Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FNUS75 KGJT 292224
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVER CREEK...CRAIG DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
424 PM MDT MON AUG 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1517 MDT ON AUGUST 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER FLOW IS FROM THE EAST AS THE UPPER LEVEL
LOW SITS ALONG THE CENTRAL COLORADO-NEW MEXICO BORDER. MOST STORMS
WILL STAY ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE PARK-GORE RANGE BUT A FEW HAVE
BEEN ABLE TO SNEAK OVER TO THE WEST SLOPES. OTHERWISE PERSISTENT
TEMPERATURES AND RH. TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE A BATTLE BETWEEN
EAST AND UPSLOPE WIND. THE MODELS CURRENTLY SAY EAST WINDS WILL
DOMINATE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 1-5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR DECREASING TO POOR BY 9 PM.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 9 PM THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 2-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...JAIME PONCE DE LEON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160829.SILVE.02/GJT



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