 P
10/20-23 24  1  0 44 47 WSW 10 13 2 1         1425 WSW 22 26745 P
10/21-00 30 16  3 42 50 WSW 10 13 2 1         1359 WSW 20 22971 P
10/21-01 30 16  3 41 52 WSW 10 13 2 1         1336   W 20 22279 P
10/21-02 30 16  3 38 57   W  9 10 2 1         1312   W 18 21598 P
10/21-03 32 16  3 36 59   W  9 10 2 1         1288   W 18 20927 P
10/21-04 33 16  3 34 61   W  9 10 2 1         1314   W 17 19251 P
10/21-05 35 16  3 32 66   W  8  8 2 1         1339   W 15 17496 P
10/21-06 36  7  1 31 66   W  8  8 2 1         1364   W 13 15660 P
10/21-07 32  7  1 30 66 WNW  9 10 2 1         2253   W 16 30710 P
10/21-08 23  7  1 30 60 WNW 10 13 2 1         3142 WNW 18 49581  F
10/21-09 18  7  1 32 51 WNW 10 13 2 1         4031 WNW 21 72273   G
10/21-10 20  7  1 34 43 WNW 10 13 2 1         4799 WNW 21 84072   G
10/21-11 25  7  1 38 34 WNW 10 13 3 1         5568 WNW 20 95234   G
10/21-12 27  6  2 42 26 WNW 10 13 3 1         6337 WNW 20105761    V
10/21-13 27  6  2 45 20 WNW 10 13 3 1         7043 WNW 18113532    V
10/21-14 26  6  2 47 17   W 12 15 4 1         7750 WNW 18120496    V
10/21-15 26  6  2 47 16   W 12 15 4 1         8457 WNW 17126653    V
10/21-16 24  6  2 45 16 WNW 10 13 4 1         7880 WNW 17121751    V
10/21-17 21  6  2 42 19 WNW  9 10 3 1         7304 WNW 18116304    V
10/21-18 19  1  0 39 23 WNW  8  8 3 1         6727 WNW 18110310    V
10/21-19 18  1  0 35 29 WNW  8  8 3 1         5670 WNW 18 91228   G
10/21-20 16  1  0 32 36 WNW  9 10 2 1         4613   W 18 72798   G
10/21-21 15  1  0 30 42   W  9 10 2 1         3556   W 17 55019  F
10/21-22 14  1  0 29 44   W  9 10 2 1         3306   W 20 55915  F
10/21-23 11  1  0 28 46   W  8  8 2 1         3056   W 21 56090  F
10/22-00 10  0  0 28 46   W  8  8 2 1         2805   W 23 55543  F
10/22-01  9  0  0 27 48   W  8  8 2 1         2336   W 21 42978  F
10/22-02  6  0  0 27 50   W  9 10 2 1         1866   W 20 31727 P
10/22-03  4  0  0 27 50   W 10 13 2 1         1397   W 18 21790 P
10/22-04  6  0  0 26 52   W 12 15 2 1         1307   W 17 19733 P
10/22-05  9  0  0 26 52   W 12 15 2 1         1218   W 17 17766 P
10/22-06 10  0  0 27 53   W 12 15 2 1         1128   W 16
10/22-07 10  0  0 28 55   W 12 15   1
10/22-08  9  0  0 31 53   W 10 13   1
10/22-09  9  0  0 36 47   W 10 13   1
10/22-10  9  0  0 41 41   W 10 13   1
10/22-11  9  0  0 47 34   W  9 10   1
10/22-12  9  0  0 52 29   W  9 10   1
10/22-13 10  0  0 56 25   W 10 13   1
10/22-14 12  0  0 59 22   W 10 13   1
10/22-15 13  0  0 59 22   W 12 15   1
10/22-16 14  0  0 57 23   W 12 15   1
10/22-17 15  0  0 54 26   W 10 13   1
10/22-18 15  1  0 51 29   W  9 10   1

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RJK
REQUESTED BY...Frank Rice
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717576.0/BOU



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.