Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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000
FNUS74 KCRP 192254
FWSCRP

Spot Forecast for Harvey Debris Management 35 Site...TFS
National Weather Service Corpus Christi, TX
554 PM CDT Thu Oct 19 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 CDT on October 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (361) 289-0959, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Moisture will continue to move into the region through the
overnight and Friday...with a rising trend in afternoon relative
humidity values and continued rain chances through the weekend.
Should see rain activity decrease overnight tonight, but pick up
again Friday morning with isolated to scattered showers.
Thunderstorms will be possible but isolated. Gusty east winds this
evening will gradually decrease late tonight toward midnight.
Then light east winds Friday morning will increase to around 10
mph out of the southeast by the afternoon. Gusts around 15 mph
possible in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Scattered
                    showers through the night. Scattered
                    thunderstorms after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after midnight.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 6 to 12 mph.
LAL.................3 until 1900, then 1 until 0100, then 3.
Mixing height.......2200-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 22 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........CHC                         SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
CHC OF PCPN (%).30  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40
TEMP............78  77  76  76  76  76  76  76  76  75  74  74
RH..............78  81  84  85  86  86  87  88  89  90  92  95
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND DIR..090 090 090 090 090 100 110 110 120 120 130 130
20 FT WIND SPD..12  10  10  10  10  9   9   8   8   7   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND DIR.090 090 090 090 090 100 110 110 120 120 130 130
EYE LVL WND SPD.7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND DIR.100 090 090 090 100 100 100 100 100 100 110 110
TRANSP WIND SPD.25  24  24  24  23  23  23  23  22  22  22  22
LAL.............3   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
LAL.................3.
Mixing height.......2100-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 18 to 22 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
CHC OF PCPN (%).40  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
TEMP............73  73  75  77  79  81  83  84  85  85  84  83
RH..............97  97  93  88  82  77  72  69  68  68  70  73
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND DIR..140 140 140 130 130 130 140 140 140 130 130 130
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND DIR.140 140 140 130 130 130 140 140 140 130 130 130
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND DIR.110 110 110 120 120 120 120 120 120 130 130 130
TRANSP WIND SPD.22  21  21  21  21  20  20  20  20  20  18  18
LAL.............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 7 to 9 mph.
LAL.................3 until 1900, then 2.
Mixing height.......1900-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
CHC OF PCPN (%).30  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
TEMP............81  79  78  78  78  78  78  78  78  77  76  75
RH..............76  80  83  84  85  85  85  85  86  87  89  92
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND DIR..120 120 120 120 120 130 130 140 140 150 150 150
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND DIR.120 120 120 120 120 130 130 140 140 150 150 150
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND DIR.130 130 130 140 140 140 140 140 140 150 150 150
TRANSP WIND SPD.18  18  17  17  17  17  16  16  16  16  16  15
LAL.............3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...BARRON
Requested by...Garry Barney
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717312.6/CRP
.EMAIL gbarney@tfs.tamu.edu



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