Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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911
FNUS75 KBOU 071254
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAPITI 2 RX FIRE...BOULDER COUNTY SHERIFF'S OFFICE/PARKS AND
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
522 AM MST WED DEC 7 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MST ON DECEMBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT SNOW WILL FALL OVER THE BURN AREA THIS MORNING,
DIMINISHING IN THE MID MORNING. CONTINUED COLD TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
THROUGH TONIGHT. DISPERSION WILL REMAIN POOR IN POST COLD FRONTAL
AIRMASS. SKIES WILL CLEAR TONIGHT WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT
WESTERLY. AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDING IN THURSDAY WILL INCREASE THE
STABILITY AND CONTINUE TO LIMIT DISPERSION. A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL
INCREASE THE CHANCES OF SEEING HIGHER WINDS ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1500, THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(50-60%). SNOW UNTIL 0900, THEN SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SNOW.
CWR.................65 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 13.
MIN HUMIDITY........64%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 5 BELOW.
MAX HUMIDITY........100%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1400 FT AGL UNTIL 0300, THEN BELOW 1000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 2300, THEN WEST AROUND 10
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1100, THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(35-45%).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 16.
MIN HUMIDITY........56%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4-8 MPH UNTIL 0800, THEN VARIABLE UP
                    TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900, THEN 1100-2100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW .

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
NOT AS COOL. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S. WEST WINDS 5-6 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
NOT AS COOL. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 7-12 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
COLDER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5-13 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WAPITI 2 RX FIRE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

12/07-08 96 61 39  5 96 NNE  7  7 3 1   W 23   999 NNE  5  4149 P
12/07-09 96 35 22  5 95  NE  7  7 3 1   W 26  1731   N  3  5926 P
12/07-10 96 19  8  7 87  NE  6  6 2 1   W 30  2463   N  3  6637 P
12/07-11 94 10  4  9 80 ENE  6  6 2 1 WNW 33  3195   N  2  6281 P
12/07-12 81 10  4 11 72 ENE  6  6 2 1 WNW 33  3109   N  2  6950 P
12/07-13 68 10  3 13 65 ENE  6  6 3 1 WNW 33  3022  NW  3  7572 P
12/07-14 63 10  3 13 64 ENE  6  6 3 1 WNW 33  2936  NW  3  8147 P
12/07-15 57 10  2 12 64 NNE  5  5 3 1 WNW 33  2414 WNW  3  6273 P
12/07-16 52  7  1 11 64  NW  5  5 2 1 WNW 33  1892 WNW  2  4583 P
12/07-17 47  3  1  9 66   W  3  3 2 1 WNW 33  1370 WNW  2  3077 P
12/07-18 43  3  1  7 70   W  3  3 2 1 WNW 32  1335   W  2  3010 P
12/07-19 38  2  0  6 71   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 31  1299   W  2  2943 P
12/07-20 34  2  0  3 79   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 30  1264 WSW  2  2875 P
12/07-21 27  2  0  0 87   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 30  1231 WSW  3  3911 P
12/07-22 19  1  0 -3 96   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 31  1197   W  5  4885 P
12/07-23 12  0  0 -5100   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 32  1163   W  6  5799 P
12/08-00 13  0  0 -5 95   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 35  1101   W  6  5612 P
12/08-01 15  0  0 -4 86   W  6  6 3 1 WNW 37  1039   W  6  5411 P
12/08-02 16  0  0 -4 82   W  6  6 3 1 WNW 39   977   W  6  5197 P
12/08-03 18  0  0 -4 80   W  6  6 3 1 WNW 40   947   W  6  5160 P
12/08-04 19  0  0 -4 79   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 43   917   W  7  5116 P
12/08-05 21  0  0 -5 82   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 44   887   W  7  5064 P
12/08-06 24  0  0 -4 80   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 45   900   W  6  4622 P
12/08-07 27  0  0 -3 78   W  3  3 4 1 WNW 45   912   W  6  4166 P
12/08-08 29  0  0  0 72   W  3  3 4 1 WNW 46   924   W  5  4071 P
12/08-09 29  0  0  3 69 WSW  2  2 4 1 WNW 46  1123 WSW  5  4506 P
12/08-10 29  0  0  8 62  SW  2  2 4 1 WNW 45  1322  SW  5  4785 P
12/08-11 35  0  0 12 58   CALM  1 4 1 WNW 45  1520  SW  3  4907 P
12/08-12 38  0  0 14 58   CALM  1 4 1 WNW 46  1697 SSW  5  6474 P
12/08-13 41  0  0 16 56   CALM  1 3 1 WNW 47  1873 SSW  5  8250 P
12/08-14 47  1  0 16 59   CALM  1 3 1 WNW 49  2050 SSW  6 10232 P
12/08-15 47  1  0 15 61   CALM  1 3 1 WNW 52  1671 SSW  5  6828 P
12/08-16 47  1  0 13 65   W  2  2 2 1 WNW 54  1291 SSW  3  4110 P
12/08-17 54  2  0 12 67 WNW  2  2 2 1 WNW 58   912  SW  2  2078 P
12/08-18 67  2  0 12 67 WNW  2  2 2 1 WNW 56   920  SW  3  2713 P
12/08-19 73  2  0 12 69   W  3  3 2 1 WNW 55   928 WSW  5  3359 P
12/08-20 73  2  0 12 70   W  3  3 2 1 WNW 54   935   W  5  4015 P
12/08-21 73  2  0 12 69   W  3  3 2 1 WNW 53   941   W  7  5380 P
12/08-22 73  2  0 12 69   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 51   947   W  8  6762 P
12/08-23 76  2  0 12 70   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 48   953   W 10  8160 P
12/09-00 76  2  0 13 69   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 48   951   W 10  8120 P
12/09-01 76  2  0 15 66   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 49   949   W 10  8081 P
12/09-02 76  2  0 17 64   W  7  7 2 1 WNW 49   947   W  9  8041 P
12/09-03 76  2  0 18 64   W  7  7 2 1 WNW 51   944   W 10  8438 P
12/09-04 76  2  0 19 64   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 53   941   W 10  8832 P
12/09-05 61  2  0 20 65   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 55   939   W 12  9224 P
12/09-06 61  2  0 21 66   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 49   934   W 12  9338 P
12/09-07 61  2  0 23 65   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 44   929   W 12  9450 P
12/09-08 61  2  0 26 63   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 37   925   W 12  9561 P
12/09-09 61  2  0 30 58   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 37  1261   W 13 14217 P
12/09-10 61  2  0 34 54 WSW  8 13 3 1 WNW 36  1596   W 14 19504 P
12/09-11 36  0  0 39 48 WSW  8 13 3 1 WNW 35  1932   W 15 25423 P
12/09-12 36  0  0 42 45 WSW  8 13 3 1 WNW 36  2243   W 15 29379 P
12/09-13 36  0  0 43 44 WSW  8 13 3 1 WNW 37  2554   W 15 33296 P
12/09-14 36  0  0 43 45 WSW  8 13 3 1 WNW 39  2865   W 15 37177 P
12/09-15 36  0  0 39 52 WSW  8 14 3 1 WNW 35  2386   W 14 29474 P
12/09-16 36  0  0 35 60  SW  9 14 2 1 WNW 31  1907 WSW 14 22369 P
12/09-17 45  5  1 31 69  SW  9 15 2 1 WNW 28  1429 WSW 13 15862 P
12/09-18 45  5  1 29 74  SW  9 15 2 1 WNW 24  1403 WSW 13 16104 P
12/09-19 44  5  1 29 73 WSW  9 15 3 1 WNW 21  1378 WSW 14 16328 P
12/09-20 44  5  1 29 72 WSW  9 15 3 1  NW 17  1353   W 14 16532 P
12/09-21 44  5  1 28 73 WSW  9 14 3 1 WNW 21  1291   W 14 16138 P
12/09-22 44  5  1 27 75 WSW  8 14 3 1   W 23  1230   W 15 15709 P
12/09-23 44  5  1 26 78 WSW  8 13 3 1   W 26  1169   W 15 15246 P
12/10-00 42  5  1 26 77 WSW  8 13 3 1   W 26  1140   W 16 15493 P
12/10-01 38  5  1 27 74 WSW  8 14 3 1 WNW 26  1112   W 16 15709 P
12/10-02 36  5  1 28 72 WSW  9 15 3 1 WNW 26  1084   W 17 15896 P
12/10-03 37  5  1 27 75 WSW 10 16 3 1 WNW 31  1215   W 18 19989 P
12/10-04 38  5  1 27 76 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 37  1345   W 21 24552 P
12/10-05 38 15  3 28 75 WSW 13 21 4 1   W 41  1476   W 23 29582 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...KRIEDERMAN
REQUESTED BY...JAY STALNACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1603674.9/BOU



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