Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 020132
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNCOMPAHGRE PEAK SAR...GUNNISON COUNTY WMR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
732 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1909 MDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS SOUTHWEST COLORADO WILL
BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS. THERE WILL BE WINDOWS WHERE PRECIPITATION WILL LET UP
AND CEILING WILL LIFT...WITH THE BEST OPPORTUNITY BETWEEN 0600 AND
1000 SUNDAY MORNING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
                    POSSIBLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84%.
CEILINGS............AOB 16K MSL WITH FREQUENT MOUNTAIN TOP
                    OBSCURATION.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS UP TO
                    45 MPH EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY AFTER 1000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61%.
CEILINGS............AOA 20K MSL UNTIL 1000...THEN CIGS DROPPING
                    BELOW 18K MSL WITH MOUNTAIN TOPS BECOMING
                    OBSCURED AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    INCREASE IN COVERAGE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 2-6 MPH UNTIL 0800...
                    THEN NORTH WINDS...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    BY 1400. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 45 MPH
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................5.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 MPH.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........75  78  80  84  89  90  100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT LKY LKY LKY LKY
TEMP............46  47  47  49  52  54  56  56  55  53  52  52
RH..............76  76  80  77  69  64  59  60  63  69  72  73
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  W   N   N   NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............2   2   2   2   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5


$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS M VIA NWS GJT
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150801.UNCOM.01/GJT


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