Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 242135
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEVIL CREEK 2...SAN JUAN NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
335 PM MDT WED SEP 24 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SHIFT IN HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW A SMALL AMOUNT
OF MOISTURE TO THE SOUTHEAST TO MOVE OVER THE FIRE SITE DURING
THE AFTERNOON. DAYTIME HEATING WORKING ON THIS MOISTURE SHOULD
YIELD ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY NORTH OF THE FIRE
SITE. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD THOUGH RH WILL COME UP A BIT
WITH THE RETURN OF MOISTURE. GIVEN PROXIMITY OF THE RIDGE...
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE ANEMIC DESPITE DECENT MIXING.

.TODAY (FRIDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST BY 1300 AND INCREASING TO 4 TO 8 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (39100 KNOT-FT).
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT (FRIDAY NIGHT)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO
DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3100 KNOT-FT).
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...FRED ELLIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140925.DEVIL.01/GJT



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