Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FNUS73 KEAX 131735
FWSEAX

Spot Forecast for Seat CA Prescribed Fire...Missouri Department of Conservation
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1226 PM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on September 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-438-0596, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Southerly winds around 5 mph in the morning will increase to 10 mph
in the afternoon. Relative humidity values around 70 percent at
ignition will decrease to 35 to 40 percent during the afternoon.
Temperatures at ignition will be around 70 degrees increasing to the
mid to upper 80s during the afternoon.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400-2000 ft AGL increasing to 2600-4300 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   5   6   9   10  16  22  26  26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............70  76  80  83  85  87  88  88  87
RH..............68  58  49  43  39  36  35  35  38
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   8   10  10  10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.    10  10  15  15  15  20  20  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.9 2.0 3.2 4.1 4.3 3.9 3.3 2.6
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.20  21  22  23  24  24  24  24  25
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......100-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 25 to 30 mph.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........28  29  31  34  35  38  44  47  46  43  41  40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............85  82  78  74  71  69  68  68  67  66  65  63
RH..............41  47  54  62  68  73  73  73  75  75  78  81
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  S
Transp wind spd.25  26  26  28  28  29  30  30  30  30  30  29
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25
                    mph increasing to 14 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 30 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......100-2000 ft AGL increasing to 2900-4200 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 23 to 32 mph.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........39  38  34  27  24  24  24  24  23  21  20  22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............62  63  66  71  76  80  83  86  87  88  88  87
RH..............84  81  75  68  62  56  51  46  45  43  43  45
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   7   9   10  11  12  14  15  15  14
20 FT wind gust.        10  15  15  15  20  20  25  30  30  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.0 2.9 3.6 4.0 4.2 4.1 3.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.28  26  25  24  23  24  25  28  29  30  31  32
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6

$$
Forecaster...Mell
Requested by...jesse kamps
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1715807.0/EAX
.EMAIL jesse.kamps@mdc.mo.gov


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