Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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000
FNUS75 KBYZ 301139
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER CREEK...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
539 AM MDT SAT AUG 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON AUGUST 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOOK FOR INCREASING CLOUDS THIS MORNING WITH A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS
AROUND THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15
MPH WILL PREVAIL MUCH OF THE DAY...BUT THERE IS A SURFACE FRONT
THAT WILL COME THROUGH SHERIDAN COUNTY IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON
TURNING THE WINDS MORE NORTHERLY. HOWEVER...I EXPECT WINDS TO
REMAIN MAINLY WESTERLY AT THE BURN SITE DUE TO THE ELEVATION. THE
BEST CHANCE OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION IS 3-6 PM THIS AFTERNOON
WITH THE CHANCE OF LIGHTNING PICKING UP AT THAT TIME AS WELL. VERY
GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN OVERNIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS
WILL INCREASE SOME AND TURN NORTHWESTERLY BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. BT

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS THIS
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......VARIABLE LIGHT WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING. SOUTHWEST WINDS
                    5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................35 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 15 TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...TURNING NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH
                    BY MIDDAY. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST TURNING NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2.

$$
FORECASTER...TESAR
REQUESTED BY...MARVIN MATTHIESEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140830.BEAVE.01/BYZ


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