Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 271624
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAPITI RX FIRE...COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
924 AM MST THU NOV 27 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON NOVEMBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING MILD AND DRY
CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY. IT WILL BE WINDY AT TIMES WITH GUSTS
TO 35 MPH EXPECTED. THERE WILL BE WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH ABOVE
9000 TODAY. THE STRONG WINDS WILL LOWER TO AROUND 7500 FEET
TONIGHT...THESE STRONG WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED ACROSS THE FIRE AREA
BUT WILL BE NEAR BY AND CAN NOT BE TOTALLY RULED OUT EITHER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN
                    POOR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-50%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0600...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL
                    UNTIL 0900...THEN 2500-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WAPITI RX FIRE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

11/27-09 75  0  0 51 21   W 15 24 3 1  NW 51  1552   W 24 30759 P
11/27-10 67  0  0 53 23   W 14 22 3 1 WNW 54  1994   W 22 37409 P
11/27-11 60  0  0 55 29 WSW 13 21 2 1 WNW 58  2436   W 21 44059  F
11/27-12 52  0  0 57 27 WSW 13 20 2 1 WNW 61  2902   W 22 54825  F
11/27-13 51  0  0 58 25   W 13 20 2 1 WNW 64  3368   W 22 65592   G
11/27-14 51  0  0 58 25   W 13 21 2 1 WNW 67  3834   W 23 76358   G
11/27-15 50  0  0 55 27   W 13 21 2 1 WNW 68  3063   W 21 57948  F
11/27-16 49  0  0 51 30   W 14 22 2 1 WNW 69  2292   W 18 39537 P
11/27-17 49  0  0 47 34   W 14 22 2 1 WNW 68  1521   W 16 21127 P
11/27-18 48  0  0 44 37   W 14 22 2 1 WNW 66  1410   W 16 19516 P
11/27-19 48  0  0 42 39   W 13 21 2 1 WNW 63  1298   W 16 17905 P
11/27-20 48  0  0 40 41   W 13 21 2 1 WNW 59  1186   W 16 16294 P
11/27-21 48  0  0 38 42   W 13 20 2 1 WNW 54  1146   W 15 15417 P
11/27-22 48  0  0 36 43 WSW 12 18 3 1 WNW 49  1105   W 15 14540 P
11/27-23 35  0  0 34 45 WSW 12 18 3 1 WNW 46  1065   W 15 13664 P
11/28-00 35  0  0 34 44 WSW 13 20 3 1 WNW 46  1052   W 15 13759 P
11/28-01 35  0  0 34 44 WSW 13 21 4 1 WNW 46  1040   W 15 13854 P
11/28-02 35  0  0 34 43   W 14 22 4 1 WNW 46  1027   W 16 13950 P
11/28-03 35  0  0 34 43   W 13 21 4 1 WNW 44  1007   W 16 14359 P
11/28-04 35  0  0 34 43 WSW 13 20 4 1 WNW 40   987   W 17 14768 P
11/28-05 27  0  0 34 43 WSW 12 18 4 1 WNW 38   967   W 18 15177 P
11/28-06 27  0  0 35 43   W 12 18 4 1 WNW 37   940   W 18 15010 P
11/28-07 27  0  0 37 43   W 12 20 4 1   W 36   914   W 20 14843 P
11/28-08 27  0  0 40 41   W 13 21 4 1   W 36   887   W 20 14676 P
11/28-09 27  0  0 45 35   W 13 20 4 1   W 43  1486   W 21 29103 P
11/28-10 27  0  0 51 30 WSW 12 20 4 1   W 48  2084   W 23 43531  F
11/28-11 13  0  0 56 25 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 54  2682   W 25 57959  F
11/28-12 13  0  0 59 23 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 59  3052   W 24 65045   G
11/28-13 13  0  0 60 22 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 64  3423   W 24 72130   G
11/28-14 13  0  0 59 23 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 70  3794   W 24 79216   G
11/28-15 13  0  0 56 25 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 69  3164   W 21 60947   G
11/28-16 13  0  0 53 27 WSW 13 20 4 1   W 69  2534   W 18 42678  F
11/28-17 12  0  0 49 30 WSW 13 21 4 1   W 68  1904   W 15 24410 P
11/28-18 12  0  0 46 32 WSW 13 21 4 1   W 67  1603   W 14 20118 P
11/28-19 12  0  0 44 33 WSW 13 21 4 1   W 66  1303   W 14 15827 P
11/28-20 12  0  0 42 35 WSW 13 21 4 1   W 63  1002   W 14 11536 P
11/28-21 12  0  0 40 35 WSW 13 20 4 1   W 63  1010   W 14 12242 P
11/28-22 12  0  0 37 38 WSW 12 20 4 1   W 64  1018   W 15 12949 P
11/28-23 14  0  0 36 38 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 64  1025   W 15 13655 P
11/29-00 14  0  0 36 38 WSW 12 17 4 1   W 64  1074   W 15 14239 P
11/29-01 14  0  0 36 38 WSW 10 17 4 1   W 64  1123 WSW 15 14824 P
11/29-02 14  0  0 36 38 WSW 10 16 4 1   W 64  1172 WSW 15 15408 P
11/29-03 14  0  0 36 39 WSW 10 17 4 1   W 63  1146 WSW 16 15773 P
11/29-04 14  0  0 35 41 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 63  1120 WSW 16 16139 P
11/29-05 19  0  0 35 42 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 62  1094   W 17 16505 P
11/29-06 19  0  0 36 41 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 60  1131   W 17 16638 P
11/29-07 19  0  0 38 39 WSW 10 17 4 1   W 59  1168   W 16 16771 P
11/29-08 19  0  0 40 37 WSW 10 16 4 1   W 56  1206   W 16 16904 P
11/29-09 19  0  0 44 33 WSW  9 15 4 1   W 56  1755   W 20 34452 P
11/29-10 19  0  0 48 29 WSW  9 15 4 1   W 56  2304   W 24 52000  F
11/29-11 23  0  0 52 26 WSW  9 15 4 1   W 55  2854   W 28 69549   G
11/29-12 23  0  0 55 23 WSW 10 16 4 1   W 58  3207   W 32 94102   G
11/29-13 23  0  0 56 23 WSW 13 20 4 1   W 60  3560   W 38118655    V
11/29-14 23  0  0 56 22 WSW 14 22 4 1   W 63  3913   W 43143207    V
11/29-15 23  0  0 53 25 WSW 15 24 4 1   W 55  3145   W 40113096    V
11/29-16 23  0  0 50 27   W 16 25 5 1   W 47  2377   W 39 82984   G
11/29-17 24  0  0 47 30   W 16 25 5 1   W 39  1608   W 38 52872  F
11/29-18 24  0  0 45 32   W 17 26 4 1   W 44  1449   W 36 45556  F
11/29-19 24  0  0 43 34   W 17 28 4 1   W 48  1291   W 33 38239 P
11/29-20 24  0  0 41 36   W 17 28 3 1   W 53  1132   W 31 30923 P
11/29-21 24  0  0 39 38   W 16 26 3 1   W 55  1338   W 37 43901  F
11/29-22 24  0  0 37 40 WSW 15 24 3 1   W 59  1544   W 41 56879  F
11/29-23 21  0  0 35 42 WSW 15 24 3 1 WSW 61  1749   W 46 69857   G
11/30-00 21  0  0 34 42 WSW 16 25 3 1   W 62  1616   W 47 65301   G
11/30-01 21  0  0 33 42   W 17 28 3 1   W 64  1483   W 47 60745   G
11/30-02 21  0  0 33 41   W 18 30 3 1   W 66  1349   W 48 56189  F
11/30-03 21  0  0 33 41   W 17 29 3 1   W 64  1403   W 47 57320  F
11/30-04 21  0  0 33 41 WSW 16 26 3 1   W 62  1457   W 46 58452  F
11/30-05 44  0  0 32 43 WSW 15 24 3 1   W 61  1511   W 45 59584  F

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...MEIER
REQUESTED BY...JAY STALNACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141127.WAPIT.01/BOU



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