Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 291609
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WILDERNESS PILES RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
909 AM MST THU JAN 29 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0910 MST ON JANUARY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL CONTINUE TO
RESULT IN CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE AREA TODAY THROUGH TOMORROW.
WETTING PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. INITIALLY MILD SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF THE
SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN RAIN. HOWEVER THE RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW
OVERNIGHT. STRONGER TRANSPORT WINDS WILL STAY JUST SOUTH OF THE
AREA OF INTEREST THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER MIXING HEIGHTS WILL
SLOWLY RISE THROUGH THE MORNING RESULTING IN ENOUGH MIXING TO PUSH
VENT RATES INTO THE FAIR CATEGORY FOR SEVERAL HOURS LATE THIS
MORNING AND INTO EARLY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4000-5200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    2600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 8 KNOTS.
MAX VENT RATE.......41600 KT-FT (FAIR)

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 10 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 14 KNOTS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
                    SHOWERS.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 9 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 13 KNOTS.
MAX VENT RATE.......16900 KT-FT (POOR)

$$
FORECASTER...LANEY
REQUESTED BY...WILDERNESS RD
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150129.WILDE.01/EPZ





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